CFB Zeitgeist Score
70
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 95th percentile.
Noah Fifita
sonnet prose (cached)
3,228 PASS YDS · 29 PASS TD · 222 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Arizona for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Arizona · editorial
Returning around him
- 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 4 Arizona players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +2 net (22 in / 20 out)
2026 Award watch
- Manning Award
- Davey O'Brien
- Heisman Watch
Arizona · Last season: 9-4 (AP #21) · Talent rank #67 · 2026 recruiting class #50
QB · ARIZONA · BIG 12
Noah Fifita
- 3
- #1
- 5-10 | 186 lb
- Huntington Beach, CA
Heisman Heat
#96
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 3 · RecognizedR11 · National watch / fringe AA
National watch / fringe All-America. Knocking on the All-America door.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2022
Arizona · QB
—
2023
Arizona · QB
R08 · Watch-list name
Recognized
2024
Arizona · QB
—
★
2025
Arizona · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025+2422%
Up 2422% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Arizona
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8737 | No. 690 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 3228 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (3228).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
NIL Valuation · On3
$1.44M
#54 nationally · Jun 2026
Whisper Rate
$2.00M
per-deal market estimate
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8737
#690 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Noah Fifita
Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window
Belief Meter
59
Quietly Bullish
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=16
- National · n=9
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Noah Fifita
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Total weighted-EPA passing
+137.950
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks
National rank #23 of 58
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks 61st
Why it matters
#23 of 58 P4 + Notre Dame QBs in total weighted-EPA passing — +61387.7 WEPA on 445 dropbacks.
Vs cohort
This player +137.950 (61th)
HIGH · n=445 cohort 58
- Also strong
- WEPA per dropback#34 / 58
- TD : INT ratio#7 / 72
- Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)#39 / 57
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 13g
3,228Pass yards
29Pass TDs
6INT
Per game
248.3Pass yards
2Pass TDs
0INT
Final
3,228Pass yards
29Pass TDs
6INT
✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,228.
✓ Hit 25 passing TDs · finished with 29.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Noah Fifita already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
275 96th
ATT
429 97th
CMP%
64.1% 62nd
Y/A
7.5 68th
Passing Production
YDS
3,228 94th
TD
29 98th
INT
6 28th
Rushing
CAR
115 90th
YDS
222 81st
YPC
1.9 37th
TD
3 77th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 40-6vs Hawai'i | 13/23 | 161 | 1 | 0 | 7.0 | 42.5 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | W 48-3vs Weber State | 17/22 | 373 | 5 | 0 | 17.0 | 95.9 | 5 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | W 23-17vs Kansas State | 16/33 | 178 | 0 | 0 | 5.4 | 55.4 | |
| Wk 5 | L 14-39@ Iowa State | 32/48 | 253 | 2 | 2 | 5.3 | 49.2 | |
| Wk 6 | W 41-13vs Oklahoma State | 28/38 | 376 | 5 | 1 | 9.9 | 66.9 | Season-high 376 yds |
| Wk 7 | L 27-33vs BYU | 25/45 | 219 | 2 | 1 | 4.9 | 61.9 | |
| Wk 8 | L 28-31@ Houston | 24/26 | 269 | 2 | 0 | 10.3 | 93.5 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 10 | W 52-17@ Colorado | 11/19 | 213 | 4 | 0 | 11.2 | 88.6 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 11 | W 24-20vs Kansas | 16/31 | 158 | 2 | 0 | 5.1 | 41.1 | |
| Wk 12 | W 30-24@ Cincinnati | 23/31 | 294 | 1 | 0 | 9.5 | 77.2 | |
| Wk 13 | W 41-17vs Baylor | 14/25 | 183 | 1 | 1 | 7.3 | 66.8 | |
| Wk 14 | W 23-7@ Arizona State | 28/45 | 286 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 | 80.8 | |
| Bowl | L 19-24@ SMU | 28/43 | 265 | 3 | 1 | 6.2 | — | |
| Total | 275/429 | 3228 | 29 | 6 | 8.1 | 68.3 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Arizona5-7HC: Jedd Fisch · Pass-leaning
2023Arizona10-3HC: Jedd Fisch · Balanced
2024Arizona4-8HC: Brent Brennan · Pass-leaning
