cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Luke Hodge /Troy

Luke Hodge

LB · Troy · Jr · #44

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

42 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Troy for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Troy for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Troy

Returning around him

  • 33% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (14 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Troy · Last season: 8-6 · Talent rank #99 · 2026 recruiting class #82

LB · TROY · SUN BELT

Luke Hodge

  • 3
  • #44
  • 6-2 | 224 lb
  • Oneonta, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

55

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 67th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13729

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★
#2198 national
CFB
College
Troy
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey44
Measurements6-2 | 224 lb
HometownOneonta, AL
Primary teamTroy

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 2-star No. 2198 recruit
Composite rating 0.7833 HighSchool
Signed with Hudson Valley 2022
Origin Oneonta Oneonta, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 2-star | 0.7833 No. 2198 recruit | HighSchool | Hudson Valley

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13729Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13837Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★☆☆☆

to Hudson Valley

Composite

0.7833

#2198 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Luke Hodge

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Luke Hodge

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 14g
42Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
42Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Luke Hodge is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Troy's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13729 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 2.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 42 19 solo | #834/4942 (83rd pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
42 83rd
SOLO
19 76th
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 38-20vs Nicholls000.00.00
Wk 2L 16-27@ Clemson420.00.01
Wk 3L 7-28vs Memphis211.00.00
Wk 4W 21-17@ Buffalo210.00.00
Wk 6W 31-24vs South Alabama521.50.01
Wk 7W 48-41@ Texas State430.00.00
Wk 8W 37-14@ UL Monroe100.00.00
Wk 9W 35-23vs Louisiana110.00.00
Wk 10L 10-23vs Arkansas State330.00.00
Wk 12L 0-33@ Old Dominion410.00.00
Wk 13W 31-19vs Georgia State920.00.00Season-high 9 tackles
Wk 14W 28-18@ Southern Miss100.00.00
Wk 15L 14-31@ James Madison520.00.00
BowlL 13-17@ Jacksonville State110.00.00
Total42192.50.02
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Troy4-8HC: Gerad Parker · Run-leaning
2025Troy8-6HC: Gerad Parker · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Troy42192.50.02----
2024Troy510.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons47202.50.02----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 42 #834/4942 83rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 19 #1095/4584 76th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g3.30.40.00.2
Road8g2.80.00.00.1

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g2.90.20.00.1
Losses6g3.20.20.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.60.40.00.3
Weeks 8+7g3.40.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

55Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: sacks (23rd).

QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Tackles#834 / 2975 · 71st pct
42defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Solo tackles#1095 / 2975 · 62nd pct
19defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Luke HodgeTroyBlake FletcherAir Force· 79% simBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 78% simRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 75% sim
QB hurries
72
Hodge
92
Fletcher
72
Llewellyn
55
Fitzgerald
Tackles
71
Hodge
99
Fletcher
99
Llewellyn
99
Fitzgerald
Passes defended
67
Hodge
67
Fletcher
86
Llewellyn
86
Fitzgerald
Solo tackles
62
Hodge
91
Fletcher
95
Llewellyn
100
Fitzgerald
Tackles for loss
56
Hodge
28
Fletcher
80
Llewellyn
85
Fitzgerald
Sacks
24
Hodge
24
Fletcher
24
Llewellyn
24
Fitzgerald

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Coverage 'Backer

Carries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Solon Page III’s 2021 season.

Solon Page III

90%match

Tennessee · 2021

#2

Austin Harnetiaux

Nevada · 2025

85%
#3

Jaden Dolphin

Northern Illinois · 2022

83%
#4

Martell Hughes

Arizona State · 2025

82%
#5

Kerion Martin

Marshall · 2022

82%

Matches Solon on

TFL rate
Tackle volume
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Langston Long's sophomore season at Virginia (2022).

Langston Long

88%match

Virginia · 2022

#2

Jeremiah Telander

Tennessee · 2024

86%
#3

Malachi Hood

Illinois · 2025

85%
#4

Alex Sanford Jr.

Purdue · 2025

83%
#5

Austin Harnetiaux

Nevada · 2024

82%

Matches Langston on

Weight
PD rate
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Gerad Parker

Pass share

47.1%

431 pass / 484 run

Plays / game

65.4

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

17.0%

342 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Gerad Parker
Troy
2025
Gerad Parker
Troy

Played his entire career under Gerad Parker.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOneonta, AL
Height6'2"
Weight224 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey44

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Troy LB3 #13729 #13837 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Troy LB3 #9474 #8956 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Troy LB3 #9737 #9130 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Troy Sun Belt LB 3 No. 44 | 6-2 | 224 lb | Oneonta, AL
2024 Troy Sun Belt LB 3 No. 44 | 6-2 | 224 lb | Oneonta, AL
2023 Troy Sun Belt LB 3 No. 44 | 6-2 | 224 lb | Oneonta, AL
2022 Troy Sun Belt LB 3 No. 44 | 6-2 | 224 lb | Oneonta, AL