CFB Zeitgeist Score
61
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 82nd percentile.
Alonza Barnett
sonnet prose (cached)
2,806 PASS YDS · 23 PASS TD · 589 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to James Madison for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · James Madison
Returning around him
- 78% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: +7 net (37 in / 30 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
James Madison · Last season: 12-2 (AP #19) · Talent rank #127 · 2026 recruiting class #108
QB · JAMES MADISON · SUN BELT
Alonza Barnett
- 3
- #14
- 6-0 | 217 lb
- Whitsett, NC
Heisman Heat
#441
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2022
James Madison · QB
—
2023
James Madison · QB
—
★
2025
James Madison · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025+19943%
Up 19943% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
James Madison
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 2806 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (589).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Alonza Barnett
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
54
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=14
- Rivals · n=6
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Alonza Barnett
Obsession score 4
Rival mentions 6
Weeks on radar 3
Peak moment Week 0 · 4 mentions
Grudging respect 0% Neutral 100% Mockery 0%
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 14g
2,806Pass yards
23Pass TDs
8INT
Per game
200.4Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Final
2,806Pass yards
23Pass TDs
8INT
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Alonza Barnett's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For James Madison, he has 2,806 passing yards and 23 touchdown passes, but he also adds 589 rushing yards and 15 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
216 86th
ATT
370 90th
CMP%
58.4% 37th
Y/A
7.6 69th
Passing Production
YDS
2,806 88th
TD
23 92nd
INT
8 17th
Rushing
CAR
127 92nd
YDS
589 94th
YPC
4.6 72nd
TD
15 99th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 14 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 45-10vs Weber State | 14/22 | 130 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 | 91.6 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 2 | L 14-28@ Louisville | 15/25 | 102 | 1 | 0 | 4.1 | 23.7 | |
| Wk 4 | W 31-13@ Liberty | 17/25 | 213 | 1 | 1 | 8.5 | 83.2 | |
| Wk 5 | W 35-10vs Georgia Southern | 11/22 | 148 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 | 47.3 | |
| Wk 6 | W 14-7@ Georgia State | 11/22 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 3.4 | 19.2 | |
| Wk 7 | W 24-14vs Louisiana | 26/40 | 290 | 3 | 1 | 7.3 | 58.7 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 8 | W 63-27vs Old Dominion | 17/25 | 295 | 2 | 0 | 11.8 | 96.3 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 10 | W 52-20@ Texas State | 12/18 | 264 | 4 | 1 | 14.7 | 93.8 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 11 | W 35-23@ Marshall | 14/24 | 270 | 3 | 1 | 11.3 | 61.0 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 12 | W 58-10vs App State | 22/35 | 303 | 0 | 1 | 8.7 | 58.1 | Season-high 303 yds |
| Wk 13 | W 24-20vs Washington State | 9/18 | 144 | 1 | 1 | 8.0 | 30.7 | |
| Wk 14 | W 59-10@ Coastal Carolina | 15/21 | 207 | 3 | 1 | 9.9 | 63.5 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 15 | W 31-14vs Troy | 10/25 | 93 | 1 | 1 | 3.7 | 25.2 | |
| Bowl | L 34-51@ Oregon | 23/48 | 273 | 2 | 0 | 5.7 | 58.4 | |
| Total | 216/370 | 2806 | 23 | 8 | 7.8 | 57.9 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022James Madison8-3HC: Curt Cignetti · Run-leaning
2023James Madison11-2HC: Damian Wroblewski · Balanced
2025James Madison12-2HC: Bob Chesney · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | James Madison | 216 | 370 | 58.4% | 2,806 | 7.6 | 23 | 8 | 138.3 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | James Madison | 3 | 11 | 27.3% | 15 | 1.4 | 0 | 1 | 20.5 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | James Madison | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 217.6 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 220 | 382 | 57.6% | 2,835 | 7.4 | 23 | 9 | 135.1 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | James Madison | 127 | 589 | 4.6 | 15 | -- |
