Regular season ·

Indiana beat Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky2-130
Indiana3-033Final
Sat, Sep 17 · Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, Ind. · Crowd 48,952 · 82°, clearBTN

Records are after this game.

Indiana had a 8 percent chance to win in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 33-30 in overtime, September 17, 2022.

How the game turned

Indiana aheadWestern Kentucky aheadBiggest swingLow: 8%
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OT1 Indiana 33, Western Kentucky 30

Indiana 100% to win

Campbell 51-yd field goal, Indiana wins it 33-30

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:36 · Indiana 3, Western Kentucky 0Campbell 34-yd field goal, Indiana goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 1:37 · Indiana 3, Western Kentucky 7Indiana's win chance fell from 65% to 53%.A. Reed pass,to J. Beljan for 26 yds for a TD
  3. 3Q2 11:44 · Indiana 10, Western Kentucky 7Indiana's win chance rose from 53% to 66%.C. Bazelak pass,to A. Coby for 5 yds for a TD
  4. 4Q2 11:02 · Indiana 10, Western Kentucky 14Indiana's win chance fell from 63% to 50%.A. Reed pass,to D. Davis for 44 yds for a TD
  5. 5Q4 0:47 · Indiana 30, Western Kentucky 30Indiana's win chance rose from 17% to 47%.Bazelak 4-yd TD pass to Camper, two-point try good, ties it 30-30
  6. 6OT1 · Indiana 33, Western Kentucky 30Indiana's win chance rose from 36% to 100%.Campbell 51-yd field goal, Indiana wins it 33-30

Indiana's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In overtime, Indiana's chance to win went from 36 percent to 99 percent when Indiana kicked a field goal.

The score went from Indiana 30, Western Kentucky 30 to Indiana 33, Western Kentucky 30.

The play: Campbell 51-yd field goal, Indiana wins it 33-30.

What happened next

  1. Indiana's next game: L 24-45 at Cincinnati, Sep 24

    7 days later

  2. Western Kentucky's next game: W 73-0 vs Florida International, Sep 24

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 17, 2022: Indiana 38, Western Kentucky 0, Sep 19, 2026

    about 4 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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