Colgate Raiders · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Colgate Raiders · low confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Colgate Raiders1932 Undefeated Season
Colgate went undefeated, untied, unscored-upon — perfect football with no bowl or playoff to prove it
Colgate Raiders5-7Hope-Doping·Offseason
The upstate mountain program living in the shadow of a legendary past, desperate to reclaim it.
Title DroughtSince 2003 · 22 yrs
The chip is the Kerr name itself — when Andy Kerr coached Colgate 1929-1946, he built a dynasty that seems impossible now. The program and the fanbase are haunted by the question: how did we have the…
low signal
Approaching
23 days
until kickoff · at Fordham · Sat Aug 29 · 22:00 UTC
The experience
The upstate mountain program living in the shadow of a legendary past, desperate to reclaim it.
The Raiders are patient.
Colgate Raiders · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 3-9
Base 5-7
Ceiling 8-4
floor3-9Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
base5-7Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
ceiling8-4Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Mixed
Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.
Streak W1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 5-5
The forecast
Opens Aug 29
vs Fordham · away
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Colgate Raiders
—
The Raiders are patient.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Colgate"
— Colgate Raiders fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Colgate Raiders · low confidence
Growing (53)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 5-7 (42% win rate)53
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Colgate Raiders · 2025 schedule & results5-7Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 49% · 0 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #251 | #163 | +14.5 | Monmouth | L 39–42 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #240 | — | +20 | @Villanova | L 17–24 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| 3 | Sep 12 | #243 | #94 | +36.5 | @Syracuse | L 24–66 153 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #241 | #237 | -7 | Fordham | W 44–21 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #233 | #234 | -1.5 | @Cornell | W 41–21 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #203 | #174 | -1.5 | Richmond | L 19–24 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #207 | #238 | -7 | @Georgetown | L 17–21 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #216 | #213 | +3 | @Holy Cross | W 29–28 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #208 | #214 | -7 | Merrimack | W 23–20 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #211 | #187 | +6.5 | @Lafayette | L 42–59 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #216 | #102 | +18.5 | Lehigh | L 7–27 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #223 | #227 | -9.5 | Bucknell | W 38–19 | 5-7 | 3-5 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | Bucknell | W 38–19 | — | — | — | +0.172 | 47.1% | 122.6% | |
| Nov 15 | Lehigh | L 7–27 | — | — | — | -0.049 | 32.7% | 124.1% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Nov 8 | @Lafayette | L 42–59 | — | — | — | +0.274 | 53.8% | 125.8% | |
| Nov 1 | Merrimack | W 23–20 | — | — | — | +0.076 | 42.4% | 100.5% | One-score win |
| Oct 25 | @Holy Cross | W 29–28 | — | — | — | +0.166 | 47.4% | 112.4% | One-score win |
| Oct 18 | @Georgetown | L 17–21 | — | — | — | +0.073 | 41.7% | 138.6% | One-score loss |
| Oct 11 | Richmond | L 19–24 | — | — | — | +0.070 | 45.2% | 120.3% | One-score loss |
| Oct 4 | @Cornell | W 41–21 | — | — | — | +0.305 | 46.0% | 120.4% | |
| Sep 20 | Fordham | W 44–21 | — | — | — | +0.379 | 56.6% | 123.4% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 12 | @Syracuse | L 24–66 | 422 | 2 | 33:21 | +0.049 | 37.8% | 120.0% | Defense's roughest night |
| Aug 29 | Monmouth | L 39–42 | — | — | — | +0.299 | 40.5% | 163.7% | Most explosive |
| Season average (11 games) | 422 | 2.0 | +0.165 | 44.6% | 124.7% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Colgate Raiders's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.16; 53rd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.03. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.30 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Colgate Raiders · 2018-present
Strong
51% home win rate vs 36% on the road. margin runs +11.5 better at home. Andy Kerr Stadium seats 10,221, averaging 21% full (2,137 attendance, 10 games reported).
Home18-17Away17-29
Venue texture
57°F average kickoff temp; 16% of games had measurable precipitation; 8 mph average wind.
Based on 25 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Colgate Raiders
Power Program
All-Time Record
510-418-42
since 1895 · 123 seasons · .525 win rate
HOME
245-87-32
AWAY
259-327-10
NEUTRAL
6-4
1890s
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Patriot Standing · 2025
7th in the Patriot
Colgate Raiders is 7th of 10 in the Patriot at 3-5. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on playoff positioning and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lehigh | 7-1 |
| 2 | Lafayette | 6-1 |
| 3 | Richmond | 4-4 |
| 4 | Villanova | 3-0 |
| 5 | Georgetown | 3-4 |
| 6 | Holy Cross | 3-4 |
| 7 | Colgate | 3-5 |
| 8 | Bucknell | 2-5 |
| 9 | Fordham | 1-6 |
| 10 | William & Mary | 0-2 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2003 FCS Runner-Up
The most recent significant playoff run, reaching the FCS title game
Moment of the Year · Colgate Raiders · 2025
Moment of the Year · Colgate Raiders · 2025Won 44-21 vs Fordham
Week 4 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.
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