CFB Zeitgeist Score
78
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 93rd percentile.
Sutton Smith
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
669 RUSH YDS · 7 RUSH TD · 102 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · NFL
PittsburghEntering 8th NFL season
#175Rd 6 · Pick 2
PittsburghEntering 8th NFL season
RB · MEMPHIS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Sutton Smith
- 3
- #5
- 5-9 | 185 lb
- Powder Springs, GA
Heisman Heat
#1577
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2022
Memphis · RB
—
2023
Memphis · RB
—
2024
Memphis · RB
—
★
2025
Memphis · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
NFL Draft 2019 · Rd 6, Pick 2 · #175 overall · Pittsburgh
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025+396%
Up 396% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Memphis
NFL
NFL Draft
R6 · #175
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#8 in market ▼ from #6 · 4 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (669).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
NFL Draft
2019 · Rd 6, Pick 2
#175 overall · Pittsburgh
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Sutton Smith
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Rivals · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Sutton Smith
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving TDs
0
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #476 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 10th
Why it matters
#476 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 0 TDs on 20 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 0 (10th)
MODERATE · n=20 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Yards per reception#527 / 531
- Receiving yards (total)#529 / 531
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
669Rush yards
102Carries
7Rush TDs
Per game
55.8Rush yards
8Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
724.8Rush yards
110Carries
8Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 669): needs 81/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 669): needs 331/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 669): needs 831/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 3/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 13/game over remaining 1.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Sutton Smith is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 669 rushing yards, 20 catches, and 280 return yards for Memphis. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
102 78th
YDS
669 87th
YPC
6.6 90th
TD
7 92nd
Receiving
REC
20 87th
YDS
109 72nd
YPR
5.5 33rd
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 45-10vs Chattanooga | 9 | 60 | 6.7 | 1 | 35 | |
| Wk 2 | W 38-16@ Georgia State | 14 | 74 | 5.3 | 1 | 16 | |
| Wk 3 | W 28-7@ Troy | 18 | 113 | 6.3 | 2 | 50 | |
| Wk 4 | W 32-31vs Arkansas | 12 | 147 | 12.3 | 1 | 64 | Season-high 147 yds |
| Wk 5 | W 55-26@ Florida Atlantic | 7 | 26 | 3.7 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 6 | W 45-7vs Tulsa | 10 | 34 | 3.4 | 1 | 7 | |
| Wk 8 | L 24-31@ UAB | 5 | 26 | 5.2 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 9 | W 34-31vs South Florida | 10 | 35 | 3.5 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 10 | W 38-14@ Rice | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | L 32-38vs Tulane | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 12 | L 27-31@ East Carolina | 7 | 109 | 15.6 | 1 | 84 | |
| Wk 14 | L 17-28vs Navy | 6 | 25 | 4.2 | 0 | 8 | |
| Total | 102 | 669 | 6.4 | 7 | 84 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Memphis7-6HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced
2023Memphis10-3HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced
2024Memphis11-2HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Memphis8-5HC: Ryan Silverfield · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 669 | #99/735 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 7 | #62/739 | 92nd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.6 | #76/735 | 90th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 20 | #73/552 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 109 | #153/548 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.24 | #26/362 | 93rd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 100 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 15.2% | #174/738 | 77th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 102 | #160/739 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 84 | #17/733 | 98th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 39 | #74/540 | 86th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 5.5 | #370/548 | 33rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 155 | #44/200 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 125 | #7/27 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 31.0 | #10/199 | 95th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt returns | 15 | #4/29 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 8.3 | #15/27 | 48th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 5 | #59/206 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return TD | 1 | #3/14 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 25.1% | #179/738 | 76th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 20.5% | #130/738 | 83rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 18.4% | #157/738 | 79th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.3% | #258/738 | 65th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 9.4% | #219/738 | 70th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.2% | #280/738 | 62nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 5.3% | #142/738 | 81st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/256 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 53.5 | 6.7 | 0.5 |
| Road6g | 58.0 | 6.0 | 0.7 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 61.1 | 5.2 | 0.8 |
| Losses4g | 45.0 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 75.7 | 6.3 | 1.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 35.8 | 6.4 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
78All-Conference
Elite: long run (95th). Strength: yards / carry (93rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.24Elite (≥p90) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Sutton SmithMemphisAlex TeczaNavy· 84% simDaylan SmothersNC State· 81% simKejon OwensFlorida International· 81% sim
Long run
Yards / carry
Fumbles lost
Rush TDs
Receptions
Rush yards
Rec yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Speed Merchant
Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jai'Den Thomas’s 2025 season.
Jai'Den Thomas
77%match
All-Mountain West
#2
Will Henderson III
71%
#3
Ja'Quez Cross
69%
#4
Henry Parrish Jr.
69%
#5
Isaac Brown
68%
Matches Jai'Den on
Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight
Differs from Jai'Den on
Receiving share (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Rayshon Luke's senior season at Fresno State (2025).
Rayshon Luke
71%match
#2
Wayne Knight
All-Sun Belt
65%
#3
Malik Jackson
64%
#4
Henry Parrish Jr.
All-ACC
61%
#5
Raleek Brown
All-Big 12
58%
Matches Rayshon on
Yards / carry
Yards / reception
Weight
Differs from Rayshon on
Receiving share (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Ryan Silverfield
Pass share
46.9%
412 pass / 466 run
Plays / game
67.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
11.2%
285 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2023
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2024
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2025
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
Played his entire career under Ryan Silverfield.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownPowder Springs, GA
Height5'9"
Weight185 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey5
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMemphis
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-AAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-AAC | all_conference | Memphis | AAC | RB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Memphis | RB3 | #1577 | #1616 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2023 | Memphis | RB3 | #602 | #612 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2022 | Memphis | RB3 | #1407 | #1512 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Memphis | American Athletic | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Powder Springs, GA |
| 2024 | Memphis | American Athletic | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Powder Springs, GA |
| 2023 | Memphis | American Athletic | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Powder Springs, GA |
| 2022 | Memphis | American Athletic | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Powder Springs, GA |