William & Mary beats Delaware State 22-15
Team pages: Delaware State · William & Mary
William & Mary beat Delaware State 22-15. Share this game
We had William & Mary favored. It won.
Next: Delaware State beat Bowie State 21-6, Sat Sep 12
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave William & Mary a 64% chance, and the closing betting line (William & Mary was a 9.5-point favorite) put it at 78%.
Favored the whole way: William & Mary never fell below 79%.
Delaware State never had better than a 20% chance.
William & Mary 22-15 Delaware State
William & Mary wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Delaware State 15-22 William & MaryDelaware State lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (William & Mary -9.5), at 81% for William & Mary (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
William & Mary scored on 5 of its 15 drives; Delaware State on 2 of its 14.
William & Mary’s drives are teal, Delaware State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
William & Mary 22, Delaware State 15
Delaware State covered +9.5 by 2.5. The total, 37, stayed under 54.5.
Delaware State leaders
- Passing Ui Ale 15 of 31, 138 yds, 2 INT
- Rushing Jayden Jenkins 10 for 57 yds; Noah Brannock 7 for 45 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving Terrence Rone 3 for 42 yds; Jayden Jenkins 4 for 40 yds
William & Mary leaders
- Passing Winston Watkins 6 of 12, 95 yds
- Rushing Andrew King 15 for 73 yds, 2 TD; Winston Watkins 14 for 20 yds
- Receiving Khylil Johnson 4 for 83 yds; Kai Austin 1 for 7 yds
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Delaware State · 8-4
Rated 187th in our preseason ratings, 187th now.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 17-28 vs South Carolina State #111 of 667
lost by 11 as a 5.5-point underdog
W 26-13 vs Howard #244 of 667
won by 13 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 14-12 @ Morgan State #215 of 667
won by 2 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 27-20 vs Norfolk State #254 of 667
won by 7 as a 17.5-point favorite
W 35-26 @ North Carolina Central #133 of 667
won by 9 as an 18-point underdog
W 70-23 vs Southern Connecticut State #408 of 667
L 38-49 @ Monmouth #141 of 667
lost by 11 as a 21.5-point underdog
L 31-35 @ Sacred Heart #233 of 667
lost by 4 as a 5-point favorite
W 39-10 @ Saint Francis #252 of 667
won by 29 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 36-14 vs Bowie State #306 of 667
W 37-32 vs UAlbany #176 of 667
won by 5 as a 12.5-point underdog
L 17-35 @ Delaware #140 of 667
lost by 18 as a 30.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
William & Mary · 7-5
Rated 183rd in our preseason ratings, 183rd now.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 21-28 vs Richmond #186 of 667
lost by 7 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 55-14 @ Hampton #269 of 667
won by 41 as an 18.5-point favorite
W 30-27 @ Campbell #234 of 667
won by 3 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 37-7 vs UAlbany #251 of 667
won by 30 as a 19-point favorite
L 24-34 @ New Hampshire #171 of 667
lost by 10 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 26-21 vs Elon #149 of 667
won by 5 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 38-34 vs North Carolina A&T #255 of 667
won by 4 as a 20.5-point favorite
L 24-31 @ Villanova #157 of 667
lost by 7 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 34-7 vs Charleston Southern #243 of 667
won by 27 as an 11.5-point favorite
L 16-55 @ VirginiaTop 25 #53 of 667
lost by 39 as a 29.5-point underdog
W 28-27 vs Maine #184 of 667
won by 1 as a 7-point favorite
L 21-23 @ Furman #217 of 667
lost by 2 as a 2.5-point underdog
Week by week
William & Mary
- Wk 1Wat Villanova35-32
Delaware State
- Wk 1Wvs Stony Brook41-34
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on William & Mary’s chances here.
William & Mary favored by 9.5 · Total 54.5
How games like this usually go
William & Mary by 9.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 0.5 points toward Delaware State.
The total fell 2 points.
Spread: −10 → −9.5 · Total: 56.5 → 54.5
The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
William & Mary is worth +9.1 points (±9.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile.
33% at home, 9% on the road against FBS opponents (1-2 home, 1-10 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.1 at home vs. away over 55 games — inside the ±8.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 147 miles to get here.