MOST Missouri State 0-1 0 TA&M No. 8 Texas A&M1-0 50 Final No. 8 Texas A&M routed Missouri State 50-0. Share this game
We had Texas A&M favored. It won.
Top comment in the game thread
I have never seen a smarter intentional safety before, genuine props to Missouri for that kick
Q1 1:17 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 5 How it swung Watch the plays Drives What it cost Box score Weather Before kickoff How it swung Before kickoff, our ratings gave Texas A&M a 96% chance, and the closing betting line (Texas A&M was a 38.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.
Texas A&M led by 9 after the first quarter and by 19 at the half.
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 0 +50 +50 Final Texas A&M 50-0 Missouri State Texas A&M won Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. Final Missouri State 0-50 Texas A&M Missouri State lost Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Texas A&M Won 50-0 Scores Texas A&M M. 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A&M M. State Texas A&M fans: 0 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 3 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 5 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 9 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 9 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 14 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 9 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 14 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 7 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 5 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 3 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 7 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 3 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 5 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 2 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 9 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 3 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 2 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 3 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 5 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 3 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 0 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 2 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 3 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Texas A&M Lowest 0% Lost 0-50 Scores M. State Texas A&M Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 1 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Missouri State fans: 0 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 0 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 3 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 5 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 9 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 9 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 14 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 9 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 14 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 7 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 5 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 3 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 7 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 3 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 5 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 2 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 9 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 3 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 2 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 3 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 5 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 3 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 0 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 2 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 3 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Texas A&M Lowest 0% Lost 0-50 Scores M. State T. 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See it from Missouri State’s side No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
Q1 6:55 Texas A&M fans rage at officiating after Reed's pass is overturned Reed is absolutely dealing and his WRs are selling r/CFB game thread What are these refs trying to prove? r/CFB game thread Q1 1:17 Missouri State punter fumbles for safety as Texas A&M fans criticize offensive line Quoted at the top of the page. Huh. I don’t think I’ve ever seen a safety happen that way r/CFB game thread Q1 0:35 A safety was scored in an unusual way. is that a safety? Genuinely? penalty in the end zone right? r/CFB game thread Q2 10:38 Fans argue rules analyst overturned fumble call on Horton catch That looks like a fumble. This rules analyst is on crack r/CFB game thread Rules announcer is high. It's clearly out before the knee goes down. r/CFB game thread Q2 9:38 Texas A&M fans criticize the offense after Locklear's turnover on downs All the other teams are enjoying their blowout wins today, of course it’s Texas A&M that is the one school that ain’t r/CFB game thread The commercials are almost as bad as the offense r/CFB game thread Q2 3:22 Texas A&M fans argue the incomplete Reed pass was DPI before Olano kicks a field goal Wait I can trust my kicker? r/CFB game thread Q2 0:29 Fans react to Mario Craver flexing after his touchdown Craver acting like arch flexing on the defender r/CFB game thread Q3 6:17 Texas A&M fans fear injuries to Craver and Bethel-Roman after hard hits To be fair, it's usually a hospital ball because it's so easy to catch you get slammed going up for it, not because you throw it so hard they dive for it r/CFB game thread Texas A&M’s chance to win after every play. How to read this chart Starts from the pregame line (Texas A&M -38.5), at 99% for Texas A&M (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Texas A&M or Missouri State flair (1,270 and 53); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to. Watch the plays The bar and the arrow show Texas A&M’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
Play all in order Q2, 2:40 Dubar run for a 5-yd loss fumbles Q2, 2:40 · Texas A&M 12, Missouri State 0 12-0 score after the play 12-0 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q2, 0:29 Reed 12-yd TD pass to Craver Texas A&M leads 19-0 Q2, 0:29 · Texas A&M 19, Missouri State 0 19-0 score after the play 19-0 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 9:56 Bussey 10-yd TD run Texas A&M leads 26-0 Q3, 9:56 · Texas A&M 26, Missouri State 0 26-0 score after the play 26-0 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 2:09 Morrow 2-yd TD run Texas A&M leads 33-0 Q3, 2:09 · Texas A&M 33, Missouri State 0 33-0 score after the play 33-0 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q4, 13:35 Baker 12-yd TD run Texas A&M leads 40-0 Q4, 13:35 · Texas A&M 40, Missouri State 0 40-0 score after the play 40-0 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q4, 12:57 Locklear sacked for a 6-yd loss fumbles Q4, 12:57 · Texas A&M 40, Missouri State 0 40-0 score after the play 40-0 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q4, 12:52 Hart 15-yd TD pass to Gregory Texas A&M leads 47-0 Q4, 12:52 · Texas A&M 47, Missouri State 0 47-0 score after the play 47-0 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football
Every drive Texas A&M scored on 8 of its 12 drives; Missouri State on 0 of its 11.
