Georgia

2-0AP #2

SEC · Kirby Smart, year 11 (119-21) · Sanford Stadium · 92,746 · 93,033 avg in 2026

The nationAP #2 · Coaches #2no change
The model#3 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #2 (+28.7) · FPI #4
The marketGeorgia by 24.5at Arkansas · our model 97% Georgia · a number, not a pick

LastW 70–20 vs Western Kentucky · Sat Sep 12 · Gunner Stockton 234 pass yds, 5 TD, 3 rush yds

Nextat Arkansas · Sat Sep 19 · 12 pm ET · Razorback Stadium · Georgia by 24.5 · series 12-4, won the last 3 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
66.5
Pts allowed/game
11.5
Total yards/gm#8 / 138 · 95th pct
576.5
Rush yards/gm#18 / 138 · 87th pct
253.0
Pass yards/gm#23 / 138 · 84th pct
323.5
Yards allowed/gm#5 / 138 · 97th pct
167.0
Rush yds allowed/gm#10 / 138 · 93rd pct
60.0
SacksT-#38 / 138 · 65th pct
5
InterceptionsT-#29 / 115 · 61st pct
2
3rd-down conv#11 / 138 · 92nd pct
61.1%
All 76 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
1153576.5/gm9.61/play#8 / 138 · 95th pct#5 / 69 · 93rd pct#3 / 16 · 84th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
334167.0/gm2.53/play#5 / 138 · 97th pct#4 / 69 · 95th pct#2 / 16 · 91st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
506253.0/gm4.22/play#18 / 138 · 87th pct#11 / 69 · 85th pct#4 / 16 · 78th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
12060.0/gm0.91/play#10 / 138 · 93rd pct#9 / 69 · 88th pct#3 / 16 · 84th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
6231.0/gmT-#115 / 138 · 16th pctT-#58 / 69 · 15th pct#16 / 16 · 3rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6934.5/gmT-#69 / 138 · 47th pctT-#44 / 69 · 35th pct#12 / 16 · 28th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
73.5/gmT-#17 / 138 · 85th pctT-#12 / 69 · 79th pctT-#5 / 16 · 69th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#53 / 138 · 50th pctT-#34 / 69 · 36th pctT-#9 / 16 · 31st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
647323.5/gm5.39/play#23 / 138 · 84th pct#13 / 69 · 82nd pct#3 / 16 · 84th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
214107.0/gm1.62/play#5 / 138 · 97th pct#4 / 69 · 95th pct#2 / 16 · 91st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
5829.0/gmT-#71 / 138 · 48th pctT-#41 / 69 · 41st pctT-#11 / 16 · 31st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6331.5/gmT-#85 / 138 · 38th pct#45 / 69 · 36th pct#13 / 16 · 22nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
4120.5/gmT-#59 / 138 · 57th pctT-#35 / 69 · 49th pct#9 / 16 · 47th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3316.5/gmT-#50 / 138 · 60th pctT-#31 / 69 · 51st pct#9 / 16 · 47th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
105.0/gmT-#2 / 138 · 98th pctT-#2 / 69 · 96th pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#13 / 138 · 80th pctT-#11 / 69 · 72nd pctT-#2 / 16 · 72nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating#5 / 115 · 96th pct#5 / 59 · 92nd pct#1 / 14 · 96th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
214.4214.4
Interceptions thrown
Team
00.0/gmT-#92 / 138 · 17th pctT-#42 / 69 · 20th pctT-#12 / 16 · 16th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#77 / 138 · 33rd pctT-#40 / 69 · 29th pctT-#6 / 16 · 38th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
52.5/gmT-#38 / 138 · 65th pctT-#21 / 69 · 60th pctT-#7 / 16 · 50th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
00.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 97th pctT-#1 / 69 · 96th pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
157.5/gmT-#22 / 138 · 82nd pctT-#14 / 69 · 78th pct#5 / 16 · 72nd pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#3 / 138 · 97th pctT-#2 / 69 · 95th pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
4924.5/gmT-#39 / 138 · 70th pctT-#25 / 69 · 61st pctT-#10 / 16 · 31st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2713.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 79th pctT-#23 / 69 · 64th pct#6 / 16 · 66th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
115.5/gmT-#63 / 138 · 52nd pctT-#37 / 69 · 44th pctT-#9 / 16 · 44th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
147.0/gmT-#111 / 138 · 17th pctT-#60 / 69 · 12th pctT-#14 / 16 · 12th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
189.0/gmT-#130 / 138 · 4th pctT-#65 / 69 · 5th pctT-#15 / 16 · 6th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3718.5/gm#129 / 138 · 7th pct#68 / 69 · 2nd pct#15 / 16 · 9th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
00.0/gmT-#114 / 138 · 9th pctT-#52 / 69 · 13th pctT-#15 / 16 · 6th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 66th pctT-#15 / 69 · 62nd pctT-#3 / 16 · 69th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
10.5/gmT-#119 / 138 · 9th pctT-#55 / 69 · 14th pctT-#15 / 16 · 6th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 74th pctT-#10 / 69 · 72nd pctT-#2 / 16 · 81st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
57:2128:40/gm#100 / 138 · 28th pct#51 / 69 · 27th pct#14 / 16 · 16th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
62:3931:20/gm#90 / 138 · 35th pct#51 / 69 · 27th pct#14 / 16 · 16th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+1.05 EPA/play14228 / 3287.5436
#66 FBS
13.68
#3 FBS
0284.495.8
-0.46 EPA/play1229 / 18501287.110128.144.7
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+1.54 EPA/play1255911.82
#24 FBS
26

