Texas A&M routs The Citadel 41-0

The Citadel2-50
Texas A&M4-341Final
Sat, Oct 17 · Kyle Field, College Station, Texas · Crowd 101,052SECN+

Texas A&M routed The Citadel 41-0.

We had Texas A&M favored. It won.

Next: The Citadel vs Tennessee Tech, Sat Oct 24 · 2:00 PM ET

Next: Texas A&M at Alabama, Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET · Texas A&M underdog by 14

Top comment in the game thread

Give Brady hart reps with the 1s. This guy looks like an actual QB

Q4 14:09 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 17

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Texas A&M better than a 99% chance, and the closing betting line (Texas A&M was a 46.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Texas A&M led by 7 after the first quarter and by 28 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+41+41
FinalTexas A&M 41-0 The CitadelTexas A&M wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
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No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q2 10:50Texas A&M fans demand Reed benching after Gregory touchdownI rock with Aaron Gregory nglr/CFB game thread
  2. Q2 8:06Texas A&M fans mock their defense for failing to stop The Citadel's run gameHey citadel would you mind if we got your RB in the portalr/CFB game threadWe know an FCS team is going to run the ball every single play and we still can’t stop themr/CFB game thread
  3. Q2 1:26Texas A&M fans mock The Citadel and discuss Florida's gameWe should play citadel every weekr/CFB game threadGood news Ags, Florida just tied the game against texas Florida: 17 texas: 17 3rd 6:50r/CFB game thread
  4. Q3 11:44Texas A&M fans praise Hart's throw timing over Reed🚨Hart is getting throw calls🚨r/CFB game thread
  5. Q3 3:2212th man kickoff alert!!!r/CFB game threadARCH FUMBLE OH MY GAWDr/CFB game thread
  6. Q4 14:09Texas A&M fans argue Hart is better than Reed after Hart completes passesQuoted at the top of the page.My argument for Hart: he makes the easy throws at a much higher rate than Reed.r/CFB game thread
Texas A&M’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Texas A&M -46.5), at 100% for Texas A&M (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. The gray band is r/CFB game-thread activity, its loudest stretches in gold. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Every drive

Texas A&M scored on 7 of its 9 drives; The Citadel on 0 of its 9.

Texas A&M’s drives are teal, The Citadel’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1The Citadel: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntTexas A&M: Touchdown, from 62 yards out to 0TouchdownThe Citadel: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 45DownsTexas A&M: Touchdown, from 55 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2The Citadel: Punt, from 76 yards out to 80PuntTexas A&M: Touchdown, from 63 yards out to 0TouchdownThe Citadel: Punt, from 82 yards out to 41PuntTexas A&M: Touchdown, from 98 yards out to 0TouchdownThe Citadel: End of half, from 75 yards out to 76End of halfQ3Texas A&M: Field goal, from 74 yards out to 5Field goalThe Citadel: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 37DownsTexas A&M: Field goal, from 63 yards out to 3Field goalThe Citadel: Punt, from 75 yards out to 42PuntQ4Texas A&M: Punt, from 94 yards out to 65PuntThe Citadel: Punt, from 69 yards out to 44PuntTexas A&M: Touchdown, from 54 yards out to 0TouchdownThe Citadel: Missed field goal, from 55 yards out to 29Missed FGTexas A&M: End of game, from 71 yards out to 68End of game
“Alabama is going to slaughter us”
A Texas A&M fan

When fans got loud

Busy

Fans saved their loudest stretch for the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.

FirstSecondThirdFourthTexas A&M fansThe Citadel fansusual

Never in doubt.

Box score

Texas A&M 41, The Citadel 0

The Citadel covered +46.5 by 5.5. The total, 41, stayed under 56.5.

