CFB Zeitgeist Score
33
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 42nd percentile.
Joshua Manning
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
318 REC YDS · 29 REC · 2 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Kansas State
2025Missouri
2026Kansas State
WR · MISSOURI · SEC
Joshua Manning
- 3
- 6-2 | 213 lb
- Lee's Summit, MO
Heisman Heat
#763
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2024–2025+66%
Up 66% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Missouri
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#1 in market ▲ from #2 · 5 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4-star | 0.9099 | No. 271 recruit | HighSchool | Missouri |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Missouri -> Kansas State | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Missouri
Composite
0.9099
#271 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Joshua Manning
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
- Rivals · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Joshua Manning
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
11.0
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #360 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 32nd
Why it matters
#360 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.0 yards per reception (29 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 11.0 (32th)
MODERATE · n=29 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving TDs#302 / 531
- Receiving yards (total)#375 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 8 at Auburn — 63 ypr
Result W 23-17
The week the volume broke through — put up 63 yds at Auburn.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 12g
318Rec yards
29Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
26.5Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
344.5Rec yards
31Receptions
2Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 318): needs 382/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 318): needs 682/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 29): needs 31/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 29): needs 51/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Joshua Manning's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Missouri, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
29 73rd
YDS
318 69th
YPR
11.0 42nd
TD
2 75th
Rushing
CAR
1 35th
YDS
-7 5th
YPC
-7.0 4th
TD
0 81st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 61-6vs Central Arkansas | 4 | 53 | 13.3 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 2 | W 42-31vs Kansas | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 3 | W 52-10vs Louisiana | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 4 | W 29-20vs South Carolina | 3 | 36 | 12.0 | 1 | 16 | |
| Wk 5 | W 42-6vs Massachusetts | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 7 | L 24-27vs Alabama | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 8 | W 23-17@ Auburn | 5 | 63 | 12.6 | 0 | 20 | Season-high 63 yds |
| Wk 9 | L 10-17@ Vanderbilt | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 11 | L 17-38vs Texas A&M | 1 | -4 | -4.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | W 49-27vs Mississippi State | 1 | 34 | 34.0 | 1 | 34 | |
| Wk 13 | L 6-17@ Oklahoma | 4 | 55 | 13.8 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 14 | W 31-17@ Arkansas | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Total | 29 | 318 | 10.9 | 2 | 34 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Missouri10-3HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2025Missouri8-5HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 29 | #297/1110 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 318 | #344/1107 | 69th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.0 | #648/1106 | 42nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 13.4% | #302/1137 | 74th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #264/407 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -7 | #379/397 | 5th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -7.0 | #380/393 | 4th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 34 | #548/1105 | 50th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.0% | #310/1137 | 73rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 7.0% | #303/1137 | 73rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 5.5% | #423/1137 | 63rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.4% | #605/1137 | 47th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 4.7% | #461/1137 | 60th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 4.2% | #494/1137 | 57th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home8g | 1.9 | 21.8 | 12.0 | 0.2 |
| Road4g | 3.5 | 36.0 | 8.6 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 2.4 | 28.2 | 12.2 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | 2.5 | 23.0 | 8.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 2.2 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.7 | 29.0 | 10.7 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
33Below cohort
Concern: rush yards (4th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Joshua ManningMissouriMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 77% simAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 70% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 68% sim
Receptions
Rec TDs
Rush TDs
Rec yards
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rush yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to J.J. Jones’s 2022 season.
J.J. Jones
89%match
#2
Brionne Penny
87%
#3
Armani Winfield
86%
#4
Jaden Bray
86%
#5
Mershawn Rice
86%
Matches J.J. on
Total EPA (college ability)
Height
TD rate
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Neno Lemay’s path through Nicholls.
Neno Lemay
99%match
#2
Antwan Davis
97%
#3
Ian Duarte
96%
#4
Boobie Curry
95%
#5
Mark Hamper
95%
Matches Neno on
Yards per reception
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to JaVonnie Gibson's sophomore season at Oklahoma (2025).
JaVonnie Gibson
87%match
#2
Dontayvion Wicks
NFL Rd 5
82%
#3
Mershawn Rice
80%
#4
J.J. Jones
79%
#5
Jaden Dottin
74%
Matches JaVonnie on
Weight
Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Differs from JaVonnie on
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Reception volume (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Eli Drinkwitz
Pass share
39.6%
360 pass / 550 run
Plays / game
70.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.4%
308 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2025
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
Played his entire career under Eli Drinkwitz.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLee's Summit, MO
Height6'2"
Weight213 lb
Class3
PositionWR
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMissouri
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.