Next game: at Ole Miss
Georgia’s best edge on Ole Miss is staying on schedule
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Georgia offense against Ole Miss defense
Ole Miss offense against Georgia defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.41 EPA/play | 14 | 8 | 130 / 181 | 71.8 | 1671 #57 FBS | 9.2 | 16 #23 FBS | 4 | 174.1 | 67 | 75.7 | 9.2 | 4.7 | |
Yards by week → ScramblerMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. In the Heisman race — our Heisman model ranks this player #4 right now. This week's matchup — QB Stockton extends plays on the move until something opens up. Simmons is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Rush usage20.6% bottom 47th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Completion %73.0% 96th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Gunner Stockton's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.20 EPA/play | 12 | 6 | 20 / 31 | 64.5 | 252 | 8.1 | 2 | 0 | 154.1 | — | 77.8 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satellite Back · +0.34 EPA/play | 20 | 8 | 55 | 415 | 7.5 | 2 | 54 | 9.1 | 21.8 | |
Yards by week → Satellite backDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. 55 carries and 11 catches in 8 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Jr. wins in space out of the backfield. Roberts is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Receiving share16.7% 86th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / carry8.5 100th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dwight Phillips Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.26 EPA/play | 3 | 6 | 47 | 297 | 6.3 | 6 #55 FBS | 48 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 47 carries and 5 catches in 6 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Frazier does a little of everything without one standout trait. Roberts is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Yards / carry5.6 61th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate12.8% 100th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Nate Frazier's full player page | ||||||||||
| -0.10 EPA/play | 24 | 8 | 38 | 230 | 6.1 | 1 | 59 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| +0.27 EPA/play | 5 | 5 | 35 | 124 | 3.5 | 6 #55 FBS | 18 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.56 EPA/play | 81 | 8 | 20 | 349 | 17.4 | 1 | 61 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. This week's matchup — WR Dandridge beats you over the top. Olugbode is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception18.3 91th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate5.0% bottom 28th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Craig Dandridge's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.79 EPA/play | 1 | 7 | 21 | 286 | 13.6 | 3 | 41 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Taylor moves the chains on third down. Olugbode is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception15.5 71th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.8 83th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Talyn Taylor's full player page | ||||||||
| Move TE · +1.10 EPA/play | 7 | 7 | 12 | 197 | 16.4 | 2 | 43 | |
Yards by week → Move TELined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield. This week's matchup — TE Luckie creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Norfleet is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception17.0 95th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.1 96th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Lawson Luckie's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.70 EPA/play | — | 7 | 15 | 174 | 11.6 | 1 | 70 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine This week's matchup — WR White moves the chains on third down. Olugbode is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception9.0 bottom 11th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume15 bottom 19th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Sacovie White's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.86 EPA/play | 16 | 6 | 14 | 136 | 9.7 | 3 | 31 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Humphreys moves the chains on third down. Olugbode is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception11.2 bottom 26th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate21.4% 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View London Humphreys's full player page | ||||||||
| Move TE · +0.77 EPA/play | 23 | 7 | 8 | 130 | 16.2 | 1 | 53 | |
Yards by week → Move TELined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield. This week's matchup — TE Reddell creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Norfleet is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception16.3 93th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume8 bottom 16th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jaden Reddell's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.58 EPA/play | 8 | 7 | 6 | 97 | 16.2 | 1 | 55 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.56 EPA/play | 10 | 5 | 7 | 88 | 12.6 | 2 | 19 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.01 EPA/play | 2 | 2 | 5 | 48 | 9.6 | 0 | 16 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.42 EPA/play | 9 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 6.7 | 1 | 10 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nose Anchor | 44 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight320 lb 90th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jordan Hall's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 90 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman · 5-star, 2025 class View Elijah Griffin's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 99 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 4 of 10 games this season · freshman · 5-star, 2024 class View Joseph Jonah-Ajonye's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 95 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight340 lb 98th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Nnamdi Ogboko's full player page | |||||||
| 81 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 52 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | |
| 96 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 5 | 7 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 51 tackles in 7 games. More tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 94th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate7.8% 87th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Raylen Wilson's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 9 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 9 #31 FBS | 3.5 | 3 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 49 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.1% 82th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate18.4% 93th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Chris Cole's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 19 | 8 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 4.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 5-star, 2024 class View Justin Williams's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 3 | 7 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 4.5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate25.0% 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate16.7% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Quintavius Johnson's full player page | |||||||||
| — | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 3.5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 30 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 42 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 14 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 36 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume36 65th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Rasean Dinkins's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 28 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 5-star, 2024 class View KJ Bolden's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 8 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 2 #51 FBS | 1.5 | 0 |
