CFB Zeitgeist Score
85
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 88th percentile.
Chase Roberts
The Hope Economyas of 2026-06-22
Chase Roberts is BYU's offseason bet — the case is potential over production.
802REC YDS54REC6REC TD
TEAM RECEIVING YARDS LEADER
803
Team leader in receiving yards (803).
BYU fans sell the ceiling harder than the résumé; the upside is the whole argument.
high confidence22 sources
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to BYU for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · BYU
Returning around him
- 87% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 2 BYU players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -4 net (9 in / 13 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
BYU · Last season: 12-2 (AP #12) · Talent rank #70 · 2026 recruiting class #55
WR · BYU · BIG 12
Chase Roberts
- 4
- #2
- 6-4 | 210 lb
- Highland, UT
Heisman Heat
#131
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025+125%
Up 125% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
BYU
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Chase Roberts
Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window
Belief Meter
79
Quietly Bullish
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=30
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Chase Roberts
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 13g
802Rec yards
54Receptions
6Rec TDs
Per game
61.7Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
802Rec yards
54Receptions
6Rec TDs
✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 802.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Chase Roberts's story is about how role and output meet each other. For BYU, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
54 92nd
YDS
802 94th
YPR
14.9 75th
TD
6 95th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 69-0vs Portland State | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Wk 2 | W 27-3vs Stanford | 5 | 84 | 16.8 | 0 | 41 | |
| Wk 4 | W 34-13@ East Carolina | 5 | 97 | 19.4 | 0 | 40 | |
| Wk 5 | W 24-21@ Colorado | 5 | 49 | 9.8 | 2 | 16 | 2 TD catches |
| Wk 6 | W 38-24vs West Virginia | 4 | 161 | 40.3 | 0 | 85 | Season-high 161 yds |
| Wk 7 | W 33-27@ Arizona | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 8 | W 24-21vs Utah | 2 | 43 | 21.5 | 1 | 26 | |
| Wk 9 | W 41-27@ Iowa State | 8 | 128 | 16.0 | 0 | 45 | |
| Wk 11 | L 7-29@ Texas Tech | 6 | 61 | 10.2 | 1 | 14 | |
| Wk 12 | W 44-13vs TCU | 5 | 50 | 10.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 13 | W 26-14@ Cincinnati | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 15 | L 7-34@ Texas Tech | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | 0 | 18 | |
| Bowl | W 25-21vs Georgia Tech | 7 | 57 | 8.1 | 1 | 18 | |
| Total | 54 | 802 | 14.6 | 6 | 85 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022BYU8-5HC: Kalani Sitake · Balanced
2023BYU5-7HC: Kalani Sitake · Balanced
2024BYU11-2HC: Kalani Sitake · Run-leaning
2025BYU12-2HC: Kalani Sitake · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 54 | #94/1110 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 802 | #69/1107 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 6 | #56/1111 | 95th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 14.9 | #272/1106 | 75th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 24.3% | #30/1137 | 97th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 85 | #15/1105 | 99th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 14.4% | #57/1137 | 95th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 12.1% | #127/1137 | 89th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 10.4% | #81/1137 | 93rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 9.7% | #75/1137 | 93rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 9.4% | #142/1137 | 88th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 8.9% | #127/1137 | 89th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 4.0 | 66.5 | 16.8 | 0.5 |
| Road7g | 4.3 | 57.6 | 12.8 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins11g | 4.1 | 64.5 | 15.4 | 0.5 |
| Losses2g | 4.5 | 46.5 | 10.4 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 4.1 | 68.1 | 15.8 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 4.2 | 54.2 | 13.2 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
85All-Conference
Elite: long catch (97th). Strength: rec yards (87th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Chase RobertsBYUIsaiah SategnaOklahoma· 93% simDenzel BostonWashington· 92% simCooper BarkateDuke· 91% sim
Long catch
Rec yards
Rec TDs
Receptions
Yards / catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Caleb Douglas’s 2025 season.
Caleb Douglas
84%match
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 11
#2
Corey Gammage
82%
#3
Donaven McCulley
81%
#4
Malachi Fields
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 10
80%
#5
Chase Roberts
79%
Matches Caleb on
Yards / reception
Reception volume
TD rate
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Caleb Douglas's senior season at Texas Tech (2025).
Caleb Douglas
88%match
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 11
#2
Savion Williams
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 23
76%
#3
Shaleak Knotts
75%
#4
Reginald Virgil
72%
#5
Dane Key
71%
Matches Caleb on
Yards / reception
Reception volume
EPA / play (adj)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kalani Sitake
Pass share
43.5%
401 pass / 520 run
Plays / game
65.8
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.6%
270 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Kalani Sitake
BYU
2023
Kalani Sitake
BYU
2024
Kalani Sitake
BYU
2025
Kalani Sitake
BYU
Played his entire career under Kalani Sitake.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownHighland, UT
Height6'4"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBYU
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.