Lafayette at William & Mary

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Lafayette
3-5 Lost last game
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William & Mary
3-6 Lost 2 straight
Sat, Nov 7 · 1:00 PM ET · Zable StadiumAdd to calendar: Google · other

Lafayette (3‑5) at William & Mary (3‑6) — no line yet, and the model has this one close to even.

How they got here

Last three games

Lafayette · 3-5

Rated 200th in our preseason ratings, 226th now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 21-44 vs Villanova No. 162 of 668 teams

lost by 23 as a 7-point underdog

Lafayette lost 21-44 vs Villanova. Chance to win started at 35%, low under 1%, high 48%.

W 31-17 @ Fordham No. 255 of 668 teams

won by 14 as a 2.5-point favorite

Lafayette won 31-17 at Fordham. Chance to win started at 52%, low 27%, high better than 99%.

W 20-7 @ Bucknell No. 255 of 668 teams

won by 13 as a 4.5-point favorite

Lafayette won 20-7 at Bucknell. Chance to win started at 45%, low 38%, high 97%.

L 31-40 vs Richmond No. 195 of 668 teams

lost by 9 as a 6.5-point underdog

Lafayette lost 31-40 vs Richmond. Chance to win started at 41%, low 5%, high 94%.

L 30-38 vs Holy Cross No. 241 of 668 teams

lost by 8 as a 4-point favorite

Lafayette lost 30-38 vs Holy Cross. Chance to win started at 69%, low 1%, high 70%.

L 34-40 @ Columbia No. 243 of 668 teams

lost by 6 as a 3-point underdog

Lafayette lost 34-40 at Columbia. Chance to win started at 29%, low under 1%, high 71%.

W 13-9 vs Marist No. 223 of 668 teams

won by 4 as a 15.5-point favorite

Lafayette won 13-9 vs Marist. Chance to win started at 89%, low 56%, high 99%.

L 7-56 @ UConn No. 122 of 668 teams

lost by 49 as a 21.5-point underdog

Lafayette lost 7-56 at UConn. Chance to win started at 5%, low under 1%, high 5%.

Last three games

William & Mary · 3-6

Rated 183rd in our preseason ratings, 251st now.

1-2 in its last three, including a 3-point win over North Carolina Central as a 2.5-point underdog.

L 0-37 @ Colgate No. 169 of 668 teams

lost by 37 as an 11.5-point underdog

William & Mary lost 0-37 at Colgate. Chance to win started at 16%, low under 1%, high 28%.

L 27-28 vs Georgetown No. 243 of 668 teams

lost by 1 as a 6-point favorite

William & Mary lost 27-28 vs Georgetown. Chance to win started at 87%, low 10%, high 96%.

W 17-14 @ North Carolina Central No. 243 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 2.5-point underdog

William & Mary won 17-14 at North Carolina Central. Chance to win started at 33%, low 30%, high 89%.

L 14-41 vs Holy Cross No. 216 of 668 teams

lost by 27 as a 6-point favorite

William & Mary lost 14-41 vs Holy Cross. Chance to win started at 77%, low under 1%, high 78%.

L 7-62 @ Duke No. 51 of 668 teams

lost by 55 as a 43.5-point underdog

William & Mary lost 7-62 at Duke. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 1%.

L 27-52 vs Fordham No. 240 of 668 teams

lost by 25 as a 15.5-point favorite

William & Mary lost 27-52 vs Fordham. Chance to win started at 89%, low under 1%, high 93%.

L 20-44 @ Lehigh No. 133 of 668 teams

lost by 24 as a 13.5-point underdog

William & Mary lost 20-44 at Lehigh. Chance to win started at 15%, low under 1%, high 15%.

W 22-15 vs Delaware State No. 187 of 668 teams

won by 7 as a 9.5-point favorite

William & Mary won 22-15 vs Delaware State. Chance to win started at 81%, low 80%, high better than 99%.

W 35-32 @ Villanova No. 146 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 12.5-point underdog

William & Mary won 35-32 at Villanova. Chance to win started at 13%, low 2%, high better than 99%.

What’s at stake

Lafayette

  • Lafayette is still shaking off a 23-point loss.

William & Mary

  • William & Mary is still shaking off a 37-point loss.

See this week’s biggest postseason implications ›

The series

William & Mary leads the series 6-1

7 meetings since 2012 · William & Mary has won the last 6

William & Mary wonLafayette won2012: Lafayette by 32013: William & Mary by 282014: William & Mary by 142015: William & Mary by 272019: William & Mary by 132021: William & Mary by 212022: William & Mary by 2720122022
  • 2022William & Mary 34-7
  • 2021William & Mary 24-3
  • 2019William & Mary 30-17
  • 2015William & Mary 34-7
  • 2014William & Mary 33-19

Home field

William & Mary is worth +9.1 points (±9.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile.

33% at home, 9% on the road against FBS opponents (1-2 home, 1-10 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.6 at home vs. away over 57 games — inside the ±8.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 250 miles to get here.

Week by week

William & Mary

Wk 4: L 7-62 at Duke▼55DukeWk 5: L 14-41 vs Holy Cross▼27Holy Cro…Wk 6: W 17-14 at North Carolina Central▲3N. Carol…Wk 8: L 27-28 vs Georgetown▼1Georgeto…Wk 9: L 0-37 at Colgate▼37Colgate
  • Wk 4Lat Duke7-62
  • Wk 5Lvs Holy Cross14-41
  • Wk 6Wat North Carolina Central17-14
  • Wk 8Lvs Georgetown27-28
  • Wk 9Lat Colgate0-37

Lafayette

Wk 4: L 30-38 vs Holy Cross▼8Holy Cro…Wk 5: L 31-40 vs Richmond▼9RichmondWk 7: W 20-7 at Bucknell▲13BucknellWk 8: W 31-17 at Fordham▲14FordhamWk 9: L 21-44 vs Villanova▼23Villanova
  • Wk 4Lvs Holy Cross30-38
  • Wk 5Lvs Richmond31-40
  • Wk 7Wat Bucknell20-7
  • Wk 8Wat Fordham31-17
  • Wk 9Lvs Villanova21-44

Power rating by week

Lafayette is rated 2.2 points ahead as of week 10. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-7-10-14Wk 0Wk 5Wk 10William & MaryLafayette

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.