Sawyer Robertson
Sawyer Robertson spent five college seasons building the resume of a guy NFL teams quietly respect: durable, volume-ready, and hard to sack. He left Baylor as one of the Big 12's most productive passers, earned Davey O'Brien QB Class recognition mid-season, and signed with the Las Vegas Raiders as a UDFA after the 2026 draft. The story is just moving to a different league.
Buzz vs Tape
Country hotter than the fans
The wider college football conversation reads him warmer than his own fans do — a gap of 19.6 points in belief.
Also worth knowing:
The story
Robertson's 2025 season was workmanlike in the best sense. He completed 304 of 503 attempts for 3,681 yards and 31 touchdowns against 12 interceptions — a 60.4 percent completion rate on a high-volume offense that asked him to push the ball. The play-by-play numbers tell a more textured story than the surface line: a 70th-percentile sack rate (he processed and got the ball out) and a 62nd-percentile average depth of target (he was willing to throw past the sticks). The interception rate — 20th percentile — is the thing to watch; it tracks with a passer who occasionally forces windows, but it also reflects a scheme that asked him to take chances.
The Davey O'Brien QB Class nod in late October came when Robertson was leading the country in passing yards (2,513 at that point) and ranked second nationally in touchdown passes. That kind of production mid-season, in the Big 12, against a brutal schedule, is not nothing. It is also not what gets you drafted. The completion percentage — 25th percentile in play-by-play context, with a PBP-adjusted rate of 54.3 percent — and a pedestrian touchdown rate (36th percentile) told evaluators there were efficiency ceilings alongside the obvious volume floor.
The Raiders UDFA signing is the right landing spot for the story he's telling. Robertson is a pro-ready frame at 6-3, 200 pounds out of Lubbock, with the pocket awareness to survive NFL pressure and the arm strength to challenge all three levels. The 2026 camp competition will determine whether he sticks on a practice squad or transitions. Either way, he closed a college career — Mississippi State to Baylor, three seasons as the starter — with more production than most four-stars manage.
Career Arc
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Dave Aranda.
2025 snapshot
Season context · Team result + system
Splits & context
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Dave Aranda
Career stats
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Baylor | 304 | 503 | 60.4% | 3,681 | 7.3 | 31 | 12 | 137.5 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Baylor | 229 | 368 | 62.2% | 3,071 | 8.3 | 28 | 8 | 153.1 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Baylor | 66 | 117 | 56.4% | 864 | 7.4 | 2 | 4 | 117.2 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Mississippi State | 6 | 11 | 54.5% | 23 | 2.1 | 0 | 1 | 53.9 | -- | -- |
| Career | 605 | 999 | 60.6% | 7,639 | 7.6 | 61 | 25 | 139.9 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Baylor | 56 | 17 | 0.3 | 3 | -- |
| 2024 | Baylor | 63 | 230 | 3.7 | 4 | -- |
| 2023 | Baylor | 35 | 69 | 2.0 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Mississippi State | 2 | -- | 0.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 156 | 316 | 2.0 | 8 | -- |
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2025
W 48–45
at SMU
440 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT · QBR 91.9 · 20 rush yds (6 car)
Edged out SMU on the road in a shootout.
How he plays
Play style
Robertson's defining trait is staying clean. A 70th-percentile sack rate means he reads pressure, steps up, and releases before the pocket collapses — a pocket-passer baseline the NFL scouts for. He pairs that with a willingness to push the ball downfield: 62nd-percentile average depth of target says he is not a checkdown artist. The tension in his profile is the interception rate (20th percentile) and the completion percentage under play-by-play context (25th percentile) — he will take the shot and sometimes lose the gamble. The EPA per dropback sits at the 52nd percentile, essentially median, which is the honest summary: a high-floor, volume-accumulator who plays within a system but can stress a defense vertically when needed.
Our classifier reads him the same way: operates within the system without forcing anything.
2026 Outlook
Baylor
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Baylor · editorial
Returning around him
- 82% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 2 Baylor players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -1 net (31 in / 32 out)
2026 Award watch
- Davey O'Brien
- Heisman Watch
Baylor · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #35 · 2026 recruiting class #57
Perception vs tape
Robertson's 2025 season was workmanlike in the best sense. He completed 304 of 503 attempts for 3,681 yards and 31 touchdowns against 12 interceptions — a 60.4 percent completion rate on a high-volume offense that asked him to push the ball.
Read the story →DNA match
Player DNA
Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Max Johnson’s 2021 season.
Matches Max on
Differs from Max on
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ian Book’s path through Notre Dame.
Ian Book
Matches Ian on
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jack Plummer's senior season at Louisville (2023).
Matches Jack on
Differs from Jack on
Player DNA
Players who play like Sawyer Robertson
Heisman trajectory
Heisman Trajectory · 2025
Peak #28
Peaked at #28 this season.
Development
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025+15904%
Up 15904% from first season to most-recent.