Old Dominion at Virginia Tech
Fan take
Old Dominion fans
Virginia Tech fans
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Old Dominion · 10-3
Picked #66 in the preseason · now #84.
Three straight wins, capped by a 14-point win over South Florida as a 4-point underdog.
W 24–10 @ South FloridaTop 25 #17 of 668
won by 14 as a 4-point underdog
W 27–10 vs Georgia State #191 of 668
won by 17 as a 28.5-point favorite
W 45–10 @ Georgia Southern #145 of 668
won by 35 as a 10.5-point favorite
W 33–0 vs Troy #131 of 668
won by 33 as a 9.5-point favorite
W 31–6 @ UL Monroe #186 of 668
won by 25 as a 17-point favorite
W 24–21 vs App State #130 of 668
won by 3 as a 13.5-point favorite
L 27–63 @ James MadisonTop 25 #38 of 668
lost by 36 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 24–48 @ Marshall #71 of 668
lost by 24 as a 14.5-point favorite
W 47–7 vs Coastal Carolina #135 of 668
won by 40 as a 18.5-point favorite
W 21–7 vs Liberty #66 of 668
won by 14 as a 14.5-point favorite
W 45–26 @ Virginia Tech #65 of 668
won by 19 as a 5.5-point underdog
W 54–6 vs North Carolina Central #168 of 668
won by 48 as a 21.5-point favorite
L 14–27 @ IndianaTop 25 #33 of 668
lost by 13 as a 23-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Virginia Tech · 3-9
Picked #54 in the preseason · now #70 — worse than expected.
Three straight losses.
L 7–27 @ VirginiaTop 25 #37 of 668
lost by 20 as a 8.5-point underdog
L 17–34 vs MiamiTop 25 #9 of 668
lost by 17 as a 17.5-point underdog
L 14–34 @ Florida StateTop 25 #46 of 668
lost by 20 as a 14-point underdog
L 16–28 vs LouisvilleTop 25 #26 of 668
lost by 12 as a 10.5-point underdog
W 42–34 vs California #86 of 668
won by 8 as a 6-point favorite
L 20–35 @ Georgia TechTop 25 #38 of 668
lost by 15 as a 14.5-point underdog
L 23–30 vs Wake Forest #75 of 668
lost by 7 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 23–21 @ NC State #43 of 668
won by 2 as a 10.5-point underdog
W 38–6 vs Wofford #194 of 668
L 26–45 vs Old Dominion #50 of 668
lost by 19 as a 5.5-point favorite
L 20–44 vs VanderbiltTop 25 #35 of 668
lost by 24 as a 1.5-point favorite
L 11–24 @ South CarolinaTop 25 #14 of 668
lost by 13 as a 7-point underdog
What’s at stake
Old Dominion
- Old Dominion hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2018.
Virginia Tech
- A win puts Virginia Tech a step closer to a 2% shot at the CFP field.
- Virginia Tech is coming off a 23-point win.
The series
Virginia Tech leads the series 5-3
8 meetings since 2017 · Virginia Tech won the last meeting
- 2026Virginia Tech 44–21
- 2025Old Dominion 45–26
- 2024Virginia Tech 37–17
- 2023Virginia Tech 36–17
- 2022Old Dominion 20–17
Best players
Old Dominion
- Jordan Saunders (S) · 20 tackles
- Mario Thompson (LB) · 19 tackles
- JaMez Drummer (LB) · 13 tackles
Virginia Tech
- Ethan Grunkemeyer (QB) · 551 passing yards — Heisman odds: 65th (+20000)
- Luke Reynolds (TE) · 158 receiving yards
- Que'Sean Brown (WR) · 150 receiving yards
The line, and the room
Virginia Tech fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (78th percentile) — the mood matches the numbers.
- Model · 71%
- Market · 92%
- Virginia Tech fans · 78th
- Old Dominion fans · 24th
Home −17.5 · O/U 47.5
Conditions
78°F · 9 mph wind · Cloudy
Virginia Tech is worth +2.7 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 24th percentile.
50% at home, 36% on the road against FBS opponents (23–23 home, 15–27 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.9 at home vs. away over 71 games — inside the ±8.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 228 miles to get here.
Old Dominion 21 – Virginia Tech 44
Called it — picked Virginia Tech to win.
The thread's loudest minute was 16:45 — 34 comments, 11.3× its usual pace.
comments / minute
Comments per minute in the r/CFB game thread, 15:00–19:55 UTC (551 collected). The chart ends where the collected thread ends.
- BoxThe line
Mylachi Williams (Virginia Tech): 4 tackles · 3.5 TFL · 2 sacks
Top 1% tackles for loss game since 2021.
Win-probability model: CollegeFootballData.
Recent games
Virginia Tech
- Wk 1Wvs VMI73-3
Old Dominion
- Wk 1Wvs Norfolk State31-10
Trajectory
Virginia Tech beat Old Dominion 44-21 — exactly what the pregame pick had.