Texas A&M’s drives are teal, Missouri State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
own goal goal line Q1 Missouri State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72 Punt Texas A&M: Touchdown, from 58 yards out to 0 Touchdown Missouri State: Punt, from 84 yards out to 63 Punt Texas A&M: Punt, from 72 yards out to 69 Punt Missouri State: Punt, from 65 yards out to 65 Punt Texas A&M: Punt, from 79 yards out to 56 Punt Texas A&M: Fumble, from 57 yards out to 15 Fumble Q2 Missouri State: Turned over on downs, from 85 yards out to 50 Downs Texas A&M: Field goal, from 50 yards out to 10 Field goal Missouri State: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 77 Fumble Texas A&M: Touchdown, from 23 yards out to 0 Touchdown Missouri State: End of half, from 75 yards out to 73 End of half Q3 Texas A&M: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0 Touchdown Missouri State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72 Punt Texas A&M: Touchdown, from 71 yards out to 0 Touchdown Missouri State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 73 Punt Texas A&M: Touchdown, from 54 yards out to 0 Touchdown Q4 Missouri State: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 84 Fumble Texas A&M: Touchdown, from 15 yards out to 0 Touchdown Missouri State: Punt, from 67 yards out to 57 Punt Texas A&M: Field goal, from 85 yards out to 29 Field goal Missouri State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 73 Punt Texas A&M: End of game, from 63 yards out to 42 End of game “That looks like a fumble. This rules analyst is on crack” A Texas A&M fan How fans reacted Steady
Fans had the most to say in the second quarter.
Jump to the loudest stretch
The jump was steady; the crowd was steady.
First Second Third Fourth Texas A&M fans Missouri State fans usual What it cost Texas A&M’s chance to make the playoff rose from 76% to 77%.
Make the playoff
Missouri State · lost 0% → 0%
Texas A&M · won 76% → ▲ 77% 76% ▲ 77%
Win the conference
Missouri State · lost 9% → ▼ 8% 9% ▼ 8%
Texas A&M · won 22% → 22% 22%
Win the title
Missouri State · lost 0% → 0%
Texas A&M · won 10% → ▲ 11% 10% ▲ 11%
Before the game (September 4, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Box score Texas A&M 50, Missouri State 0
Texas A&M covered −38.5 by 11.5. The total, 50, stayed under 53.5.
Missouri State Texas A&M Total yards Missouri State 67 Texas A&M 505 67 505 Passing yards Missouri State 30 Texas A&M 269 30 269 Rushing yards Missouri State 37 Texas A&M 236 37 236 First downs Missouri State 4 Texas A&M 35 4 35 Turnovers Missouri State 3 Texas A&M 1 3 1 Time of possession Missouri State 16:57 Texas A&M 43:03 16:57 43:03 Team totals Missouri State Texas A&M Total yards 67 505 Passing 8 of 17, 30 yds 25 of 38, 269 yds Rushing 23 for 37 yds 47 for 236 yds First downs 4 35 Third down 1 of 10 7 of 14 Fourth down 1 of 2 2 of 2 Turnovers 3 1 Penalties 8 for 41 yds 8 for 75 yds Time of possession 16:57 43:03
Missouri State leaders Passing Skyler Locklear 8 of 17, 30 ydsRushing Jambres Dubar 7 for 20 yds; King Davis 5 for 14 ydsReceiving Dillon Hipp 2 for 15 yds; Jmariyae Robinson 4 for 14 ydsTexas A&M leaders Passing Marcel Reed 21 of 30, 233 yds, 2 TDRushing Rueben Owens 17 for 77 yds; Carsyn Baker 7 for 52 yds, 1 TDReceiving Isaiah Horton 4 for 76 yds, 1 TD; Mario Craver 5 for 41 yds, 1 TDNo rain and calm 89° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 9 mph from the east-southeast, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 24
September game-day temperatures at Kyle Field
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Texas A&M favored Missouri State favored 100% Win chance Texas A&M Rain inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind mph, average and gusts 20 mph 40 mph Temperature and feels like degrees F 75° 105° feels like 85° air 80° Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Texas A&M favored Missouri State favored Rain · inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind · miles per hour 20 40 Temperature and feels like · degrees F 75° 105° feels like 85° air 80° Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
First quarter, 14:57 left6:08 p.m.
