Colgate routs William & Mary 37-0

Team pages: William & Mary · Colgate

William & Mary3-60
Colgate5-437Final
Sat, Oct 31 · Andy Kerr Stadium, Hamilton, N.Y. · Crowd 1,635ESPN+

Colgate routed William & Mary 37-0.

We had Colgate favored. It won.

Next: William & Mary vs Lafayette, Sat Nov 7 · 1:00 PM ET

Next: Colgate at Lehigh, Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Colgate an 87% chance, and the closing betting line (Colgate was a 11.5-point favorite) put it at 82%.

FinalColgate 37-0 William & MaryColgate wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4ColgateWon37-0Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4ColgateWon37-0Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4ColgateLowest 0%Lost0-37Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4ColgateLowest 0%Lost0-37Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Colgate’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Colgate -11.5), at 84% for Colgate (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Colgate scored on 7 of its 10 drives; William & Mary on 0 of its 10.

Colgate’s drives are teal, William & Mary’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1William & Mary: Punt, from 77 yards out to 45PuntColgate: Turned over on downs, from 83 yards out to 59DownsWilliam & Mary: Punt, from 41 yards out to 34PuntColgate: Punt, from 99 yards out to 81PuntWilliam & Mary: Punt, from 52 yards out to 37PuntColgate: Touchdown, from 90 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2William & Mary: Punt, from 75 yards out to 83PuntColgate: Touchdown, from 55 yards out to 0TouchdownWilliam & Mary: Punt, from 71 yards out to 72PuntColgate: Field goal, from 71 yards out to 6Field goalWilliam & Mary: Turned over on downs, from 74 yards out to 51DownsColgate: Field goal, from 49 yards out to 17Field goalQ3Colgate: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownWilliam & Mary: Punt, from 75 yards out to 60PuntColgate: Touchdown, from 90 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4William & Mary: Punt, from 85 yards out to 71PuntColgate: Field goal, from 63 yards out to 10Field goalWilliam & Mary: Turned over on downs, from 78 yards out to 65DownsColgate: Turned over on downs, from 35 yards out to 18DownsWilliam & Mary: End of game, from 82 yards out to 80End of game

Box score

Colgate 37, William & Mary 0

Colgate covered −11.5 by 25.5. The total, 37, stayed under 45.5.

William & Mary leaders

  • Passing Winston Watkins 7 of 12, 42 yds
  • Rushing Andrew King 15 for 71 yds; Khylil Johnson 2 for 17 yds
  • Receiving Alfred Honesty 3 for 24 yds; Jackson Blee 4 for 20 yds

Colgate leaders

  • Passing Jake Stearney 16 of 25, 234 yds, 3 TD
  • Rushing Cole Fulton 18 for 89 yds; Jake Stearney 11 for 69 yds
  • Receiving Peyton Way 10 for 141 yds, 2 TD; Cole Fulton 2 for 49 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

William & Mary · 3-5

Rated 183rd in our preseason ratings, 252nd now.

1-2 in its last three, including a 3-point win over North Carolina Central as a 2.5-point underdog.

L 27-28 vs Georgetown No. 243 of 668 teams

lost by 1 as a 6-point favorite

William & Mary lost 27-28 vs Georgetown. Chance to win started at 87%, low 10%, high 96%.

W 17-14 @ North Carolina Central No. 243 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 2.5-point underdog

William & Mary won 17-14 at North Carolina Central. Chance to win started at 33%, low 30%, high 89%.

L 14-41 vs Holy Cross No. 216 of 668 teams

lost by 27 as a 6-point favorite

William & Mary lost 14-41 vs Holy Cross. Chance to win started at 77%, low under 1%, high 78%.

L 7-62 @ Duke No. 51 of 668 teams

lost by 55 as a 43.5-point underdog

William & Mary lost 7-62 at Duke. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 1%.

L 27-52 vs Fordham No. 240 of 668 teams

lost by 25 as a 15.5-point favorite

William & Mary lost 27-52 vs Fordham. Chance to win started at 89%, low under 1%, high 93%.

L 20-44 @ Lehigh No. 133 of 668 teams

lost by 24 as a 13.5-point underdog

William & Mary lost 20-44 at Lehigh. Chance to win started at 15%, low under 1%, high 15%.

