Colgate at Central Michigan
Fan take
Central Michigan fans
How they got here
Last two games
Colgate · 2-0
Picked #214 in the preseason · now #218.
Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.
W 35–10 vs Holy Cross #213 of 669
won by 25 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 24–14 @ Fordham #241 of 669
won by 10 as a 8.5-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
Central Michigan · 7-6
Picked #121 in the preseason · now #111 — about right.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 7–34 @ Northwestern #47 of 668
lost by 27 as a 12-point underdog
L 3–21 vs Toledo #25 of 668
lost by 18 as a 11.5-point underdog
W 28–16 @ Kent State #210 of 668
won by 12 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 38–19 vs Buffalo #143 of 668
won by 19 as a 2-point favorite
L 21–24 @ Western Michigan #73 of 668
lost by 3 as a 5.5-point underdog
W 38–13 vs Massachusetts #240 of 668
won by 25 as a 17.5-point favorite
W 27–6 @ Bowling Green #134 of 668
won by 21 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 22–28 @ Akron #169 of 668
lost by 6 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 24–13 vs Eastern Michigan #187 of 668
won by 11 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 49–10 vs Wagner #260 of 668
won by 39 as a 30.5-point favorite
L 3–63 @ MichiganTop 25 #13 of 668
lost by 60 as a 27.5-point underdog
L 17–45 @ PittsburghTop 25 #40 of 668
lost by 28 as a 21.5-point underdog
W 16–14 @ San José State #109 of 668
won by 2 as a 14.5-point underdog
What’s at stake
Colgate
- Colgate is 1 game back in Patriot with 7 left to make it up.
- A win would be one of Colgate’s biggest of the season — a 107-spot gap in the power ratings.
Central Michigan
- Central Michigan hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2016.
The series
Central Michigan leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2026 · Central Michigan won the last meeting
- 2026Central Michigan 13–10
Best players
Central Michigan
- Xavier White (LB) · 17 tackles
- Mayson Hitchens (LB) · 15 tackles
- Darrell Bryant Jr. (DB) · 13 tackles
The line, and the room
The model and the market don’t fully agree on Central Michigan’s chances here.
Home −18.5 · O/U 48.5
Conditions
80°F · 6 mph wind · Clear
Central Michigan is worth +6.6 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 89th percentile.
56% at home, 28% on the road against FBS opponents (20–16 home, 13–34 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.3 at home vs. away over 72 games — inside the ±6.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 467 miles to get here.
Colgate 10 – Central Michigan 13
Called it — picked Central Michigan to win.
Recent games
Central Michigan
- Wk 1Lat New Mexico7-38
Colgate
- Wk 1Wat Fordham24-14
- Wk 1Wvs Holy Cross35-10
Trajectory
Central Michigan won 13-10, as picked pregame.