Bob Chesney

6-0This season at UCLA
27-6FBS career

Also coached below FBS: Salve Regina 2010–12; Assumption 2013–17; Holy Cross 2018–23

1 conference title
Program lift
Year 1
graded once a job reaches 3 seasons
See UCLA’s full coaching history →

Career arc

Bowls and playoffs: 1-1

James Madison2024Boca Raton BowlW 27-172025CFP first roundL 34-51
Part one · This week

As of Fri Oct 23

What the result changed

  • AP poll #12 → #9 up three
  • Playoff odds 35% → 38% CFB Zeitgeist forecast, before and after

Saturday: vs. Michigan State

Sat Oct 24, 3:30 pm ET CBS · Michigan State is 2-5 · First meeting between Chesney and Pat Fitzgerald as head coaches · UCLA’s chance to win: 95% (the site’s model)

21 stories this week →

The headlines, Oct 18–23 from 7 outlets

On the podcasts

Fan threads naming him, Oct 18–23: 1, from 1 person.

Fans are feeling good about UCLA

HALLOWEEN PLOTS What’s the best place to go on the 31st??? 21+ NOT IN WESTWOOD pleaseeeee

I believe that UCLA has a very strong chance of going 12-0. I can't believe I'm saying this...

finally some ucla respect

Fan mood · last 3 weeks · more upbeat than 3 in 4 FBS fan bases

Offense: 47th of 138 per play. Defense: 1st.

Offense, per play47thRunning offense11thDefense, per play1stDefense, knocking offenses off schedule1stWorstBest
Offense, per play47th of 138Running offense11th of 138Defense, per play1st of 138Defense, knocking offenses off schedule1st of 138WorstBest
Through 6 games. Each tick is an FBS team, adjusted for opponent strength (CFB Zeitgeist model); the dot is UCLA. The other two rows are where UCLA stands furthest from the middle. Early-season numbers move a lot.

6 games left

  1. Sat Oct 24vs. Michigan State (2-5)CBS95%
  2. Sat Oct 31vs. Nevada (2-4)BTN98%
  3. Sat Nov 7at Minnesota (4-2)84%
  4. Fri Nov 13vs. Illinois (3-3)FOX92%
  5. Sat Nov 21at Michigan (4-2)68%
  6. Sat Nov 28vs. USC (6-1)67%

Percent: UCLA’s chance to win, from the site’s model. Records are through today. Networks as announced; the rest are set closer to kickoff.

How the season got here

Where UCLA stood among 138 FBS programs by stature after each game (1st is the highest; the CFB Zeitgeist ledger).

31st37th43rdPreseason38thCalifornia W 45-24California W 45-24W 45-24California38thSan Diego State W 28-10San Diego State W 28-10W 28-10San Diego Sta…38thPurdue W 52-38Purdue W 52-38W 52-38Purdue38thMaryland W 54-3Maryland W 54-3W 54-3Maryland38thOregon W 17-15Oregon W 17-15W 17-15Oregon36thWisconsin W 17-7Wisconsin W 17-7W 17-7Wisconsin36th
  1. Oct 12–18W 17-7 vs. Wisconsin24 headlines · 19th of 138What UCLA Win Over Wisconsin Would Say About Bob Chesney Yahoo Sports
  2. Oct 5–11W 17-15 at Oregon20 headlines · 21st of 138How Bob Chesney has completely turned around UCLA ESPN
  3. Sep 28–Oct 4No game14 headlines · 31st of 138Dan Lanning says Bob Chesney offered to check on Dante Moore in hospital: 'Pretty amazing' USA Today
  4. Sep 21–27 · rebuiltW 54-3 at Maryland12 headlines · 33rd of 138UCLA routs Maryland 54-3 to stay unbeaten under Bob Chesney CBS Sports
  5. Sep 14–20 · rebuiltW 52-38 vs. Purdue9 headlines · 45th of 138UCLA football news: Bob Chesney urges fans to claim free tickets for Arizona clash Yahoo Sports
  6. Sep 7–13 · rebuiltW 28-10 vs. San Diego State17 headlines · 29th of 138UCLA's Bob Chesney speaks highly of the San Diego State rushing attack Yahoo Sports

Each week as this page showed it at the time. Weeks marked rebuilt came before this page existed: they were built afterward from only what was known by the end of that week.

Watch the biggest plays from UCLA’s games, ranked by how much each moved the chance to win.

