As of Fri Oct 23
Sat Oct 24, 3:45 pm ET 
· Arizona State is 3-3 · First meeting between Klein and Kenny Dillingham as head coaches · Kansas State’s chance to win: 76% (the site’s model)
Yahoo SportsCollin Klein Has Kansas State Wildcats In Running For Promising WR Out Of St. LouisSun Oct 18
RoundtableKansas State's Collin Klein Eyeing Top Offensive Lineman Prospect From TexasWed Oct 21RoundtableKansas State Wildcats, Collin Klein In Pursuit Of Rising In-State Offensive TackleTue Oct 20
Locked OnKansas State Has a huge Advantage Against Arizona State! Can Collin Klein finally Win on the Road?!Thu Oct 22Last year we fumbled away the opening kickoff
UMass has gotten just good enough this year to have heartbreaking losses
I love this tradition of finding new ways to make each game painful in a new way each time.
Fan mood · last 3 weeks · more negative than 3 in 4 FBS fan bases
76%
71%Percent: Kansas State’s chance to win, from the site’s model. Records are through today. Networks as announced; the rest are set closer to kickoff.
Where Kansas State stood among 138 FBS programs by stature after each game (1st is the highest; the CFB Zeitgeist ledger).
Sports IllustratedYahoo SportsYahoo SportsYahoo Sports
On3Each week as this page showed it at the time. Weeks marked rebuilt came before this page existed: they were built afterward from only what was known by the end of that week.
Watch the biggest plays from Kansas State’s games, ranked by how much each moved the chance to win.
Sat Oct 24: Arizona State
46th of 100 FBS head coaches · from 6 outlets and r/CFB
Kansas State's Collin Klein Eyeing Top Offensive Lineman Prospect From Texas
Roundtable Oct 21 · 1 outlet
Yahoo SportsThree Takeaways From Kansas State's Collin Klein First Sunflower Showdown VictoryOct 17from 31 outlets and r/CFB
Collin Klein: Avery Johnson is growing as unbeaten Kansas State opens Big 12 play at Cincinnati
Beaumont Enterprise +7 Sep 23 · 8 outlets
Roundtable +1Kansas State's Collin Klein Provides Latest Update On Lineman George FitzpatrickAug 13Roundtable +1Kansas State's Collin Klein Provides Update On Left Tackle PositionAug 27
247SportsCollin Klein talks Kansas State fall camp, health updates and storylinesAug 11Sports IllustratedCollin Klein Gives High Praise to Freshman Offensive LinemanAug 12Roundtable +1Here's What Makes Collin Klein's Job Easier In Kansas State ReturnAug 14
CBS Sports +1Collin Klein makes Kansas State coaching debut against NichollsSep 3247Sports +1Kansas State crushes Nicholls 71-3 in Collin Klein's debutSep 6Roundtable +1Kansas State QB Avery Johnson Details What It's Like To Play For Collin KleinAug 17Roundtable +1What Is Collin Klein Expecting From Kansas State QB Avery Johnson Is Season Opener?Sep 3
Field Level Media +1Collin Klein ready to learn more about his Kansas State team vs. TulaneSep 16Locked OnCollin Klein must unlock Avery Johnson's real Potential or Face disasterAug 9
The Mercury (Manhattan)Countdown to kickoff: Can Avery Johnson unlock a new level with Collin Klein?Aug 15247SportsCollin Klein on season-opener, special teams, Avery JohnsonAug 31Roundtable +1How Many Games Will Kansas State Wildcats Win Under New Coach Collin Klein?Aug 9
National Football Post +1K-State football kicks off Collin Klein era with winSep 5RoundtableWhat's Collin Klein's Projected Win Total In First Year Coaching Kansas State?Aug 8Yahoo SportsCan Kansas State Wildcats Top Seven Wins In Collin Klein's First Year?Aug 10Sports Illustrated +1Collin Klein Sends Strong Message About K-State's Offensive Line After Cincinnati LossSep 30Sports IllustratedCollin Klein Has More Questions Than Answers After K-State's Loss to HoustonOct 10Could another school hire him? What has he said?
