Lehigh Mountain Hawks · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Lehigh Mountain Hawks · medium confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Lehigh Mountain Hawks2024 Rivalry Victory
Lehigh defeated Lafayette 38-14 in the 160th Rivalry game (November 23, 2024), securing the Patriot League title while Lafayette finished 2-4 in conference
Lehigh Mountain Hawks12-1Hope-Doping·Offseason
The half of The Rivalry that was born behind but is now leading, the mountain program that climbed.
Standard GapTrailing the all-time series to Lafayette (74-82-5) yet Lehigh is domina…
Fans here believe the chip is the starting scoreboard. Lafayette won 56-0 in 1884 and has held the all-time series advantage (74-82-5) for 140 years. Lehigh has to wake up every Rivalry week knowing i…
low signal
Approaching
23 days
until kickoff · at Holy Cross · Sat Aug 29 · 19:30 UTC
The experience
The half of The Rivalry that was born behind but is now leading, the mountain program that climbed.
The Mountain Hawks keep the faith.
Lehigh Mountain Hawks · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 10-2
Base 12-0
Ceiling 12-0
floor10-2Competitive but likely outside the at-large field.
base12-0Conference title contender. Playoff bid realistic.
ceiling12-0Conference title + deep playoff run.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Warming
Four of five. The board favors this trend.
Streak L1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 9-1
The forecast
Opens Aug 29
vs Holy Cross · away
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—
The Mountain Hawks keep the faith.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Lehigh"
— Lehigh Mountain Hawks fanbase · recurring line
25 mentions · sample growing
Fanbase Health Index · Lehigh Mountain Hawks · medium confidence
Growing (69)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 12-1 (92% win rate)81
Volume — 25 effective signal-N58
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Lehigh Mountain Hawks · 2025 schedule & results12-1Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 50% · 0 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #175 | #168 | — | Richmond | W 21–14 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #196 | #244 | -20 | Sacred Heart | W 28–10 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #199 | #159 | -7.5 | @Duquesne | W 35–21 | 3-0 | 1-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #163 | #207 | -14 | @Bucknell | W 41–24 | 4-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #149 | #243 | -9.5 | Pennsylvania | W 44–30 | 5-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #148 | #209 | -4.5 | Yale | W 31–13 | 6-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #143 | #236 | -12.5 | @Columbia | W 31–7 | 7-0 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #132 | #256 | -24.5 | @Fordham | W 27–6 | 8-0 | 3-0 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #120 | #228 | -24 | Georgetown | W 41–0 | 9-0 | 4-0 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #114 | #215 | -20 | Holy Cross | W 38–3 | 10-0 | 5-0 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #102 | #216 | -18.5 | @Colgate | W 27–7 | 11-0 | 6-0 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #93 | #171 | -10 | @Lafayette | W 42–32 | 12-0 | 7-0 |
| Conference Championship | ||||||||
| 15 | Dec 6 | #85 | #84 | — | Villanova | L 7–14 | 12-1 | 7-1 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6 | Villanova | L 7–14 | — | — | — | -0.095 | 42.9% | 93.2% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Nov 22 | @Lafayette | W 42–32 | — | — | — | +0.525 | 60.0% | 155.1% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Nov 15 | @Colgate | W 27–7 | — | — | — | +0.233 | 37.1% | 130.5% | |
| Nov 8 | Holy Cross | W 38–3 | — | — | — | +0.164 | 50.8% | 126.8% | Blowout win |
| Nov 1 | Georgetown | W 41–0 | — | — | — | +0.456 | 43.6% | 153.2% | Best defensive stand |
| Oct 25 | @Fordham | W 27–6 | — | — | — | +0.166 | 45.8% | 115.9% | |
| Oct 11 | @Columbia | W 31–7 | — | — | — | +0.238 | 44.8% | 141.3% | |
| Oct 4 | Yale | W 31–13 | — | — | — | +0.387 | 50.9% | 132.6% | |
| Sep 27 | Pennsylvania | W 44–30 | — | — | — | +0.321 | 46.8% | 144.4% | |
| Sep 20 | @Bucknell | W 41–24 | — | — | — | +0.404 | 55.0% | 111.6% | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 13 | @Duquesne | W 35–21 | — | — | — | +0.280 | 43.3% | 143.0% | |
| Aug 30 | Richmond | W 21–14 | — | — | — | +0.120 | 41.5% | 110.8% | One-score win |
| Season average (12 games) | — | — | +0.267 | 46.9% | 129.9% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Lehigh Mountain Hawks's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.27; 86th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.07. The widest gap came in week 6: 0.30 raw vs. 0.09 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Lehigh Mountain Hawks · 2018-present
Above-Average
46% home win rate vs 39% on the road. margin runs +6.0 better at home. Goodman Stadium seats 16,000, averaging 37% full (5,910 attendance, 12 games reported).
Home18-21Away16-25
Venue texture
62°F average kickoff temp; 14% of games had measurable precipitation; 8 mph average wind.
Based on 29 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Lehigh Mountain Hawks
National Program
All-Time Record
381-418-26
since 1884 · 126 seasons · .461 win rate
HOME
224-148-18
AWAY
150-265-8
NEUTRAL
7-5
1880s
1890s
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Patriot Standing · 2025
1st in the Patriot
Lehigh Mountain Hawks sits at the top of the Patriot at 7-1. Everyone else is chasing.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lehigh | 7-1 |
| 2 | Lafayette | 6-1 |
| 3 | Richmond | 4-4 |
| 4 | Villanova | 3-0 |
| 5 | Georgetown | 3-4 |
| 6 | Holy Cross | 3-4 |
| 7 | Colgate | 3-5 |
| 8 | Bucknell | 2-5 |
| 9 | Fordham | 1-6 |
| 10 | William & Mary | 0-2 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2025 Perfect Season
Lehigh completed a perfect 12-0 regular season (7-0 Patriot League) and earned the #5 FCS playoff seed
Moment of the Year · Lehigh Mountain Hawks · 2025
Moment of the Year · Lehigh Mountain Hawks · 2025Won 28-10 vs Sacred Heart
Week 2 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
r/cfb moments
134
[Postgame Thread] Army Defeats Lehigh 42-7
All-time top community posts · ranked by upvotes
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