W 22-15 vs Delaware State No. 187 of 668 teams

won by 7 as a 9.5-point favorite

William & Mary won 22-15 vs Delaware State. Chance to win started at 81%, low 80%, high better than 99%.

W 35-32 @ Villanova No. 146 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 12.5-point underdog

William & Mary won 35-32 at Villanova. Chance to win started at 13%, low 2%, high better than 99%.

Last three games

Colgate · 4-4

Rated 214th in our preseason ratings, 177th now, up 37 spots.

Three straight losses.

L 6-13 @ Richmond No. 195 of 668 teams

lost by 7 as a 2.5-point underdog

L 17-27 vs Georgetown No. 248 of 668 teams

lost by 10 as a 20.5-point favorite

Colgate lost 17-27 vs Georgetown. Chance to win started at 94%, low under 1%, high 99%.

L 17-20 @ Harvard No. 171 of 668 teams

lost by 3 as a 4.5-point underdog

Colgate lost 17-20 at Harvard. Chance to win started at 31%, low under 1%, high 94%.

W 28-21 @ Villanova No. 171 of 668 teams

won by 7 as a 3-point underdog

W 20-7 vs Cornell No. 249 of 668 teams

won by 13 as a 12.5-point favorite

Colgate won 20-7 vs Cornell. Chance to win started at 85%, low 84%, high better than 99%.

L 10-13 @ Central Michigan No. 131 of 668 teams

lost by 3 as an 18.5-point underdog

Colgate lost 10-13 at Central Michigan. Chance to win started at 9%, low under 1%, high 60%.

W 35-10 vs Holy Cross No. 209 of 668 teams

won by 25 as a 4.5-point favorite

Colgate won 35-10 vs Holy Cross. Chance to win started at 70%, low 69%, high better than 99%.

W 24-14 @ Fordham No. 249 of 668 teams

won by 10 as an 8.5-point favorite

Colgate won 24-14 at Fordham. Chance to win started at 63%, low 55%, high 97%.

Week by week

Colgate

Wk 3: W 20-7 vs Cornell▲13CornellWk 4: W 28-21 at Villanova▲7VillanovaWk 5: L 17-20 at Harvard▼3HarvardWk 7: L 17-27 vs Georgetown▼10Georgeto…Wk 8: L 6-13 at Richmond▼7Richmond
  • Wk 3Wvs Cornell20-7
  • Wk 4Wat Villanova28-21
  • Wk 5Lat Harvard17-20
  • Wk 7Lvs Georgetown17-27
  • Wk 8Lat Richmond6-13

William & Mary

Wk 3: L 27-52 vs Fordham▼25FordhamWk 4: L 7-62 at Duke▼55DukeWk 5: L 14-41 vs Holy Cross▼27Holy Cro…Wk 6: W 17-14 at North Carolina Central▲3N. Carol…Wk 8: L 27-28 vs Georgetown▼1Georgeto…
  • Wk 3Lvs Fordham27-52
  • Wk 4Lat Duke7-62
  • Wk 5Lvs Holy Cross14-41
  • Wk 6Wat North Carolina Central17-14
  • Wk 8Lvs Georgetown27-28

Power rating by week

Colgate is rated 5.5 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-4-9-13Wk 0Wk 4Wk 8ColgateWilliam & Mary

The series

The series is tied 3-3

6 meetings since 1973 · William & Mary has won the last 2

Colgate wonWilliam & Mary won1973: Colgate by 71975: Colgate by 41979: William & Mary by 132018: Colgate by 232019: William & Mary by 282021: William & Mary by 2019732021
  • 2021William & Mary 27-7
  • 2019William & Mary 38-10
  • 2018Colgate 23-0
  • 1979William & Mary 28-15
  • 1975Colgate 21-17

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Colgate’s chances here.

50-50Model 87% · Line 82%William & MaryColgate

Colgate favored by 11.5 · Total 45.5

How games like this usually go

Colgate by 11.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 448 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Colgate is worth +17.4 points more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile.

100% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (1-0 home, 0-10 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.5 at home vs. away over 55 games — inside the ±7.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 388 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.