2025Arizona9-4HC: Brent Brennan · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 3,228 | #23/382 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 29 | #9/407 | 98th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 275 | #18/383 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 64.1% | #147/383 | 62nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.5 | #125/382 | 68th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 222 | #79/408 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.31 | #69/200 | 66th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 445 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 58.5% | #19/428 | 96th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 429 | #15/407 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 6 | #294/407 | 28th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 115 | #40/408 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 19 | #186/391 | 53rd pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #94/408 | 77th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.9 | #259/407 | 37th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 94.2% | #30/428 | 93rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 78.3% | #10/428 | 98th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 74.6% | #16/428 | 96th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 59.9% | #20/428 | 96th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 51.4% | #22/428 | 95th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 49.0% | #41/428 | 91st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 20.1% | #62/428 | 86th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.20 | #93/140 | 34th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 86 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 235 | 2.3 | 8.1 | 0.4 |
| Road6g | 263 | 2.2 | 8.2 | 0.5 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 247 | 2.2 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | 252 | 2.2 | 6.7 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 261 | 2.6 | 8.0 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 234 | 1.8 | 8.3 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
70Solid starter
Elite: pass tds (94th). Strength: pass yards (87th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds63%of completions
88 comp5.9 yds avg3 TD
Middle
10–19 yds22%of completions
31 comp14.2 yds avg3 TD
Deep
20+ yds14%of completions
20 comp32.4 yds avg6 TD
Overall 63.2% completion on 220 attempts · 20 deep completions averaging 32.4 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.31Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.2Low (p25–p50) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Noah FifitaArizonaBraylon BraxtonSouthern Miss· 87% simCade KlubnikClemson· 86% simJC FrenchGeorgia Southern· 85% sim
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Fumbles lost
Yards / att
Rush yards
Completion %
Interceptions
Rush TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dillon Gabriel’s 2022 season.
Dillon Gabriel
68%match
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 30
#2
Chris Reynolds
66%
#3
Chandler Rogers
64%
#4
Micah Alejado
63%
#5
Chase Cunningham
60%
Matches Dillon on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Height
Differs from Dillon on
Weight (lower)
Rush yards / carry (lower)
Yards / attempt (lower)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to D'Eriq King’s path through Miami.
D'Eriq King
87%match
#2
Zac Thomas
All-Sun Belt
86%
#3
Darius Curry
82%
#4
Chandler Fields
78%
#5
Frank Harris
All-AAC
75%
Matches D'Eriq on
Yards per attempt
Completion %
Recruiting rating
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Maddux Madsen's senior season at Boise State (2025).
Maddux Madsen
48%match
All-Mountain West
#2
Chandler Fields
47%
#3
Owen McCown
45%
#4
Kevin Jennings
All-ACC
45%
#5
Jamal Morris
43%
Matches Maddux on
TD rate
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Differs from Maddux on
INT rate (lower)
Completion % (higher)
Weight (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Brent Brennan
Pass share
49.7%
447 pass / 452 run
Plays / game
69.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.9%
340 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Jedd Fisch
Arizona
2023
Jedd Fisch
Arizona
2024era →
Brent Brennan
Arizona
2025
Brent Brennan
Arizona
Coaching transition mid-career: Jedd Fisch → Brent Brennan. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownHuntington Beach, CA
Height5'10"
Weight186 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey1
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamArizona
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Big 12
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Big 12 | all_conference | Arizona | Big 12 | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona | Big 12 | QB | 3 | No. 1 | 5-10 | 186 lb | Huntington Beach, CA |
| 2024 | Arizona | Big 12 | QB | 3 | No. 1 | 5-10 | 186 lb | Huntington Beach, CA |
| 2023 | Arizona | Pac-12 | QB | 3 | No. 1 | 5-10 | 186 lb | Huntington Beach, CA |
| 2022 | Arizona | Pac-12 | QB | 3 | No. 1 | 5-10 | 186 lb | Huntington Beach, CA |