Arizona routs Northern Arizona 35-7

Northern Arizona1-17
Arizona1-035Final
Sat, Sep 5 · Arizona Stadium, Tucson, Ariz. · Crowd 40,129ESPN+

Arizona routed Northern Arizona 35-7.

We had Arizona favored. It won.

Next: Northern Arizona beat Incarnate Word 38-28, Sat Sep 12

Next: Arizona lost to BYU 28-17, Sat Sep 12

Top comment in the game thread

Let’s go fellow red and blue team! Bear Down! (Am I doing this right???)

Q1 0:12 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 5

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Arizona a 96% chance, and the closing betting line (Arizona was a 33.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Arizona led by 7 after the first quarter and by 21 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+35+28
Pick-sixNorthern Arizona · Q4 10:55
FinalArizona 35-7 Northern ArizonaArizona wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4ArizonaWon35-7ScoresPick-sixChatter2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute4 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4ArizonaWon35-7ScoresPick-sixChatter2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute4 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4ArizonaLowest 0%Lost7-35ScoresPick-sixChatter2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute4 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4ArizonaLowest 0%Lost7-35ScoresPick-sixChatter2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute4 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q1 3:30A player fumbled after being punched out by a defender.“Now let em have it!” “Here, you can have it!” Ass fumble. wtf!r/CFB game thread
  2. Q1 0:12Arizona fans worry about pass defense after Northern Arizona gains yardsQuoted at the top of the page.
  3. Q2 10:41Fifita throws deep touchdown pass to Phelps, extending Arizona lead to 14-0I’m gonna spread the gospel of fifitar/CFB game thread
  4. Q4 10:55Arizona fans criticize the decision to keep backup quarterback in after Northern Arizona scoreswhelp there goes out shutoutr/CFB game thread
Arizona’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Arizona -33.5), at 98% for Arizona (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. The gray band is r/CFB game-thread activity, its loudest stretches in gold. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Arizona’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 11:32Fifita 20-yd TD pass to SpiveyArizona goes ahead 7-0Q1, 11:32 · Arizona 7, Northern Arizona 07-0score after the play7-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q1, 6:51Pennington sacked for a 2-yd lossQ1, 6:51 · Arizona 7, Northern Arizona 07-0score after the play7-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q2, 10:41Fifita 21-yd TD pass to PhelpsArizona leads 14-0Q2, 10:41 · Arizona 14, Northern Arizona 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q2, 10:33Pennington sacked for a 15-yd lossQ2, 10:33 · Arizona 14, Northern Arizona 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q2, 3:20Reescano 1-yd TD runArizona leads 21-0Q2, 3:20 · Arizona 21, Northern Arizona 021-0score after the play21-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q3, 5:01Roberts 14-yd TD runArizona leads 28-0Q3, 5:01 · Arizona 28, Northern Arizona 028-0score after the play28-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  7. Q3, 1:10Pennington intercepted by Olson at the NAU32Q3, 1:10 · Arizona 28, Northern Arizona 028-0score after the play28-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  8. Q4, 13:52Reescano 1-yd TD runArizona leads 35-0Q4, 13:52 · Arizona 35, Northern Arizona 035-0score after the play35-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  9. Q4, 11:33Anderson sacked for a 5-yd lossQ4, 11:33 · Arizona 35, Northern Arizona 035-0score after the play35-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  10. Q4, 10:55Anderson intercepted by Young-Blackgoat at the Arizona 36 and returned for a TDcuts it to 35-7Q4, 10:55 · Arizona 35, Northern Arizona 735-7score after the play35-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football

Every drive

Arizona scored on 5 of its 13 drives; Northern Arizona on 0 of its 11.

Arizona’s drives are teal, Northern Arizona’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Arizona: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownNorthern Arizona: Punt, from 65 yards out to 40PuntArizona: Fumble, from 80 yards out to 10FumbleNorthern Arizona: Turned over on downs, from 90 yards out to 43DownsQ2Arizona: Touchdown, from 57 yards out to 0TouchdownNorthern Arizona: Punt, from 75 yards out to 84PuntArizona: Touchdown, from 56 yards out to 0TouchdownNorthern Arizona: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 16Missed FGArizona: End of half, from 80 yards out to 46End of halfQ3Northern Arizona: Punt, from 75 yards out to 79PuntArizona: Punt, from 74 yards out to 71PuntNorthern Arizona: Punt, from 79 yards out to 76PuntArizona: Punt, from 63 yards out to 58PuntNorthern Arizona: Punt, from 87 yards out to 98PuntArizona: Touchdown, from 50 yards out to 0TouchdownNorthern Arizona: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 30DownsArizona: Punt, from 70 yards out to 66PuntNorthern Arizona: Interception, from 83 yards out to 83InterceptionArizona: Touchdown, from 32 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Northern Arizona: Turned over on downs, from 53 yards out to 44DownsArizona: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 56 yards out to 61Interception TDArizona: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 34DownsNorthern Arizona: Punt, from 66 yards out to 59PuntArizona: End of game, from 76 yards out to 15End of game
“I am gonna miss fajitas next year 💙❤️”
An Arizona fan