UCLA

21 stories about him this week

Sat Oct 24: Michigan State

20th of 100 FBS head coaches · from 11 outlets and r/CFB

Oct 17: 2Oct 18: 2Oct 19: 5Oct 20: 8Oct 21: 4W 17-7 vs WisconsinWOct 17Oct 23Most in a day: 8
Oct 17: 2Oct 18: 2Oct 19: 5Oct 20: 8Oct 21: 4W 17-7 vs WisconsinWOct 17Oct 23Most in a day: 8
Gold: stories about him each day. W and L: his games.

Roster talk is up: 11 stories in the last two weeks, from 6 the two weeks before.

What they’re talking about

Press conference and quotes7 storiesrising
Win3 stories
Conference and schedule2 storiesrising
Quarterback and depth chart2 storiesrising

287 stories about him this season

from 53 outlets and r/CFB

Aug 1 to Aug 7: 26Aug 8 to Aug 14: 33Aug 15 to Aug 21: 15Aug 22 to Aug 28: 19Aug 29 to Sep 4: 22Sep 5 to Sep 11: 36Sep 12 to Sep 18: 16Sep 19 to Sep 25: 12Sep 26 to Oct 2: 23Oct 3 to Oct 9: 22Oct 10 to Oct 16: 42Oct 17 to Oct 23: 21W 45-24 at CaliforniaWW 28-10 vs San Diego StateWW 52-38 vs PurdueWW 54-3 at MarylandWW 17-15 at OregonWW 17-7 vs WisconsinWAug 1Oct 23Most in a week: 42
Aug 1 to Aug 7: 26Aug 8 to Aug 14: 33Aug 15 to Aug 21: 15Aug 22 to Aug 28: 19Aug 29 to Sep 4: 22Sep 5 to Sep 11: 36Sep 12 to Sep 18: 16Sep 19 to Sep 25: 12Sep 26 to Oct 2: 23Oct 3 to Oct 9: 22Oct 10 to Oct 16: 42Oct 17 to Oct 23: 21W 45-24 at CaliforniaWW 28-10 vs San Diego StateWW 52-38 vs PurdueWW 54-3 at MarylandWW 17-15 at OregonWW 17-7 vs WisconsinWAug 1Oct 23Most in a week: 42
Gold: stories about him each week. W and L: his games. Counted from Aug 1, when tracking began.

What they’re talking about

Press conference and quotes72 storiesrising
Win23 stories
Quarterback and depth chart22 storiesrising
Conference and schedule17 storiesrising
Profile and feature15 stories
Game preview9 storiesfading

What was said at each stop

Stories we tracked, by school.

UCLA189 stories2026 to now

Most about: press conference and quotes, win, quarterback and depth chart.

James Madison20 stories2024 to 2025

Most about: recruiting, conference and schedule, quarterback and depth chart.

209 stories about him across 3 seasons

2025: 202026: 189James MadisonUCLA20242026Most in a year: 189
2025: 202026: 189James MadisonUCLA20242026Most in a year: 189
Gold: stories we tracked each season, drawn on a square-root scale so a quiet year still shows. Hatched: before we started tracking (2024). Earlier years had thinner coverage, so compare within a stop, not across decades.

Could another school hire him? What has he said?

Stories are headlines grouped by what they are about, counted through Oct 23.

In his own words

We can’t try to be something different
Dailybruin · · the day before UCLA's 2026 game against Wisconsin
Every quote, back to August 2026

In his own words (24)