Missouri State 0, Texas A&M 0 · Texas A&M 99% to win
no rain · wind 13 mph from the east-northeast, mostly across the field, gusts to 24 · 88°, feels like 95°
Locklear incomplete to Miller
Previous play Next play
Where this weather comes from Measured at College Station airport, 2.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.
Before kickoff Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Matchups Biggest mismatch: Texas A&M’s explosive plays against Missouri State, 83 points Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Texas A&M’s explosive plays against Missouri State’s defense
83 points weaker stronger 50th Texas A&M offense, 5th percentile · Missouri State defense, 88th
Missouri State’s EPA/play against Texas A&M’s defense
56 points weaker stronger 50th Missouri State offense, 26th percentile · Texas A&M defense, 82nd
Missouri State’s rushing EPA against Texas A&M’s defense
58 points weaker stronger 50th Missouri State offense, 14th percentile · Texas A&M defense, 72nd
Season profile, all the rows Season profile Missouri State Texas A&M
EPA/play, offense
Missouri State · 26 Texas A&M · 29 EPA/play, defense
Missouri State · 6 Texas A&M · 82 Success rate, offense
Missouri State · 27 Texas A&M · 47 Success rate, defense
Missouri State · 3 Texas A&M · 79 Explosive-play rate, offense
Missouri State · 36 Texas A&M · 5 Explosive-play rate, defense
Missouri State · 88 Texas A&M · 61 Rush EPA, offense
Missouri State ·… Texas A&M · 68 Rush EPA, defense
Missouri State · 18 Texas A&M · 72 Pass EPA, offense
Missouri State · 53 Texas A&M · 16 Pass EPA, defense
Missouri State · 11 Texas A&M · 92 Line, fans and home field The betting line, and the fans Texas A&M fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (34th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.
50-50 Model 96% · Line 100% Texas A&M fans · 34th Missouri State fans · 92nd Missouri State Texas A&M Texas A&M favored by 38.5 · Total 53.5
How games like this usually go Texas A&M by 38.5, and it went to form 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Half of games 8 in 10 games This game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market The total rose 1 point.
opened 52.5 now 53.5 Weather at kickoff Hot and dry. Feels like 90° at kickoff.
Missouri State at Texas A&M · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Kyle Field, College Station
90°feels like at kickoff Dry no rain at kickoff 71weather score, Rough 2nd best of the day's 7 kickoff times At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Kyle Field that day, a 7 pm kickoff would have scored 82, against 71 at 6 pm.
Harsh
Rough
Mixed
Comfortable
Ideal (100) 49 Harsh 49 Harsh 47 Harsh 48 Harsh 48 Harsh 71 Rough 82 Mixed
11 am noon 2:30 pm 3:15 pm 4 pm 6 pm 7 pm
11 am: 49, Harsh noon: 49, Harsh 2:30 pm: 47, Harsh 3:15 pm: 48, Harsh 4 pm: 48, Harsh 6 pm: 71, Rough (this game) 7 pm: 82, Mixed Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field Texas A&M is worth +8.6 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile.
77% at home, 37% on the road against FBS opponents (40-12 home, 13-22 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why ); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.3 at home vs. away over 94 games — inside the ±5.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 488 miles to get here.