How fans reacted

Steady

Fans saved their loudest stretch for the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was steady; the crowd was quiet.

FirstSecondThirdFourthArizona fansNorthern Arizona fansusual

Box score

Arizona 35, Northern Arizona 7

Northern Arizona covered +33.5 by 5.5. The total, 42, stayed under 59.5.

Northern ArizonaArizonaTotal yardsNorthern Arizona 193Arizona 520193520Passing yardsNorthern Arizona 200Arizona 314200314Rushing yardsNorthern Arizona -7Arizona 206-7206First downsNorthern Arizona 8Arizona 28828TurnoversNorthern Arizona 1Arizona 313Time of possessionNorthern Arizona 27:48Arizona 32:1227:4832:12
Team totalsNorthern ArizonaArizona
Total yards193520
Passing19 of 31, 200 yds27 of 37, 314 yds
Rushing21 for -7 yds35 for 206 yds
First downs828
Third down4 of 147 of 12
Fourth down0 of 32 of 2
Turnovers13
Penalties5 for 32 yds4 for 30 yds
Time of possession27:4832:12

Northern Arizona leaders

  • Passing Ty Pennington 15 of 26, 180 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing Quran Gossett 11 for 20 yds; Donivan Dixon 1 for 4 yds
  • Receiving Joey Stout 6 for 39 yds; Darius Haskin 1 for 38 yds

Arizona leaders

  • Passing Noah Fifita 22 of 29, 262 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Kedrick Reescano 10 for 48 yds, 2 TD; Antwan Roberts 4 for 45 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Gio Richardson 8 for 96 yds; Tre Spivey 4 for 45 yds, 1 TD

No rain through the game

92° at kickoff · no rain recorded

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 71 other games played at Arizona Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 82°, with about 7 in 10 games between 79° and 88°.

September game-day temperatures at Arizona Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Arizona favoredNorthern Arizona favored100%Win chanceArizonaRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airport
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Arizona favoredNorthern Arizona favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airport

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:56 left6:33 p.m.
Northern Arizona 0, Arizona 0 · Arizona 98% to win
no rain · 92°
Fifita incomplete to Spivey
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Davis-monthan Afb airport, 5.8 miles away, and Tucson International Airport, 7.5 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Northern Arizona · 7-5

Rated 152nd in our preseason ratings, 152nd now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 28-48 @ Weber State #215 of 667

lost by 20 as a 14-point favorite

W 35-27 vs Cal Poly #197 of 667

won by 8 as an 11.5-point favorite

W 49-10 vs Northern Colorado #228 of 667

won by 39 as a 12.5-point favorite

L 32-35 vs Idaho #149 of 667

lost by 3 as a 5.5-point favorite

W 31-18 @ Idaho State #211 of 667

won by 13 as a 3-point favorite

L 24-45 @ UC Davis #101 of 667

lost by 21 as a 7-point underdog

L 10-34 vs Montana State #74 of 667

lost by 24 as a 7.5-point underdog

W 31-17 @ Portland State #248 of 667

won by 14 as a 21-point favorite

W 31-23 vs Incarnate Word #141 of 667

won by 8 as a 5.5-point favorite

W 52-49 @ Southern Utah #158 of 667

won by 3 as a 3.5-point favorite

W 38-31 vs Utah Tech #222 of 667

won by 7 as a 21-point favorite

L 19-38 @ Arizona StateTop 25 #27 of 667

lost by 19 as a 29.5-point underdog

Northern Arizona lost 19-38 at Arizona State. Chance to win started at 2%, low under 1%, high 2%.

Last three games · 2025 season

Arizona · 9-4

Rated 27th in our preseason ratings.

L 19-24 @ SMUTop 25 #11 of 667

lost by 5 as a 2.5-point underdog

Arizona lost 19-24 vs SMU. Chance to win started at 37%, low under 1%, high 37%.

W 23-7 @ Arizona StateTop 25 #45 of 667

won by 16 as a 2.5-point favorite

Arizona won 23-7 at Arizona State. Chance to win started at 48%, low 20%, high 97%.

