cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Cole Ballard /Kansas

Cole Ballard

QB · Kansas · So · #15

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

108 PASS YDS · 1 PASS TD · 92 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Kansas for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Kansas for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Kansas

Returning around him

  • 41% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 2 Kansas players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (31 in / 26 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kansas · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #48 · 2026 recruiting class #72

QB · KANSAS · BIG 12

Cole Ballard

  • 2
  • #15
  • 6-2 | 215 lb
  • Westfield, IN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

21

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 97th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#517

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2025
2862023
51.02024
1082025

-62%

Sharp dropoff (-62%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Kansas
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class2
Jersey15
Measurements6-2 | 215 lb
HometownWestfield, IN
Primary teamKansas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#517Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#589Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Cole Ballard

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Cole Ballard May Be Kansas Football’s QB1 on the Depth Chart &nbsp;&nbsp; Sports"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Cole Ballard

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
108Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Per game
15.4Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
200.6Pass yards
2Pass TDs
2INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 108): needs 482/game over remaining 6.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 108): needs 648.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 4/game over remaining 6.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 4.8/game over remaining 6.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 5.7/game over remaining 6.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Cole Ballard's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kansas, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #517 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 108 1 TD | 1 INT | #263/382 (31st pct)
Completion rate 45.5% 10/22 completions | #349/383 (9th pct)
Yards/attempt 4.9 Explosiveness through the air | #316/382 (18th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
10 31st
ATT
22 40th
CMP%
45.5% 9th
Y/A
4.9 18th

Passing Production

YDS
108 31st
TD
1 44th
INT
1 63rd

Rushing

CAR
15 46th
YDS
92 66th
YPC
6.1 87th
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 31-7vs Fresno StateSeason-high 38 yds
Wk 1W 46-7vs Wagner2/638006.330.3Season-high 38 yds
Wk 4W 41-10vs West Virginia1/28004.018.1
Wk 5L 34-37vs Cincinnati
Wk 7L 17-42@ Texas Tech3/617002.80.2
Wk 9L 17-42vs Kansas State1/28014.03.2
Wk 13L 14-38@ Iowa State3/637106.2100.0
Total10/22108114.730.4
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Kansas9-4HC: Lance Leipold · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Kansas5-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
2025Kansas5-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas102245.5%1084.91192.6----
2024Kansas5683.3%518.510209.7----
2023Kansas203655.6%2867.913114.8----
Career3 loaded seasons356454.7%4457.034116.1----
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas15926.10--
2024Kansas5428.40--
2023Kansas20753.80--
Career3 loaded seasons402095.20--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 92 0 rush TD | #141/408 (66th pct)
Usage 8.7% 11.5% pass share | 6.4% rush share | #284/428 (34th pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 108 #263/382 31st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 1 #228/407 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 10 #265/383 31st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 45.5% #349/383 9th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 4.9 #316/382 18th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 92 #141/408 66th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 8.7% #284/428 34th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 22 #247/407 40th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 1 #153/407 63rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 15 #221/408 46th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 15 #218/391 45th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.1 #52/407 87th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 12.9% #283/428 34th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 11.5% #294/428 32nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.0% #281/428 35th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 8.8% #310/428 28th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 8.7% #272/428 37th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 6.5% #295/428 31st pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 6.4% #238/428 45th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home5g10.80.04.80.2
Road2g27.00.54.50.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins3g15.30.05.20.0
Losses4g15.50.24.30.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-75g12.60.04.40.0
Weeks 8+2g22.50.55.10.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

21Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (97th). Concern: pass yards (0th).

Interceptions#4 / 183 · 97th pct
1pass
Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct
1fumb
Rush yards#108 / 183 · 42nd pct
92rush
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Yards / att#178 / 183 · 3rd pct
4.9pass
Pass TDs#180 / 183 · 1st pct
1pass
Completion %#182 / 183 · 1st pct
45.5%pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
108pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Cole BallardKansasNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 60% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 53% simRyan BrownePurdue· 53% sim
Interceptions
97
Ballard
44
Vattiato
5
Fife
14
Browne
Fumbles lost
66
Ballard
66
Vattiato
18
Fife
18
Browne
Rush yards
42
Ballard
27
Vattiato
20
Fife
61
Browne
Rush TDs
9
Ballard
39
Vattiato
26
Fife
59
Browne
Yards / att
3
Ballard
13
Vattiato
19
Fife
23
Browne
Pass TDs
1
Ballard
64
Vattiato
45
Fife
33
Browne
Completion %
1
Ballard
41
Vattiato
13
Fife
29
Browne
Pass yards
0
Ballard
57
Vattiato
58
Fife
56
Browne

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lance Leipold

Pass share

45.1%

344 pass / 419 run

Plays / game

63.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.1%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Lance Leipold
Kansas
2024
Lance Leipold
Kansas
2025
Lance Leipold
Kansas

Played his entire career under Lance Leipold.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWestfield, IN
Height6'2"
Weight215 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey15

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kansas QB2 #517 #589 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Kansas QB2 #663 #590 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kansas Big 12 QB 2 No. 15 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Westfield, IN
2024 Kansas Big 12 QB 2 No. 15 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Westfield, IN
2023 Kansas Big 12 QB 2 No. 15 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Westfield, IN