NORTHEAST 10 CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON BASELINE · 2026 OUTLOOK
Southern Connecticut State
Rank #359
Team Mood Card — Offseason Mode
Southern Connecticut State fan conversation is quiet right now.
The Mood Card lights up during the season, when live fan, national, and rival chatter clears the publish gate. In the offseason we hold the frame open rather than print fake precision. Live signal returns once weekly conversation volume rebuilds.
Cohort Signal
Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›
Fanbase Archetype
How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).
Fanbase Archetype
The Content Mid-Major
Primary: 68% confidence
Programs that win more than they should, given resources. The fanbase is proud but realistic. They know the ceiling. They celebrate the overachievements.
SIGNATURE PHRASE
“Punching above our weight”
MODIFIERS
· Entrenched
5-Season Migration
Performance Narrative
Season Rating Journey
One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.
Rating rose
Rating fell
Little movement
Ring shows opponent level
Result
--
Power Swing
--
Rating Path
--
Week 9 · vs St. Anselm
Week 7 · @ Delaware State
Week 11 · @ Franklin Pierce
Betting Lens
Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.
Efficiency Dashboard
Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.
Offense
13th pct
Defense
12th pct
Adjusted values: -0.00 offense, +0.01 defense
Sample: 1 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
47th pct
Defense
87th pct
Adjusted values: -0.03 offense, -0.02 defense
Sample: 1 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
12th pct
Defense
87th pct
Adjusted values: +0.04 offense, -0.06 defense
Sample: 1 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
12th pct
Defense
76th pct
Adjusted values: -0.00 offense, -0.02 defense
Sample: 1 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Why The Model Has Them Here
A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.
Power -2.5
Currently -2.5 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Defensive Efficiency currently grades around the 87th percentile.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Resume 18
Body of work: best signal beat St. Anselm 37-13. Closest call lost to Franklin Pierce 7-38. 18th percentile season.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2-2 over the last 4 (W9 L10 L11 W12)
Last four games: 2-2 over the last 4 (W9 L10 L11 W12). Power is 28 points ahead of resume through the most recent season — the underlying strength rating outpaces what the body of work says.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2025 Season
Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 4-6. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2026, it still belongs to this season page.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Placement Context
This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.
Overall Board#359
Inside DII#92 of 163
Inside Northeast 10#6 of 8
Power-2.5pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume1818th percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborEndicott College
Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.
Closest Neighbors
The quickest way to explain a ranking is often to show the teams immediately around it.
Overall Ahead
Power +0.0 | Resume -15
#358 Roosevelt
DII | GLIAC
Overall Behind
Power -0.0 | Resume +18
#360 Wheeling
DII | Mountain East
DII Ahead
Power +0.0 | Resume -15
#358 Roosevelt
DII | GLIAC
Northeast 10 Ahead
Power +0.2 | Resume +1
#354 American International
DII | Northeast 10
Cross-Level Neighbor
Power -0.2 | Resume +61
#363 Endicott College
DIII | Commonwealth Coast
Historical Snapshot
Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.
Program Arc
Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.
Season Phase Split
How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.
Regular Season 4-6 in 10 games
| Phase | Record | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 4-6 | 10 |
Loaded History Signals
This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.
Impact Cards
A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.
Week 12
Regular Season
vs Post University
Result
Win
Pregame
-17.68
Power
+0.51
Resume
+0.07
Postgame
-17.17
Week 11
Regular Season
@ Franklin Pierce
Result
Loss
Pregame
-16.98
Power
-0.70
Resume
-0.09
Postgame
-17.68
Week 10
Regular Season
@ Assumption
Result
Loss
Pregame
-16.31
Power
-0.68
Resume
-0.14
Postgame
-16.98
Week 9
Regular Season
vs St. Anselm
Result
Win
Pregame
-18.12
Power
+1.82
Resume
+0.18
Postgame
-16.31
Week 8
Regular Season
@ Pace
Result
Win
Pregame
-18.69
Power
+0.56
Resume
+0.12
Postgame
-18.12
Week 7
Regular Season
@ Delaware State
Result
Loss
Pregame
-19.58
Power
+0.89
Resume
-0.05
Postgame
-18.69
Week 6
Regular Season
vs Bentley
Result
Loss
Pregame
-19.67
Power
+0.09
Resume
-0.04
Postgame
-19.58
Week 5
Regular Season
@ Catawba
Result
Loss
Pregame
-19.79
Power
+0.12
Resume
-0.82
Postgame
-19.67
Week 4
Regular Season
vs American International
Result
Win
Pregame
-20.35
Power
+0.56
Resume
+0.24
Postgame
-19.79
Week 3
Regular Season
@ Post University
Result
Loss
Pregame
--
Power
--
Resume
--
Postgame
--
2025 Season Schedule And Rating Movement
Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.
| Week | Date | Game | Phase | Result | Close | ATS | Total | Pregame | Power Change | Resume Change | Postgame |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sep 13, 2025 | @ Post University DII | Regular Season | L 30-39 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 4 | Sep 20, 2025 | vs American International DII | Regular Season | W 10-3 | -- | -- | -- | -20.35 | +0.56 | +0.24 | -19.79 |
| 5 | Sep 27, 2025 | @ Catawba DII | Regular Season | L 23-63 | -- | -- | -- | -19.79 | +0.12 | -0.82 | -19.67 |
| 6 | Oct 4, 2025 | vs Bentley DII | Regular Season | L 21-34 | -- | -- | -- | -19.67 | +0.09 | -0.04 | -19.58 |
| 7 | Oct 11, 2025 | @ Delaware State FCS | Regular Season | L 23-70 | -- | -- | -- | -19.58 | +0.89 | -0.05 | -18.69 |
| 8 | Oct 18, 2025 | @ Pace DII | Regular Season | W 35-34 | -- | -- | -- | -18.69 | +0.56 | +0.12 | -18.12 |
| 9 | Oct 25, 2025 | vs St. Anselm DII | Regular Season | W 37-13 | -- | -- | -- | -18.12 | +1.82 | +0.18 | -16.31 |
| 10 | Nov 1, 2025 | @ Assumption DII | Regular Season | L 7-38 | -- | -- | -- | -16.31 | -0.68 | -0.14 | -16.98 |
| 11 | Nov 8, 2025 | @ Franklin Pierce DII | Regular Season | L 7-38 | -- | -- | -- | -16.98 | -0.70 | -0.09 | -17.68 |
| 12 | Nov 15, 2025 | vs Post University DII | Regular Season | W 52-45 | -- | -- | -- | -17.68 | +0.51 | +0.07 | -17.17 |
Year-By-Year Results
The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.
| Season | Lens | Record | Final Rank | End Power | End Resume | Games | Points For | Points Against | Margin |
|---|