Centerfielder· Takeaway threatSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate20.0% 95th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Demello Jones's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 7 | 6 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate15.8% 85th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Khalil Barnes's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 1 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 2 #51 FBS | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Ellis Robinson IV's full player pagePD rate26.7% 99th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles | |||||||
| 12 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 31 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 91 | 8 | 9/12 | 75 | 41/41 | 68 | 49 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 8 | 22 | 1022 | 46.5 | 65 | 7 | 6 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.70 EPA/play | — | 7 | 15 | 139 | 9.3 | 0 | 35 |
Biggest plays from Georgia’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Georgia’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 0:58 · Georgia tiedG. Stockton fumbles and Auburn recoversAuburn at Georgia, week 7Q4, 0:58 · Georgia 24, Auburn 24▼24%Georgia’s chance to win, 89% to 65%▼24%Georgia’s chance to win, 89% to 65%G.Stockton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AUB44 fumbled by G.Stockton at AUB48 forced by C.Sigler recovered by AUB S.Smith-Reed at AUB44, End Of Play▶Watch from this play
Q4, 2:58 · Georgia down 7, ties itGunner Stockton finds London Humphreys for a 4-yard touchdownAuburn at Georgia, week 7Q4, 2:58 · Georgia 24, Auburn 242:58Game-tying touchdown for Georgia with 2:58 left2:58Game-tying touchdown for Georgia with 2:58 leftGame-tying touchdown for Georgia with 2:58 leftG.Stockton pass complete short left to L.Humphreys caught at AUB00, for 4 yards to the AUB00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play- Q3, 11:28 · Auburn up 3Byrum Brown runs 5 yards for a touchdownAuburn at Georgia, week 7Q3, 11:28 · Auburn 24, Georgia 14▲17%Auburn’s chance to win, 28% to 45%▲17%Auburn’s chance to win, 28% to 45%B.Brown rush left for 5 yards gain to the UGA00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 7:09 · Georgia up 3Gunner Stockton finds London Humphreys for a 20-yard touchdownGeorgia at Alabama, week 6Q2, 7:09 · Georgia 10, Alabama 093Capped a 93-yard drive93Capped a 93-yard driveCapped a 93-yard driveG.Stockton pass complete deep middle to L.Humphreys caught at ALA00, for 20 yards to the ALA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 8:13 · Georgia down 10Georgia turns it overAuburn at Georgia, week 7Q3, 8:13 · Georgia 14, Auburn 24▼15%Georgia’s chance to win, 65% to 50%▼15%Georgia’s chance to win, 65% to 50%G.Stockton pass intercepted by E.Melendez at AUB23 E.Melendez return 18 yards to the AUB41 (N.Frazier) penalty AUB Illegal Block in Back (J.Smith) 10 yards from AUB36 to AUB26▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 10:38 · Georgia down 4, takes the leadGunner Stockton runs 14 yards for a touchdownGeorgia at Alabama, week 6Q3, 10:38 · Georgia 17, Alabama 14Go-ahead score for Georgia in the third quarterGo-ahead score for Georgia in the third quarterG.Stockton rush right for 14 yards gain to the ALA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Georgia lost to Auburn after being 93% to win; the closest win was at Alabama, down to 25%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Georgia during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Georgia
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · GeorgiaRaylen Wilson leads Georgia with 51 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+17 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Georgia fields an elite methodical, ball-control offense behind a strong defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Georgia reads strongest in success rate (top 3%) and rushing EPA allowed (top 4%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Georgia sits at the 22nd percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Georgia is worth +3.6 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 39th percentile of 133 programs
93% at home, 88% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (43-3 home, 30-4 away). Interval ±3.7.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Georgia has beaten the number by −2.2 more at home than away over 88 games. That is inside the ±5.8 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Sanford Stadium seats 92,746 and has averaged 100% full (92,912, 31 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 272 miles trip since 2018, the 23rd-shortest of 135 FBS venues. There is no travel penalty on visitors here either way. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 41% of the 2026 roster (51 of 125 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 54 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Money downZachariah Branch is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- Garbage timeNate Frazier does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score.
- Deep threatZachariah Branch is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Georgia actually scores
92nd percentile quality, 11th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Georgia’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 78th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 65th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Georgia hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
98th percentile success on standard downs, 89th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Georgia by half
1st-half offense ranks 98th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 29th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Georgia’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.30; 86th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.09. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.74 raw vs. 0.06 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Georgia’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Georgia’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (71.8% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 180-play sample) — mid-pack, 129 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Georgia’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (66.0% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 201-play sample) — mid-pack, 59 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
The bounces have gone their way on the fumbles they've forced: 73% recovered, vs. ~48% expected.
8 of 11 forced fumbles recovered; 9 of 14 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Cashing in at a normal clip: 21% of disrupted passes intercepted, close to ~18% league-wide.
7 interceptions of 33 disrupted passes (26 deflected, 7 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Roughly even on flags: 41 penalties committed vs. 54 drawn on opponents.
402 penalty yards committed vs. 423 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Georgia
Most similar programs · GeorgiaReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Historical echo
Georgia’s breakout has happened before — and 1 of the 4 closest programs couldn’t hold it.
Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Weather
Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
Usual during the game around Nov 14: 56°, between 43° and 68° in about 7 in 10 games (24 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 68°, and 8 in 10 ran between 48° and 79° (40 of 41 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.