The CitadelTexas A&MTotal yardsThe Citadel 183Texas A&M 501183501Passing yardsThe Citadel 43Texas A&M 23743237Rushing yardsThe Citadel 140Texas A&M 264140264First downsThe Citadel 12Texas A&M 261226TurnoversThe Citadel 0Texas A&M 000Time of possessionThe Citadel 33:59Texas A&M 26:0133:5926:01
Team totalsThe CitadelTexas A&M
Total yards183501
Passing3 of 10, 43 yds16 of 25, 237 yds
Rushing47 for 140 yds40 for 264 yds
First downs1226
Third down5 of 157 of 11
Fourth down2 of 40 of 0
Turnovers00
Penalties2 for 20 yds5 for 38 yds
Time of possession33:5926:01

The Citadel leaders

  • Passing Nick Billoups 2 of 5, 38 yds
  • Rushing Gavin Garcia 16 for 46 yds; Xavier Hill 11 for 35 yds
  • Receiving Isaiah Johnson 1 for 32 yds; Whit Hobgood 2 for 11 yds

Texas A&M leaders

  • Passing Marcel Reed 8 of 13, 130 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing KJ Edwards 13 for 116 yds; Jamarion Morrow 8 for 54 yds, 3 TD
  • Receiving Aaron Gregory 6 for 94 yds, 2 TD; TK Norman 5 for 88 yds

No rain and calm

62° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 9 mph from the north-northeast, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 23

The usual here around this date is 74°, with about 7 in 10 games between 67° and 83°.

October game-day temperatures at Kyle Field

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Texas A&M favoredThe Citadel favored100%Win chanceTexas A&MRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Texas A&M favoredThe Citadel favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:52 left12:03 p.m.
The Citadel 0, Texas A&M 0 · Texas A&M 100% to win
no rain · wind 11 mph from the northeast, mostly across the field, gusts to 18 · 62°
Garcia 2-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at College Station airport, 2.1 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

The Citadel · 2-4

Rated 203rd in our preseason ratings, 223rd now.

1-2 in its last three, including a 3-point win over South Carolina State as a 17.5-point underdog.

W 43-41 @ Charlotte #179 of 668

won by 2 as a 20.5-point underdog

Last three games

Texas A&M · 3-3

Rated 6th in our preseason ratings, 24th now, down 18 spots.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Week by week

Texas A&M

Wk 2: W 48-20 vs Arizona State▲28Arizona…Wk 3: L 21-31 vs Kentucky▼10KentuckyWk 4: L 6-35 at LSU▼29LSUWk 5: W 34-7 vs Arkansas▲27ArkansasWk 6: L 6-27 at Missouri▼21Missouri
  • Wk 2Wvs Arizona State48-20
  • Wk 3Lvs Kentucky21-31
  • Wk 4Lat LSU6-35
  • Wk 5Wvs Arkansas34-7
  • Wk 6Lat Missouri6-27

The Citadel

Wk 1: W 43-41 at Charlotte▲2CharlotteWk 2: L 20-26 vs Charleston Southern▼6Charlest…Wk 4: L 8-27 vs Chattanooga▼19Chattano…Wk 5: W 34-31 at South Carolina State▲3S. Carol…Wk 6: L 16-34 vs East Tennessee State▼18E. Tenne…
  • Wk 1Wat Charlotte43-41
  • Wk 2Lvs Charleston Southern20-26
  • Wk 4Lvs Chattanooga8-27
  • Wk 5Wat South Carolina State34-31
  • Wk 6Lvs East Tennessee State16-34

Power rating by week

Texas A&M is rated 17.4 points ahead as of week 6. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

172-13Wk 0Wk 3Wk 6Texas A&MThe Citadel

The series

Texas A&M leads the series 1-0

1 meeting since 2006 · Texas A&M won the last meeting

  • 2006Texas A&M 35-3

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line agree on Texas A&M’s chances here.

50-50Model 100% · Line 100%The CitadelTexas A&M

Texas A&M favored by 46.5 · Total 56.5

How games like this usually go

Texas A&M by 46.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Texas A&M.

opened −45.5now −46.5

Spread: −45.5 → −46.5

Home field

Texas A&M is worth +8.6 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile.

77% at home, 37% on the road against FBS opponents (40-12 home, 13-22 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.3 at home vs. away over 94 games — inside the ±5.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 974 miles to get here.

Where next