cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / KJ Jackson /Arkansas

KJ Jackson

QB · Arkansas · Fr · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

441 PASS YDS · 3 PASS TD · 52 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Arkansas for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Arkansas for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Arkansas

Returning around him

  • 36% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 4 Arkansas players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (41 in / 43 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Arkansas · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #23 · 2026 recruiting class #32

QB · ARKANSAS · SEC

KJ Jackson

  • 1
  • #7
  • 6-4 | 220 lb
  • Montgomery, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

46

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 83rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#485

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2024–2025
59.02024
4412025

+647%

Up 647% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#457 national
CFB
College
Arkansas
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class1
Jersey7
Measurements6-4 | 220 lb
HometownMontgomery, AL
Primary teamArkansas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 457 recruit
Composite rating 0.8917 HighSchool
Signed with Arkansas 2024
Origin St James School Montgomery, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.8917 No. 457 recruit | HighSchool | Arkansas

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#485Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#475Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Arkansas

Composite

0.8917

#457 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on KJ Jackson

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "1: Byrum Brown/ Auburn 2: Sam Leavitt/ LSU 3: Keelon Russell/ Alabama 4: Kamario"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about KJ Jackson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
441Pass yards
3Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
88.2Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
1,147Pass yards
8Pass TDs
0INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 441): needs 319.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 441): needs 444.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 3): needs 2.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 3): needs 3.4/game over remaining 8.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 3): needs 4/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

KJ Jackson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Arkansas, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #485 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 18.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 457 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 441 3 TD | 0 INT | #183/382 (52nd pct)
Completion rate 61.1% 33/54 completions | #195/383 (49th pct)
Yards/attempt 8.2 Explosiveness through the air | #80/382 (79th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
33 49th
ATT
54 52nd
CMP%
61.1% 49th
Y/A
8.2 79th

Passing Production

YDS
441 52nd
TD
3 57th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
11 38th
YDS
52 55th
YPC
4.7 74th
TD
2 73rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 52-7vs Alabama A&M2/436109.043.2
Wk 2W 56-14vs Arkansas State3/3700023.399.7
Wk 8L 42-45vs Texas A&M1/13003.06.1
Wk 13L 37-52@ Texas16/29206107.184.4Season-high 206 yds
Wk 14L 17-31vs Missouri11/17126107.487.7
Total33/544413010.064.2
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Arkansas7-6HC: Sam Pittman · Run-leaning
2025Arkansas2-10HC: Sam Pittman · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas335461.1%4418.230148.0----
2024Arkansas44100.0%5914.800223.9----
Career2 loaded seasons375863.8%5008.630153.3----
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas11524.72--
2024Arkansas133.00--
Career2 loaded seasons12554.62--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 52 2 rush TD | #184/408 (55th pct)
Usage 18.3% 28.5% pass share | 5.5% rush share | #220/428 (49th pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 441 #183/382 52nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 3 #178/407 57th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 33 #196/383 49th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 61.1% #195/383 49th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 8.2 #80/382 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 52 #184/408 55th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 18.3% #220/428 49th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 54 #197/407 52nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 12 #261/391 34th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 11 #254/408 38th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.7 #108/407 74th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #113/408 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 28.6% #211/428 51st pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 28.5% #222/428 48th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 24.3% #223/428 48th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 16.7% #213/428 50th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 15.9% #229/428 47th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 15.4% #223/428 48th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 5.5% #264/428 39th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home4g58.80.510.70.0
Road1g2061.07.10.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins2g53.00.516.10.0
Losses3g1120.75.80.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-72g53.00.516.10.0
Weeks 8+3g1120.75.80.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

46Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: yards / att (82nd). Concern: pass yards (2nd).

Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Yards / att#32 / 183 · 83rd pct
8.2pass
Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct
1fumb
Completion %#109 / 183 · 41st pct
61.1%pass
Rush TDs#101 / 183 · 39th pct
2rush
Rush yards#124 / 183 · 33rd pct
52rush
Pass TDs#168 / 183 · 7th pct
3pass
Pass yards#179 / 183 · 3rd pct
441pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
KJ JacksonArkansasCade KlubnikClemson· 60% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 58% simAvery JohnsonKansas State· 57% sim
Interceptions
99
Jackson
56
Klubnik
44
Vattiato
56
Johnson
Yards / att
83
Jackson
63
Klubnik
13
Vattiato
46
Johnson
Fumbles lost
66
Jackson
66
Klubnik
66
Vattiato
66
Johnson
Completion %
41
Jackson
73
Klubnik
41
Vattiato
33
Johnson
Rush TDs
39
Jackson
59
Klubnik
39
Vattiato
81
Johnson
Rush yards
33
Jackson
42
Klubnik
27
Vattiato
80
Johnson
Pass TDs
7
Jackson
64
Klubnik
64
Vattiato
72
Johnson
Pass yards
3
Jackson
78
Klubnik
57
Vattiato
61
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sam Pittman

Pass share

48.8%

381 pass / 400 run

Plays / game

65.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.3%

324 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
2025
Sam Pittman
Arkansas

Played his entire career under Sam Pittman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMontgomery, AL
Height6'4"
Weight220 lb
Class1
PositionQB
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arkansas QB1 #485 #475 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Arkansas SEC QB 1 No. 7 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Montgomery, AL
2024 Arkansas SEC QB 1 No. 7 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Montgomery, AL