cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jasper Parker /Michigan

Jasper Parker

RB · Michigan · Fr · #27

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

93 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 25 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Michigan → Arkansas for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Arkansas

2025Michigan
2026Arkansas

RB · MICHIGAN · BIG TEN

Jasper Parker

  • 1
  • #27
  • 6-0 | 205 lb
  • Gretna, LA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

7

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 26th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
In Their Words 63 windows · 2025 fan posts
haywood×185.5brady×148.4starters×106.0

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#284 national
CFB
College
Michigan
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class1
Jersey27
Measurements6-0 | 205 lb
HometownGretna, LA
Primary teamMichigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 284 recruit
Composite rating 0.9075 HighSchool
Signed with Michigan 2025
Origin Archbishop Shaw Marrero, LA, USA
Class Profile Context
2025 4-star | 0.9075 No. 284 recruit | HighSchool | Michigan

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Arkansas 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Michigan -> Arkansas 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Michigan

Composite

0.9075

#284 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jasper Parker

Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window

Belief Meter

50

Quietly Bullish

Sample 12 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 12 mentions · belief +0 · "There's more than meets the eye when it comes to the Friday NCAA report and the "Own fans
  • Own fans · n=12

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jasper Parker

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
93Rush yards
25Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
18.6Rush yards
5Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
241.8Rush yards
65Carries
5Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 93): needs 82.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 93): needs 113.4/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 93): needs 175.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 1.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 2.2/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jasper Parker's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Michigan, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 6.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 284 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 93 93 rush | -- rec | #446/735 (39th pct)
Rush TD 2 25 carries | #247/739 (67th pct)
Yards/carry 3.7 Per-rush efficiency | #549/735 (25th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
25 44th
YDS
93 39th
YPC
3.7 25th
TD
2 67th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 3W 63-3vs Central Michigan9455.0111Season-high 45 yds
Wk 8W 24-7vs Washington6203.306
Wk 10W 21-16vs Purdue144.004
Wk 12W 24-22@ Northwestern111.001
Wk 13W 45-20@ Maryland8232.916
Total25933.2211
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Michigan9-4HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan25933.72--
Career1 loaded season25933.72--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work -- -- rec yds
Usage 6.8% 11.4% rush share | #448/738 (39th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 93 #446/735 39th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #247/739 67th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.7 #549/735 25th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 6.8% #448/738 39th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 25 #414/739 44th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 11 #546/733 26th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 11.4% #439/738 41st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 8.6% #398/738 46th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.8% #297/738 60th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 6.9% #465/738 37th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.6% #492/738 33rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 1.1% #640/738 13th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 0.0% #564/738 24th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home3g23.04.10.3
Road2g12.01.90.5

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins5g18.63.20.4

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-71g45.05.01.0
Weeks 8+4g12.02.80.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

7Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Rush TDs#236 / 349 · 26th pct
2rush
Yards / carry#324 / 349 · 7th pct
3.7rush
Long run#347 / 349 · 0th pct
11rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
93rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
25rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Jasper ParkerMichiganTae MeadowsTroy· 40% simSeth McGowanKentucky· 40% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 40% sim
Rush TDs
26
Parker
72
Meadows
94
McGowan
72
Henderson
Yards / carry
7
Parker
29
Meadows
29
McGowan
18
Henderson
Long run
0
Parker
53
Meadows
11
McGowan
43
Henderson
Rush yards
0
Parker
74
Meadows
76
McGowan
79
Henderson
Carries
0
Parker
84
Meadows
85
McGowan
90
Henderson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sherrone Moore

Pass share

40.9%

340 pass / 492 run

Plays / game

64.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

256 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Sherrone Moore
Michigan

Played his entire career under Sherrone Moore.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGretna, LA
Height6'0"
Weight205 lb
Class1
PositionRB
Jersey27

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Michigan Big Ten RB 1 No. 27 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Gretna, LA