W 41-17 vs Baylor #56 of 667

won by 24 as a 6.5-point favorite

Arizona won 41-17 vs Baylor. Chance to win started at 68%, low 48%, high better than 99%.

W 30-24 @ CincinnatiTop 25 #47 of 667

won by 6 as a 6.5-point underdog

Arizona won 30-24 at Cincinnati. Chance to win started at 35%, low 11%, high 95%.

W 24-20 vs Kansas #60 of 667

won by 4 as a 6.5-point favorite

Arizona won 24-20 vs Kansas. Chance to win started at 73%, low 27%, high better than 99%.

W 52-17 @ Colorado #77 of 667

won by 35 as a 3.5-point favorite

Arizona won 52-17 at Colorado. Chance to win started at 53%, low 53%, high better than 99%.

L 28-31 @ HoustonTop 25 #65 of 667

lost by 3 as a 2.5-point favorite

Arizona lost 28-31 at Houston. Chance to win started at 43%, low under 1%, high 81%.

L 27-33 vs BYUTop 25 #32 of 667

lost by 6 as a 2.5-point underdog

W 41-13 vs Oklahoma State #125 of 667

won by 28 as a 23.5-point favorite

Arizona won 41-13 vs Oklahoma State. Chance to win started at 95%, low 95%, high better than 99%.

L 14-39 @ Iowa StateTop 25 #41 of 667

lost by 25 as a 4.5-point underdog

Arizona lost 14-39 at Iowa State. Chance to win started at 31%, low under 1%, high 42%.

W 23-17 vs Kansas StateTop 25 #49 of 667

won by 6 as a 1.5-point underdog

Arizona won 23-17 vs Kansas State. Chance to win started at 59%, low 42%, high better than 99%.

W 48-3 vs Weber State #186 of 667

won by 45 as a 31.5-point favorite

Arizona won 48-3 vs Weber State. Chance to win started at 98%, low 98%, high better than 99%.

W 40-6 vs Hawai'i #152 of 667

won by 34 as a 15.5-point favorite

Arizona won 40-6 vs Hawai'i. Chance to win started at 89%, low 87%, high better than 99%.

The series

Arizona leads the series 16-2

18 meetings since 1931 · Arizona has won the last 2

Arizona wonNorthern Arizona won1931: Arizona by 71932: Northern Arizona by 11933: Arizona by 241940: Arizona by 411941: Arizona by 412002: Arizona by 342004: Arizona by 182005: Arizona by 192007: Arizona by 212009: Arizona by 172011: Arizona by 312013: Arizona by 352015: Arizona by 642017: Arizona by 382019: Arizona by 242021: Northern Arizona by 22023: Arizona by 352024: Arizona by 1219312024
  • 2024Arizona 22-10Arizona won 22-10 vs Northern Arizona. Chance to win started at 99%, low 82%, high better than 99%.
  • 2023Arizona 38-3Arizona won 38-3 vs Northern Arizona. Chance to win started at 97%, low 96%, high better than 99%.
  • 2021Northern Arizona 21-19Arizona lost 19-21 vs Northern Arizona. Chance to win started at 95%, low 9%, high better than 99%.
  • 2019Arizona 65-41Arizona won 65-41 vs Northern Arizona. Chance to win started at 96%, low 96%, high better than 99%.
  • 2017Arizona 62-24

Each line is Arizona’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line agree on Arizona’s chances here.

50-50Model 96% · Line 100%Northern ArizonaArizona

Arizona favored by 33.5 · Total 59.5

How games like this usually go

Arizona by 33.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Arizona.

opened −31.5now −33.5

The total rose 3 points.

opened 56.5now 59.5

Spread: −31.5 → −33.5 · Total: 56.5 → 59.5

The books’ cut: 3.2%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 89° at kickoff.

Northern Arizona at Arizona · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Arizona Stadium, Tucson

  • 89°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 81weather score, Mixed
  • Middleof the day's 3 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 3 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was in the middle of the day's three kickoff times. At Arizona Stadium that day, a 7:30 pm kickoff would have scored 85, against 81 at 6:30 pm.

  • 12:30 pm: 54, Rough
  • 6:30 pm: 81, Mixed (this game)
  • 7:30 pm: 85, Mixed

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Arizona is worth +3.5 points (±4.3) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 38th percentile.

49% at home, 33% on the road against FBS opponents (22-23 home, 14-28 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.0 at home vs. away over 94 games — inside the ±7.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 208 miles to get here.

Where next