| 2023 | James Madison | 5 | 29 | 5.8 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | James Madison | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 136 | 633 | 4.7 | 16 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,806 | #46/382 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 23 | #32/407 | 92nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 216 | #54/383 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 58.4% | #242/383 | 37th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.6 | #118/382 | 69th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 589 | #25/408 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.27 | #99/200 | 51st pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 357 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 47.4% | #99/428 | 77th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 370 | #42/407 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 8 | #339/407 | 17th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 127 | #34/408 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 58 | #27/391 | 93rd pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 15 | #6/408 | 99th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.6 | #115/407 | 72nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 93.6% | #38/428 | 91st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 63.3% | #90/428 | 79th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 63.1% | #85/428 | 80th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 45.0% | #117/428 | 73rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 42.5% | #90/428 | 79th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 40.3% | #107/428 | 75th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 17.3% | #81/428 | 81st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.40 | #8/140 | 95th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 108 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 14 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 200 | 1.3 | 7.4 | 0.6 |
| Road7g | 200 | 2.0 | 8.2 | 0.6 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins12g | 203 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 0.7 |
| Losses2g | 188 | 1.5 | 4.9 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 176 | 1.3 | 5.9 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 225 | 2.0 | 9.7 | 0.9 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
61Solid starter
Elite: rush tds (96th). Strength: rush yards (86th). Concern: completion % (24th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.27Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.4Elite (≥p90) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Alonza BarnettJames MadisonBryson BarnesUtah State· 85% simJake RetzlaffTulane· 83% simNick MinicucciDelaware· 83% sim
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Yards / att
Fumbles lost
Interceptions
Completion %
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Scrambler
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Spencer Sanders’s 2022 season.
Spencer Sanders
71%match
All-Big 12
#2
Brett Gabbert
All-MAC
68%
#3
Braxton Burmeister
67%
#4
Diego Pavia
66%
#5
Lunch Winfield
65%
Matches Spencer on
Completion %
Rush yards / carry
Height
Differs from Spencer on
TD rate (higher)
Weight (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Tucker Kilcrease’s path through Troy.
Tucker Kilcrease
88%match
#2
Baylor Hayes
84%
#3
Jacob Free
84%
#4
Julian Lewis
83%
#5
TJ Lateef
83%
Matches Tucker on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Rocco Becht's senior season at Iowa State (2025).
Rocco Becht
54%match
#2
Robby Ashford
52%
#3
Bryson Barnes
All-Mountain West
51%
#4
Andrew Peasley
50%
#5
Kaidon Salter
All-Conference USA
50%
Matches Rocco on
Yards / attempt
Height
Differs from Rocco on
Rush yards / carry (higher)
TD rate (higher)
Completion % (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Bob Chesney
Pass share
39.7%
385 pass / 584 run
Plays / game
69.2
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.8%
269 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
3 coaches2022
Curt Cignetti
James Madison
2023era →
Damian Wroblewski
James Madison
2025era →
Bob Chesney
James Madison
Played under 3 different head coaches: Curt Cignetti, Damian Wroblewski, and Bob Chesney. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownWhitsett, NC
Height6'0"
Weight217 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey14
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamJames Madison
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Sun Belt
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | James Madison | Sun Belt | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | James Madison | QB3 | #441 | #316 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | James Madison | QB3 | #782 | #559 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2022 | James Madison | QB3 | #642 | #538 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | James Madison | Sun Belt | QB | 3 | No. 14 | 6-0 | 217 lb | Whitsett, NC |
| 2024 | James Madison | Sun Belt | QB | 3 | No. 14 | 6-0 | 217 lb | Whitsett, NC |
| 2023 | James Madison | Sun Belt | QB | 3 | No. 14 | 6-0 | 217 lb | Whitsett, NC |
| 2022 | James Madison | Sun Belt | QB | 3 | No. 14 | 6-0 | 217 lb | Whitsett, NC |