We can’t try to be something different
Dailybruinthe day before UCLA's 2026 game against Wisconsin
We’ve been talking about this for a very long time
Dailybruin3 days before the Wisconsin game
When you see it, it’s certainly egregious
Dailybruin3 days before the Wisconsin game
He threw some really nice, accurate footballs – catchable footballs
Dailybruin3 days before the Wisconsin game
He stepped up in the moment where we need him to. At the same point in time, he commanded the offense very, very well. What got him there is we’re looking at this on a week-to-week basis. And he had a really good week of practice. He did a really good job, and he brings a lot to the table.
Dailybruin3 days before the Wisconsin game
I didn’t see it because it was on their sideline, but when you see it, it’s certainly egregious
On33 days after the 17-15 game
Our guys did a really good job
Dailybruinthe day after the 17-15 game
It was a big part of it, and we didn’t have to bring a whole lot more than the four
Dailybruinthe day after the 17-15 game
Ultimately, they’re very similar
Dailybruinthe day before the Oregon game
He (Johnson) can catch everything in his general vicinity
Dailybruinthe day before the Oregon game
They’re both very, very good football players. You can’t really think one way or the other who’s going to be out there and who’s not
FOX Sports2 days before the Oregon game
We’re capable of that complementary game of football
Dailybruinthe day of the 54-3 game
That’s a position where you’re trying to take hits of guys
Dailybruinthe day of the 54-3 game
Some of it came off of play action game
Dailybruinthe day of the 52-38 game
The quarterback (Browne) and his timing with the receivers – the routes they ran, the precision and the places he put it – couldn’t really get much pressure
Dailybruinthe day of the 52-38 game
We got to start much, much faster
Dailybruinthe day after the 28-10 game
They’re either going to be revealed for the work they’ve done up to this point, or they’re going to be exposed for the work they did not do
Dailybruinthe day before the San Diego State game
We need this community to come out and support at a level that they’ve never done in the past bunch of years
Dailybruinthe day before the San Diego State game
This is a game that you have to play with some emotion
Dailybruinthe day of the 45-24 opener
I really like where we’re sitting
Dailybruin8 days before the opener
I think you got to fight and scratch and claw for everything that you got, and you got to bring these kids together as quickly as you possibly can that maybe never played together before, and with coaches that maybe never coached together before
FOX Sports
We are excited to welcome Derek to our program
Saturdaytradition
Ultimately, procedural discipline was a big part of what we want to make sure we’re constantly talking about
Dailybruin
He’s a complete back
Dailybruin
Part two · The hire

Hires into jobs like this

Hired into 39–39, National Program I. Rough match, not calibrated yet — ranked on what the job inherited alone. Coaches hired into this same job aren’t used as comps.

Of the 5 closest comps, 3 left the program higher than he found it and 2 left it lower. Median stay: 6 seasons.
Every coach hired into a National Program I job since 1990 (55): typically -1.8 after year 1, -2.2 after year 2.
band ends: fewer than 15 hires still in the job+16+12+8+4what he inherited-4-8hiredyr 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr 6yr 7yr 8yr 9yr 10yr 11yr 12yr 13Strong: +6.2 vs. inheritedKingsbury: -5.4 vs. inheritedNarduzzi: +2.6 vs. inheritedO'Brien: -3.8 vs. inheritedDantonio: +7.7 vs. inheritedChesney: +2.4 vs. inherited▏ Dantonio +7.7▏ Strong +6.2▏ Narduzzi +2.6Chesney +2.4▏ O'Brien -3.8▏ Kingsbury -5.4
→ Louisville, 2010
7–6 · 7–6 · 11–2 · 12–1
4 seasons
+6.2 vs. what he inherited
→ Texas Tech, 2013
8–5 · 4–8 · 7–6 · 5–7 · 6–7 · 5–7
6 seasons
-5.4 vs. what he inherited
→ Pittsburgh, 2015
8–5 · 8–5 · 5–7 · 7–7 · 8–5 · 6–5 · 11–3 · 9–4 · 3–9 · 7–6 · 8–5 · 5–2
12 seasons
+2.6 vs. what he inherited
→ NC State, 2007
5–7 · 6–7 · 5–7 · 9–4 · 8–5 · 7–5
6 seasons
-3.8 vs. what he inherited
→ Michigan State, 2007
7–6 · 9–4 · 6–7 · 11–2 · 11–3 · 7–6 · 13–1 · 11–2 · 12–2 · 3–9 · 10–3 · 7–6 · 7–6
13 seasons
+7.7 vs. what he inherited
Résumé
Previous stops: Salve Regina (2010–2012) · Assumption (2013–2017) · Holy Cross (2018–2023) · James Madison (2024–2025)
No single prior tenure of 4+ seasons to profile.
The job he took
Followed Tim Skipper (2025–2025), after the season
3–6
Program was sliding in the 2023–2025 run-up.
A National Program I job.
How new coaches start here
  • Tim Skipper20253–6-3.5
  • Deshaun Foster20245–7-0.2
  • Chip Kelly20183–9-2.7
  • Jim Mora20129–5+2.6
  • Rick Neuheisel20084–8-3.9
  • Karl Dorrell20036–7-3.0
  • Bob Toledo19965–6-1.7
  • Terry Donahue19769–2+0.7

Poach watch

This winter

6%chance he leaves this winter for a head-coaching job elsewhere, or an NFL coordinator jobSettled39th-highest of 137 FBS head coaches
0%50%+

Our poach model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, his program, his pay and his background. Ranked against the 137 FBS head coaches this season. The zone words describe the market’s interest; none of them says he is leaving.

What drives his number

The biggest factors in his profile, each against the typical FBS head coach today. The games he has left are priced into the number, not listed here.

