Colgate beats Villanova 28-21
Colgate beat Villanova 28-21. Share this game
We had Villanova favored. Colgate won.
Box score
Colgate 28, Villanova 21
Colgate covered +3 by 10. The total, 49, went over 44.5.
Colgate leaders
- Passing Jake Stearney 15 of 21, 158 yds, 3 TD
- Rushing Caleb Naumann 25 for 66 yds, 1 TD; Jake Stearney 11 for 56 yds
- Receiving Matt Fogler 5 for 93 yds, 1 TD; Peyton Way 2 for 14 yds, 1 TD
Villanova leaders
- Passing Pat McQuaide 12 of 23, 192 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Isaiah Ragland 10 for 56 yds, 1 TD; Ja'briel Mace 13 for 42 yds
- Receiving Braden Reed 6 for 100 yds, 1 TD; Nolan Clayton 2 for 34 yds
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last 4 games
Colgate · 3-1
Rated 214th in our preseason ratings, 167th now, up 47 spots.
3-1 in its last 4 — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 20-7 vs Cornell #249 of 668
won by 13 as a 12.5-point favorite
W 35-10 vs Holy Cross #209 of 668
won by 25 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 24-14 @ Fordham #249 of 668
won by 10 as an 8.5-point favorite
Last 4 games
Villanova · 2-2
Rated 137th in our preseason ratings, 159th now.
2-2 in its last 4 — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Week by week
Villanova
- Wk 1Lvs William & Mary32-35
- Wk 1Wat Bucknell17-16
- Wk 2Lat Louisville13-59
- Wk 3Wat Long Island University20-16
Colgate
- Wk 1Wat Fordham24-14
- Wk 1Wvs Holy Cross35-10
- Wk 2Lat Central Michigan10-13
- Wk 3Wvs Cornell20-7
Power rating by week
Villanova is rated 0.5 points ahead as of week 3. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
The series
Villanova leads the series 5-1
6 meetings since 1978 · Villanova has won the last 5
- 2025Villanova 24-17
- 2024Villanova 28-3
- 2023Villanova 42-19
- 2019Villanova 34-14
- 2008Villanova 55-28
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Villanova’s chances here.
Villanova favored by 3 · Total 44.5
The market
The spread moved 0.5 points toward Villanova.
The total fell 2 points.
Spread: −2.5 → −3 · Total: 46.5 → 44.5
The books’ cut: 5.4%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
Villanova is worth +6.3 points (±12.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 85th percentile.
75% at home, 42% on the road against FBS opponents (3-1 home, 5-7 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.2 at home vs. away over 59 games — inside the ±8.2 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 193 miles to get here.