Monmouth · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Monmouth · medium confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Monmouth1993
Program founding
Monmouth starts football under Callahan and posts a winning record in year one
Monmouth9-3Hope-Doping·Offseason
Monmouth is the program Kevin Callahan built from nothing over 33 years into a 197-win institution — and 2025 was his last season, leaving the Hawks to carry a legend's legacy into an uncertain new era.
Title DroughtSince 2021 · 4 yrs
The fanbase says Monmouth spent 30 years proving you can build an FCS program without a big-school budget or a century of tradition — Callahan's 197 wins against programs with exponentially more resou…
low signal
Approaching
23 days
until kickoff · at Tennessee Tech · Sat Aug 29 · 23:00 UTC
The experience
Monmouth is the program Kevin Callahan built from nothing over 33 years into a 197-win institution — and 2025 was his last season, leaving the Hawks to carry a legend's legacy into an uncertain new era.
The Hawks are patient.
Monmouth · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 7-5
Base 9-3
Ceiling 12-0
floor7-5Competitive but likely outside the at-large field.
base9-3Conference title contender. Playoff bid realistic.
ceiling12-0Conference title + deep playoff run.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Mixed
Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.
Streak L1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 7-3
The forecast
Opens Aug 29
vs Tennessee Tech · away
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Monmouth
—
The Hawks are patient.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Hawks."
— Monmouth fanbase · recurring line
3 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Monmouth · medium confidence
Growing (55)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 9-3 (75% win rate)71
Volume — 2 effective signal-N38
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Monmouth · 2025 schedule & results9-3Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 36% · 0 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #163 | #251 | -14.5 | @Colgate | W 42–39 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #211 | #183 | -14.5 | @Fordham | W 49–28 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #180 | #237 | +2.5 | @Charlotte | L 35–42 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #161 | #128 | -3.5 | Villanova | W 51–33 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #153 | #199 | -21.5 | Delaware State | W 49–38 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #149 | #187 | -7 | @Towson | W 42–31 | 5-1 | 1-0 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #141 | #148 | -9 | Stony Brook | W 49–21 | 6-1 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #118 | #262 | -25 | @Hampton | W 28–10 | 7-1 | 3-0 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #116 | #238 | -14 | @Bryant | W 35–7 | 8-1 | 4-0 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #102 | #178 | -12.5 | New Hampshire | L 13–34 | 8-2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #130 | #265 | -21.5 | @North Carolina A&T | W 63–19 | 9-2 | 5-1 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #109 | #250 | -29.5 | UAlbany | L 24–31 | 9-3 | 5-2 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | UAlbany | L 24–31 | — | — | — | +0.044 | 42.6% | 101.3% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Nov 15 | @North Carolina A&T | W 63–19 | — | — | — | +0.741 | 57.6% | 162.2% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Nov 8 | New Hampshire | L 13–34 | — | — | — | +0.058 | 39.3% | 140.7% | |
| Nov 1 | @Bryant | W 35–7 | — | — | — | +0.383 | 48.5% | 147.1% | Best defensive stand |
| Oct 25 | @Hampton | W 28–10 | — | — | — | +0.089 | 52.2% | 86.9% | |
| Oct 18 | Stony Brook | W 49–21 | — | — | — | +0.318 | 42.4% | 161.0% | Blowout win |
| Oct 11 | @Towson | W 42–31 | — | — | — | +0.467 | 65.3% | 94.6% | Best success rate |
| Oct 4 | Delaware State | W 49–38 | — | — | — | +0.553 | 57.0% | 145.4% | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 20 | Villanova | W 51–33 | — | — | — | +0.557 | 56.9% | 142.3% | |
| Sep 13 | @Charlotte | L 35–42 | — | — | — | +0.318 | 53.4% | 119.0% | One-score loss |
| Sep 6 | @Fordham | W 49–28 | — | — | — | +0.224 | 43.3% | 120.6% | |
| Aug 29 | @Colgate | W 42–39 | — | — | — | +0.415 | 58.9% | 140.1% | One-score win |
| Season average (12 games) | — | — | +0.347 | 51.5% | 130.1% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Monmouth's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.35; 94th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.09. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.41 raw vs. 0.06 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Monmouth · 2018-present
Strong
67% home win rate vs 53% on the road. margin runs +12.9 better at home. Kessler Stadium seats 4,200, averaging 76% full (3,182 attendance, 8 games reported).
Home27-13Away22-19
Venue texture
65°F average kickoff temp; 11% of games had measurable precipitation; 10 mph average wind.
Based on 27 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Monmouth
National Program
All-Time Record
147-127
since 1896 · 40 seasons · .536 win rate
HOME
36-16
AWAY
62-75
NEUTRAL
49-36
1890s
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
2000s
2010s
2020s
CAA Standing · 2025
4th in the CAA
Monmouth sits 4th of 13 in the CAA at 5-2. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rhode Island | 8-0 |
| 2 | New Hampshire | 5-1 |
| 3 | Maine | 5-2 |
| 4 | Monmouth | 5-2 |
| 5 | Elon | 4-2 |
| 6 | Stony Brook | 4-3 |
| 7 | Towson | 4-3 |
| 8 | Campbell | 2-5 |
| 9 | North Carolina A&T | 2-5 |
| 10 | UAlbany | 1-5 |
| 11 | Bryant | 1-7 |
| 12 | Sacred Heart | 0-0 |
| 13 | Hampton | 0-6 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2019
First FCS playoff victory
Monmouth defeats Holy Cross 44-27 in the first-round — the program's first-ever FCS postseason win
2025
Callahan's final season
Kevin Callahan goes 9-3 in his 33rd and final season, closing the only coaching era Monmouth has known at the FCS level
Moment of the Year · Monmouth · 2025
Moment of the Year · Monmouth · 2025Won 49-28 at Fordham
Week 2 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.
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