cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Max Dowling /Massachusetts

Max Dowling

TE · Massachusetts · Jr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

199 REC YDS · 20 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Massachusetts for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Massachusetts for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Massachusetts

Returning around him

  • 76% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (22 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Massachusetts · Last season: 0-12 · Talent rank #118 · 2026 recruiting class #136

TE · MASSACHUSETTS · MID-AMERICAN

Max Dowling

  • 3
  • #11
  • 6-6 | 240 lb
  • Buffalo, NY

CFB Zeitgeist Score

53

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 66th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3704

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Massachusetts
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class3
Jersey11
Measurements6-6 | 240 lb
HometownBuffalo, NY
Primary teamMassachusetts

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#3704Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3671Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Max Dowling

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Max Dowling

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

3

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #222 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 58th

Why it matters

#222 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 3 TDs on 20 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 3 (58th)

MODERATE · n=20 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#419 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#502 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 5 at Missouri — 1 receiving_tds

Result L 6-42

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Missouri.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
199Rec yards
20Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
19.9Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
258.7Rec yards
26Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 199): needs 167/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 199): needs 267/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 20): needs 13.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 20): needs 20/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 1.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.3/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Max Dowling's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Massachusetts, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3704 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 20 3 rec TD | #102/475 (79th pct)
Receiving yards 199 10.0 per catch | #113/475 (76th pct)
Scrimmage yards 199 Total offensive yardage | #113/475 (76th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
20 79th
YDS
199 76th
YPR
10.0 54th
TD
3 91st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2L 26-27vs Bryant33612.0019
Wk 3L 7-47@ Iowa263.003
Wk 5L 6-42@ Missouri2147.0112
Wk 6L 3-21vs Western Michigan372.304
Wk 7L 6-42@ Kent State12020.0020
Wk 8L 21-28vs Buffalo17777.0177Season-high 77 yds
Wk 9L 13-38@ Central Michigan144.004
Wk 11L 10-44@ Akron242.003
Wk 12L 3-45vs Northern Illinois188.008
Wk 14L 14-45vs Bowling Green4235.8110
Total2019914.1377
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Massachusetts0-12HC: Joe Harasymiak · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Massachusetts201999.93--
Career1 loaded season201999.93--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.8% 8.6% pass-game share | #122/468 (74th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #45/475 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 20 #102/475 79th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 199 #113/475 76th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #45/475 91st pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 10.0 #220/475 54th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 8.6% #122/468 74th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 77 #4/475 99th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.6% #94/468 80th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 5.5% #124/468 74th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.1% #111/468 76th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 4.8% #93/468 80th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 4.4% #94/468 80th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 3.4% #175/468 63rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g2.430.221.00.4
Road5g1.69.67.20.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Losses10g2.019.914.10.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.216.68.90.2
Weeks 8+5g1.823.219.40.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

53Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: long catch (98th).

Long catch#4 / 175 · 98th pct
77rece
Rec TDs#45 / 175 · 66th pct
3rece
Receptions#102 / 175 · 39th pct
20rece
Yards / catch#106 / 175 · 39th pct
10.0rece
Rec yards#112 / 175 · 36th pct
199rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2022

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Max DowlingMassachusettsJack EndriesTexas· 77% simNoah MeyersWestern Kentucky· 76% simSeydou TraoreMississippi State· 72% sim
Long catch
98
Dowling
87
Endries
91
Meyers
87
Traore
Rec TDs
66
Dowling
66
Endries
66
Meyers
89
Traore
Receptions
39
Dowling
77
Endries
75
Meyers
80
Traore
Yards / catch
39
Dowling
47
Endries
60
Meyers
49
Traore
Rec yards
36
Dowling
68
Endries
70
Meyers
73
Traore

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Luke Schoonmaker’s 2021 season.

Luke Schoonmaker

77%match

Michigan · 2021

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 27
#2

Jake Johnson

Texas A&M · 2023

77%
#3

Jacob Orlando

Buffalo · 2024

74%
#4

Jacob Warren

Tennessee · 2021

68%
#5

Davis Allen

Clemson · 2021

NFL Rd 5
63%

Matches Luke on

Reception volume
Height
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Luke on

Weight (lower)
Class year (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Jake Johnson's sophomore season at Texas A&M (2023).

Jake Johnson

89%match

Texas A&M · 2023

#2

Jacob Warren

Tennessee · 2021

80%
#3

Ethan Davis

Tennessee · 2024

79%
#4

Davis Allen

Clemson · 2021

All-ACCNFL Rd 5
77%
#5

Louis Hansen

UConn · 2024

74%

Matches Jake on

Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
TD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Joe Harasymiak

Pass share

54.2%

415 pass / 351 run

Plays / game

63.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.9%

342 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Joe Harasymiak
Massachusetts

Played his entire career under Joe Harasymiak.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBuffalo, NY
Height6'6"
Weight240 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2022 Kansas TE3 #3704 #3671 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Massachusetts Mid-American TE 3 No. 11 | 6-6 | 240 lb | Buffalo, NY
2022 Kansas Big 12 TE 3 No. 11 | 6-6 | 240 lb | Buffalo, NY