Avery Johnson
Avery Johnson survived a 6-6 disappointment in 2025, then chose to come back and fix it. His new head coach is Collin Klein — the man who recruited him to Manhattan — and their reunion sets up exactly the kind of senior-year redemption arc that award voters notice.
Buzz vs Tape
Fans warmer than rivals
His own fans are far more bullish than the rival fanbase.
Also worth knowing:
The story
Johnson's dual-threat profile is already elite on the ground. Our play-by-play clocks him at the 89th percentile in sack avoidance, the 89th percentile in run success rate, and the 89th percentile in explosive run rate — the full trifecta that tells you he's dangerous with his legs in every sense: elusive in the pocket, decisive at the line, and capable of taking the top off a defense on a read-keep. He averaged 7.7 yards per carry on designed runs (84th percentile), which isn't accident football. That's a quarterback who plays with patience and then punishes hesitation.
The honest part of the 2025 ledger is that the passing numbers didn't match. His success rate through the air (38th percentile) and explosive pass rate (31st percentile) lagged well behind a program with Big 12 championship ambitions. The 6-6 season wasn't all on him — K-State's supporting cast thinned — but it raised the central question for 2026: can a quarterback who is genuinely elite with his legs become a complete enough passer to make defenses defend the whole field?
Under Klein, who ran this same read-option system as a player and helped design the offense that made Johnson a prospect, the answer is plausibly yes. Johnson enters 2026 already sixth on K-State's all-time passing yardage list with a chance to shatter multiple program records. The Maxwell Trophy is within range if the passing efficiency catches up to the rushing brilliance. That is the entire 2026 season, compressed into one sentence.
Career Arc
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Chris Klieman.
2025 snapshot
Season context · Team result + system
Splits & context
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Collin Klein
Career stats
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kansas State | 204 | 341 | 59.8% | 2,380 | 7.0 | 18 | 6 | 132.4 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Kansas State | 217 | 372 | 58.3% | 2,712 | 7.3 | 25 | 10 | 136.4 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Kansas State | 37 | 66 | 56.1% | 479 | 7.3 | 5 | 0 | 142.0 | -- | -- |
| Career | 458 | 779 | 58.8% | 5,571 | 7.2 | 48 | 16 | 135.1 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kansas State | 109 | 477 | 4.4 | 8 | -- |
| 2024 | Kansas State | 113 | 605 | 5.4 | 7 | -- |
| 2023 | Kansas State | 51 | 288 | 5.6 | 7 | -- |
| Career | 273 | 1,370 | 5.0 | 22 | -- |
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2025
W 38–35
vs North Dakota
318 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT · QBR 58.1 · 43 rush yds (7 car)
Edged out North Dakota at home in a shootout.
How he plays
Play style
Johnson is a runner who happens to throw — and on designed carries, that combination is borderline unguardable. The defining cluster is his 89th-percentile sack avoidance, 89th-percentile run success rate, and 89th-percentile explosive run rate: he keeps the pocket clean, converts the first down when he pulls it, and occasionally breaks one for 58 yards (his long in 2025). His 84th-percentile YPC (7.7 yards per carry) confirms this isn't volume padding. Through the air, the picture is more complicated — 38th-percentile pass success rate, 31st-percentile explosive pass rate — pointing to a quarterback whose arm is an asset but whose eyes and timing still have room to grow. In 2026, the gap between his rushing ceiling and his passing floor is the whole story.
Our classifier reads him the same way: extends plays with his feet until something opens up.
2026 Outlook
Kansas State
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Kansas State · editorial
Returning around him
- 69% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 2 Kansas State players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -7 net (26 in / 33 out)
2026 Award watch
- Davey O'Brien
- Heisman Watch
- Maxwell Watch
Kansas State · Last season: 6-6 (AP #17) · Talent rank #47 · 2026 recruiting class #50
Perception vs tape
Johnson's dual-threat profile is already elite on the ground. Our play-by-play clocks him at the 89th percentile in sack avoidance, the 89th percentile in run success rate, and the 89th percentile in explosive run rate — the full trifecta that tells you he's dangerous with his legs in every sense: elusive in the pocket, decisive at the line, and capable of taking the top off a defense on a read-keep.
Read the story →DNA match
Player DNA
Scrambler
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Hudson Card’s 2023 season.
Matches Hudson on
Differs from Hudson on
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ben Wooldridge’s path through Louisiana.
Sam Ehlinger
Matches Ben on
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Sam Leavitt's junior season at Arizona State (2025).
Matches Sam on
Differs from Sam on
Player DNA
Players who play like Avery Johnson
Heisman trajectory
Heisman futures · sportsbook market
#29 in market ▼ from #23 · 5 books
Heisman Trajectory · 2025
Peak #26
Peaked at #26 this season.
Development
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2023–2025+397%
Up 397% from first season to most-recent.
Background
CAREER HONORS • 2025 Maxwell Award watch list • 2025 Davey O'Brien Award watch list • 2024 Davey O’Brien Award Great 8 List (Arizona, Oklahoma State) • 2024 Manning Award Star of the Week (Oklahoma State) • 2024 Big 12 Offensive Player of the Week (Oklahoma State) • 2024 Maxwell Award watch list...