Austin Peay
1-0 W1 · Mixed
Vanderbilt
11:00 PM · FirstBank Stadium

Austin Peay (1-0) travels to Vanderbilt, with Vanderbilt favored by 29.

What’s at stake

Vanderbilt

  • Vanderbilt sits at 15% to make the CFP field — 17% with a win here, 9% with a loss.
  • Vanderbilt is the program that is not supposed to be here, and is.

Austin Peay

  • Austin Peay is coming off a 18-point win.

The series

Vanderbilt leads the series 2-0

2 meetings since 2013 · Vanderbilt has won the last 2

  • 2015Vanderbilt 47–7
  • 2013Vanderbilt 38–3

Face-off

What each fanbase carries into this one.

Austin Peay

The chip

For most of its history, Austin Peay was the program other Ohio Valley Conference and UAC schools penciled in as a likely win. The chip isn't about a single rival program -- it's about being overlooked entirely. The 2019 playoff breakthrough, the 2022 and 2023 conference titles, and especially the 2025 FBS win were each, in their own year, a rebuttal to that assumption.

What this game touches

The 38-year FBS drought (1987-2025). Austin Peay's first win over an FBS opponent came in 1987, against Kansas State. The program did not beat another FBS team for 38 years -- every season in between, the drought was the go-to talking point about Governors football's ceiling. It ended on August 30, 2025, when Austin Peay routed Middle Tennessee 34-14, the program's second FBS win ever.

Vanderbilt

The chip · vs the national media

Every preseason poll buries Vanderbilt by reflex, and the fanbase has heard 'the scheme called it a scheduling accident' so often it became the program's dry punchline. They say 2025 wasn't luck — it was the year the math finally listened.

What this game touches

The thirty-nine-year wait between bowls. Before James Franklin's 2011-2013 window, Vanderbilt had not been to a bowl since the Reagan administration — the long stretch of seasons that taught the fanbase to brace for the floor, and made 2025's 10 wins feel less like a result than a vindication.

Best players

Vanderbilt

  • Diego Pavia (QB) · 2025: 3,539 passing yards
  • C.J. Heard (S) · 2025: 71 tackles
  • Bryan Longwell (LB) · 2025: 70 tackles

The line, and the room

The model and the market don’t fully agree on Vanderbilt’s chances here.

evenModel · 88%Market · 99%Austin PeayVanderbilt

Home −29 · O/U 60

Conditions

90°F · 6 mph wind · Cloudy

Home-field advantage: Strong

Vanderbilt is 46% at home, 24% on the road since 2018 (24-28 home, 10-31 away).