  • ▼ Lower
    His first season at UCLA
  • ▲ Higher
    No record for him here before this season · his first year in the job
  • ▲ Higher
    Age 49 · neither at his alma mater nor in the state he was born in
How good is this number? It ranks a head coach who leaves for another head-coaching job ahead of one who stays 78 to 82% of the time, and its average came within a point of the share who actually left. What it can’t do

Tested on every FBS head coach from 2012 through 2025, each season scored by a model fit only on the seasons before it. From three games on, given one coach who left for a head-coaching job elsewhere or an NFL coordinator job and one who stayed, it ranked the one who left ahead 79 to 82% of the time; in a season’s first two games, 78%. Its average chance came within a point of the share who actually left. It counts a move a coach makes while he still holds the job; when his school ends it, that doesn’t count, even if another school then hires him.

  • The live number prices the games he has left with the power model’s ratings from this season. The test priced them with each team’s rating from the season before, because ratings made during past seasons were not kept, so this live version could not be replayed.
  • Programs new to FBS have no FBS record before this season in the data it reads, so their coaches are scored without one.
  • It is frozen: it learns nothing from 2026 until a deliberate refit.
  • A coach hired in December needs his background (age, alma mater, the state he was born in) added before his first game, or he shows as not rated.
Part three · The career

Coaching career

Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder

2026–now
UCLA
too new to grade yet

Followed Tim Skipper (2025).

Who they bring in

Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 243 lbs
across 37 of 43 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+6.4 lbs
#56 of 255 · top quarter
Avg. class year
Fr
#255 of 255 · bottom quarter
Avg. portal rating
3.0★
rated arrivals only
Top states: CA (4), VA (4), GA (3), TX (2), FL (2)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
54.8
position-weighted
Talent lost
55.8
position-weighted
Net
-1.0
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Ty Dieffenbach (QB) from Cal Poly
Biggest loss: Karson Gordon (QB) to Austin Peay
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys Cornerback via the portal
100%
#1 of 236 stints
Buys Edge via the portal
100%
#1 of 208 stints

1 player-season honored (All-America / national award): Wayne Knight (2026)

6-0
2024–2025
James Madison Steady ◆ coach of the year
Regional Program I → National Program III
Bob Chesney moved James Madison from Regional Program I to National Program III in 2 seasons.

Followed Curt Cignetti (2022–2023) · succeeded by Billy Napier (2026–now).

System Shift, on departure
System Shift, on arrival
Season20242025Trend
Record & result
Record9-412-2
PostseasonW bowlCFP loss
Coordinators
OCDean KennedyDean Kennedy
DCLyle HemphillColin Hitschler
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense3289
Defense9193
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script
1st-down pass%45.939.2
Red-zone pass%39.326.4
4th-down go%opp. territory45.036.4
Recruiter or developer?

Outperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.

Offense vs. talent
+26.1 pts
#18 of 208 · top quarter
Defense vs. talent
+56.0 pts
#1 of 208 · top quarter
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Roster construction · portal era

A portal-built roster.

Portal arrivals
55
3.0★ avg rating
Portal departures
49
left via the portal
Net portal flow
+6
#16 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in

Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.

Avg. size (raw)
6′1″, 228 lbs
across 46 of 55 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+1.9 lbs
#194 of 255 · bottom quarter
Avg. class year
Sr
#1 of 255 · top quarter
Top states: VA (7), NJ (7), NY (4), OH (4), NC (4)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
53.7
position-weighted
Talent lost
55.5
position-weighted
Net
-1.8
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Matthew Sluka (QB) from UNLV
Biggest loss: Jordan McCloud (QB) to Texas State
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
DC: Lyle Hemphill → Colin Hitschler · 2025
91st pct93rd pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys Quarterback via the portal
75%
#5 of 206 stints
Buys Wide receiver via the portal
79%
#12 of 243 stints
Postseason detail2024: Beat Western Kentucky 27-17 Boca Raton Bowl2025: Lost to Oregon 34-51 College Football Playoff First Round Game

Coach of the Year: Sun Belt Coach of the Year (2025)

AI Narratives — “James Madison Ascends” and 4 more on the team page.

21-6

Big games

Pick a job to see its years on their own.

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

2-0 against his rivals at James Madison.