Stories are headlines grouped by what they are about, counted through Oct 23.
I had every guy — player and staff — from the state of Kansas stand up, and there’s a lot of them in the room
I want to say thank you to our fans, and that environment today was unbelievable
Can’t have the kick return
True competitors respond when challenged; albeit a very, very painful loss, you rise up
The pride they take in this game and the rivalry is real, and that’s something we’ve embraced for a long time
They had 30 minutes of possession going into the fourth quarter
I think their [Washington State’s] quarterback is dangerous and makes plays and is incredibly tough
Really good night, I was proud of our players
It’s definitely a lot for sure
I want him to be extremely confident, to play fast, and to let his fire, his love to compete, and the care and love for his teammates show
Coach Scalley was tremendous. I mean, he was an unbelievable relationship builder, energy, detailed
Hired into 45–46, Power Program III. Rough match, not calibrated yet — ranked on what the job inherited alone. Coaches hired into this same job aren’t used as comps.
This season
Our hot-seat model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, and his contract (a bigger buyout, relative to pay, makes a change costlier). Ranked against the 137 FBS head coaches with 3+ games this season.
His first rated season here.
The chance he’s out by the end of that season, as it stood after every week of his tenure here, by today’s model.
The biggest factors, each against the typical FBS job today.
Tenure is one of this model’s strongest inputs, but its weight was set when retirements like Nick Saban’s and Bob Stoops’ still counted as being pushed out, so it overstates how much tenure matters.
A different comparison: past coaches, not today’s, grouped by one fact at a time. Neither line knows the games he has left or his contract, so they can sit above or below his chance.
How good is this number? Checked on every FBS coach from 2010 to 2025, with its percentages calibrated each season on earlier years only: they track what happened — coaches it put near 25% were out about a quarter of the time — and a version pricing the games left with the previous season’s ratings ranked jobs as well as the ranking this page used before. Each week it learns from coaches who were still on the job at that point, so a firing during the season counts. In the Boiling zone it has run a few points high. Every job, and the method.
This winter
Our poach model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, his program, his pay and his background. Ranked against the 137 FBS head coaches this season. The zone words describe the market’s interest; none of them says he is leaving.
The biggest factors in his profile, each against the typical FBS head coach today. The games he has left are priced into the number, not listed here.
Tested on every FBS head coach from 2012 through 2025, each season scored by a model fit only on the seasons before it. From three games on, given one coach who left for a head-coaching job elsewhere or an NFL coordinator job and one who stayed, it ranked the one who left ahead 79 to 82% of the time; in a season’s first two games, 78%. Its average chance came within a point of the share who actually left. It counts a move a coach makes while he still holds the job; when his school ends it, that doesn’t count, even if another school then hires him.
Followed Chris Klieman (2019–2025).
Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.
Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
1-0 against his rivals.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Three numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
No class below is fully his yet — every one was inherited or signed mid-transition, so none counts toward a verdict.
Transition — he was hired mid-cycle
Rank is each signing class’s national recruiting rank (#1 is best). Only a class he had a full signing cycle to build counts as his; inherited and mid-transition classes still show here, faded, but stay out of the average.
of his 2026 roster arrived on his watch — 59 of 112 players. The other 53 are holdovers from before he was hired.
Of his own players on this roster, 37% came through the transfer portal; the rest are non-portal arrivals (high-school signees, JUCO transfers, walk-ons).
Everyone he has brought in, 2026–2026Counting players who have since left: 37% of the 59 arrivals we can classify came through the portal.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
is his biggest recruiting state: 4 of 23 signees (17%) across his 2026–2026 tenure, drawn from 12 states in all. Next: TX (4).
70% of his signees come from OK and its 6 border states (TX 4, KS 3, MO 3, CO 2).
Off this map: 1 signee to the west (CA).
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
Offensive coordinator across 2 programs, 3 stints, before and after wearing the head-coach hat — every season measured on the same axis, whether he personally ran the unit or someone else did.