2026 stat leaders · Georgia

through 2 games

Gunner Stockton leads Georgia with 436 passing yards through 2 games.

1. Gunner Stockton QB 436 passing yards
2. Sacovie White WR 104 receiving yards
3. Nate Frazier RB 127 rushing yards
4. AJ Lonon Jr. DL 1 sacks
5. Craig Dandridge WR 92 receiving yards
How They Play · 2025

Georgia fields a strong methodical, ball-control offense behind a strong, bend-don't-break defense.

Offense
80th pct EPA/play
Tempo
84th pct success, 13th explosiveness
Defense
78th pct EPA allowed
Defensive shape
96th pct at limiting explosive plays

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Georgia · 2025

Georgia reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 5%) and rushing epa allowed (top 10%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Georgia sits at the 12th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.24
80th
Success Rate +0.47
84th
Explosive Plays +1.18
13th
Rushing EPA +0.14
59th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.08
78th
Success Rate Allowed +0.38
76th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.13
96th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.21
61st

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.34
72nd
Rushing EPA Allowed -0.04
91st
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 14 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Georgia · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Georgia is worth +3.8 points more at home than on the road.

Middle of FBS, 45th percentile of 133 programs

95% at home, 88% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (41–2 home, 28–4 away). Interval ±3.9.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Georgia has beaten the number by −1.2 more at home than away over 65 games — inside the ±7.1 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Sanford Stadium seats 92,746 and has averaged 100% full (92,899, 28 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 272 miles trip since 2018, the 24th-shortest of 135 FBS venues. There is no travel penalty on visitors here either way. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 41% of the 2026 roster (51 of 125 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 51 home games since 2018.

Home41–2Away28–4Edge+3.8 ±3.9Visitor trip272 mi

More in this tab

Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How Georgia’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Offense: Mike Bobo (2023–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2023: 46% → 2026: 61% · 20-pt range · #15 of 184 · more than most
Red-zone pass rate
2023: 36% → 2026: 50% · 24-pt range · #14 of 182 · more than most
4th-down go rate
2023: 21% → 2025: 28% · 16-pt range · #92 of 172 · a typical amount
Defense: Glenn Schumann / co-Travaris Robinson (2024–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2024: 50% → 2026: 61% · 20-pt range · #18 of 203 · more than most
Red-zone pass rate
2024: 47% → 2026: 50% · 24-pt range · #23 of 200 · more than most
4th-down go rate
2024: 37% → 2025: 28% · 9-pt range · #154 of 189 · less than most
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Georgia

CFB Zeitgeist

#3

+14.9

SP+

#2

+28.7

FPI

#4

+26.6

Elo

#4

1948

The national models put Georgia between 2nd and 4th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist agrees, slotting them 3rd.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Georgia

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

Historical echoPrograms whose arc bent the same way -- then what happened.

Historical echo

Georgia’s breakout has happened before — and 1 of the 4 closest programs couldn’t hold it.

Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.

Michigan 1996–2001
fell back
Auburn 2003–2008
kept climbing
Texas A&M 1975–1980
held the gain
Ole Miss 2014–2019
kept climbing

An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

71°F average kickoff temp; 10% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.

Based on 77 home games with weather data.

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