Rivalry record
2-0
100.0% · 1 rival
One-score games
4-2
66.7% · margin ≤8
Against the spread
16-11
+4.8 pts a game vs. the line
all 27 had a line
Rivalry ledger
Old Dominion2-0100%ATS —
Performance by opponent class
Power Program
0-2 0.0%ATS —
National Program
3-1 75.0%ATS —
Regional Program
16-3 84.2%ATS 11-8 19 of 19

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

One-score games
1-0
100.0% · margin ≤8
Against the spread
6-0
all 6 had a line
Performance by opponent class
Power Program
2-0 100.0%
National Program
2-0 100.0%
Regional Program
2-0 100.0%

Signature games

1-0 vs. AP top 25 · 0-0 vs. the top 10
Signature wins
W
Oregon · 2026
17-15
UpsetQuality opponent
W
Wisconsin · 2026
17-7
Quality opponent
W
Maryland · 2026
54-3
Quality opponent
Signature losses

Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

2-0 against his rivals.

Rivalry record
2-0
100.0% · 1 rival
One-score games
5-2
71.4% · margin ≤8
Against the spread
22-11
+6.7 pts a game vs. the line
all 33 had a line
Rivalry ledger
Old Dominion2-0100%ATS —
Performance by opponent class
Power Program
2-2 50.0%ATS —
National Program
5-1 83.3%ATS 4-2 6 of 6
Regional Program
18-3 85.7%ATS 13-8 21 of 21

Signature games

1-0 vs. AP top 25 · 0-0 vs. the top 10
Signature wins
W
Old Dominion · 2025
63-27
RivalQuality opponent
W
Troy · 2025
31-14
Quality opponentConference title game
W
Oregon · 2026
17-15
UpsetQuality opponent
Signature losses
L
Oregon · 2025
34-51
Bowl/CFP stakes
L
UL Monroe · 2024
19-21
Upset
L
Georgia Southern · 2024
14-28
Upset

Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.

ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%FBS avg 41%James Madison2024–2025▼ 3.2ptUCLA2026–20261 season
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered season

How good is he so far?

Too new to grade — in-season movement only
UCLA’s composite stature has risen since preseason: 38.5 entering the year to 41.2 through week 8 (National Program I) · #7 of 138 in movement since preseason · top quarter.
Part four · How he builds a team

Four numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.

  1. 1His recruiting
  2. 2Who followed him
  3. 3Roster ownership
  4. 4Where he recruits

His recruiting, really

#108Nationally, his own classes

None of his UCLA classes is ranked and fully his yet. Across his other stops, his own classes averaged #108 nationally.

James Madison
2024
#108
Transition
2025
#108
His class
UCLA
2026
#62
Transition

Across every program: 1 ranked class of his own, averaging #108 nationally.

His class — he had the full signing cycleTransition — he was hired mid-cycle

Rank is each signing class’s national recruiting rank (#1 is best). Only a class he had a full signing cycle to build counts as his; inherited and mid-transition classes still show here, faded, but stay out of the average.

Followed him here

James Madison→UCLA2026
At least 11 players followed him from James Madison to UCLA.
  • Aiden Gobaira DL
  • Carter Sweazie OL
  • DJ Barksdale DB
  • Drew Spinogatti LB
  • JD Rayner OL
  • Josh Phifer TE
  • Landon Ellis WR
  • Riley Robell OL
  • Sahir West DL
  • Trent Hendrick LB
  • Wayne Knight RB

Players who transferred from his old program to his new one through the portal in the same year he made the move. Name-matching across data sources misses some, so every count is a floor, not an exact number.

Roster ownership

Roster ownership

53%His own players

of his 2026 roster arrived on his watch — 64 of 121 players. The other 57 are holdovers from before he was hired.

Arrived under him 64Inherited 57

Of his own players on this roster, 55% came through the transfer portal; the rest are non-portal arrivals (high-school signees, JUCO transfers, walk-ons).

Everyone he has brought in, 2026–2026Counting players who have since left: 55% of the 64 arrivals we can classify came through the portal.

“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.

Where he recruits

CATop state

is his biggest recruiting state: 14 of 21 signees (67%) across his 2026–2026 tenure, drawn from 6 states in all. Next: CO (3).

Where his signees came from, 2026–2026 (21 high-school, JUCO and prep signees)

67% of his signees come from CA and its 3 border states.

1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee2 signees2 signees2 signees1 signee2 signees1 signee1 signee

Off this map: 2 signees to the east (AL, MA).

By region
West
18
South
2
Northeast
1
Roster distance from campus (Rose Bowl, CA)
median hometown distance
337 mi
within 100 mi
41%
within 500 mi
56%
beyond 1,000 mi
36%
119 of 121 roster players with a known hometown (98% coverage)

The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.