Indiana

2-0AP #4

Big Ten · Curt Cignetti, year 3 (29-2) · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · 52,656 · 54,434 avg in 2026

The nationAP #4 · Coaches #4up 1 from last week
The model#9 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #6 (+24.1) · FPI #6
The marketIndiana by 44vs Western Kentucky · our model 92% Indiana · a number, not a pick

LastW 55–0 vs Howard · Sat Sep 12 · Josh Hoover 145 pass yds, 4 TD, 18 rush yds

Nextvs Western Kentucky · Sat Sep 19 · 4 pm ET · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · Indiana by 44 · series 5-0, won the last 5 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
53.5
Pts allowed/game
8.0
Total yards/gm#57 / 138 · 59th pct
435.0
Rush yards/gm#37 / 138 · 74th pct
215.0
Pass yards/gm#81 / 138 · 42nd pct
220.0
Yards allowed/gm#14 / 138 · 90th pct
212.0
Rush yds allowed/gmT-#30 / 138 · 78th pct
82.5
SacksT-#20 / 138 · 80th pct
6
InterceptionsT-#29 / 115 · 61st pct
2
3rd-down conv#9 / 138 · 94th pct
63.2%
All 73 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
870435.0/gm8.06/play#57 / 138 · 59th pct#37 / 69 · 47th pct#7 / 18 · 64th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
424212.0/gm3.72/play#14 / 138 · 90th pct#13 / 69 · 82nd pct#3 / 18 · 86th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
430215.0/gm3.98/play#37 / 138 · 74th pct#21 / 69 · 70th pct#5 / 18 · 75th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
16582.5/gm1.45/playT-#30 / 138 · 78th pctT-#24 / 69 · 65th pct#4 / 18 · 81st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
7638.0/gmT-#62 / 138 · 53rd pctT-#31 / 69 · 51st pctT-#5 / 18 · 69th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6532.5/gmT-#50 / 138 · 62nd pctT-#33 / 69 · 49th pctT-#7 / 18 · 56th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
42.0/gmT-#51 / 138 · 54th pctT-#34 / 69 · 44th pctT-#6 / 18 · 61st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#18 / 69 · 64th pctT-#4 / 18 · 67th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
440220.0/gm4.07/play#81 / 138 · 42nd pct#51 / 69 · 27th pct#13 / 18 · 31st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
259129.5/gm2.27/play#14 / 138 · 90th pct#11 / 69 · 85th pct#5 / 18 · 75th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
3216.0/gm#132 / 138 · 5th pct#67 / 69 · 4th pct#17 / 18 · 8th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
4924.5/gmT-#25 / 138 · 80th pctT-#15 / 69 · 77th pctT-#7 / 18 · 61st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
2211.0/gmT-#126 / 138 · 8th pct#65 / 69 · 7th pct#16 / 18 · 14th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3316.5/gmT-#50 / 138 · 60th pctT-#31 / 69 · 51st pctT-#11 / 18 · 36th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
105.0/gmT-#2 / 138 · 98th pctT-#2 / 69 · 96th pctT-#1 / 18 · 94th pct#11 / 13 · 23rd pct
Opp
00.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 96th pctT-#1 / 69 · 93rd pctT-#1 / 18 · 92nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating#1 / 115 · 99th pct#1 / 59 · 99th pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
274.9274.9
Interceptions thrown
Team
00.0/gmT-#92 / 138 · 17th pctT-#42 / 69 · 20th pctT-#10 / 18 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#77 / 138 · 33rd pctT-#40 / 69 · 29th pctT-#10 / 18 · 33rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
63.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 80th pctT-#11 / 69 · 78th pctT-#3 / 18 · 78th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#33 / 138 · 67th pctT-#20 / 69 · 62nd pctT-#4 / 18 · 64th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
199.5/gmT-#7 / 138 · 95th pctT-#3 / 69 · 96th pct#1 / 18 · 97th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
73.5/gmT-#30 / 138 · 76th pctT-#18 / 69 · 70th pctT-#6 / 18 · 64th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
4221.0/gmT-#73 / 138 · 45th pctT-#44 / 69 · 35th pctT-#8 / 18 · 56th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2311.5/gmT-#12 / 138 · 91st pctT-#11 / 69 · 83rd pctT-#3 / 18 · 83rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
126.0/gmT-#53 / 138 · 59th pctT-#29 / 69 · 54th pct#8 / 18 · 58th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
84.0/gmT-#40 / 138 · 67th pctT-#27 / 69 · 56th pctT-#7 / 18 · 56th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
199.5/gmT-#128 / 138 · 7th pct#64 / 69 · 8th pct#16 / 18 · 14th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2914.5/gmT-#79 / 138 · 40th pctT-#41 / 69 · 39th pct#13 / 18 · 31st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
31.5/gmT-#23 / 138 · 74th pctT-#12 / 69 · 72nd pctT-#3 / 18 · 75th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 66th pctT-#15 / 69 · 62nd pctT-#7 / 18 · 56th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
42.0/gmT-#47 / 138 · 60th pctT-#24 / 69 · 59th pctT-#7 / 18 · 56th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#80 / 138 · 36th pctT-#42 / 69 · 32nd pctT-#14 / 18 · 17th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
56:1428:07/gm#108 / 138 · 22nd pct#56 / 69 · 20th pct#13 / 18 · 31st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
63:4631:53/gm#98 / 138 · 29th pct#56 / 69 · 20th pct#13 / 18 · 31st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+1.36 EPA/play10219 / 2770.437613.98
#3 FBS
0285.175.5
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
+0.43 EPA/play1226166
#47 FBS
6.43
#11 FBS
23
-0.03 EPA/play29230145
#72 FBS
4.8021
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+2.19 EPA/play802714520.75
#1 FBS
41

2026 stat leaders · Indiana

through 2 games

Isaiah Jones leads Indiana with 17 tackles through 2 games.

1. Isaiah Jones LB 17 tackles
2. Keishaun Calhoun DL 2 sacks
3. Charlie Becker WR 145 receiving yards
4. Rolijah Hardy LB 12 tackles
5. Turbo Richard RB 166 rushing yards
How They Play · 2025

Indiana fields an elite run-heavy offense behind an elite, gives up the big play defense.

Offense
98th pct EPA/play
Run/Pass
61% run plays
Defense
94th pct EPA allowed
Defensive shape
14th pct at limiting explosive plays

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Indiana · 2025

Indiana reads strongest in passing epa (top 2%) and epa / play (top 2%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where Indiana sits at the 14th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.35
98th
Success Rate +0.51
98th
Explosive Plays +1.24
44th
Rushing EPA +0.21
85th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.01
94th
Success Rate Allowed +0.34
95th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.36
14th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.13
85th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.61
99th
Rushing EPA Allowed -0.07
97th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 16 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Indiana · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Indiana is worth +4.6 points more at home than on the road.

Middle of FBS, 63rd percentile of 133 programs

60% at home, 44% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (27–18 home, 17–22 away). Interval ±5.2.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Indiana has beaten the number by +0.4 more at home than away over 72 games — inside the ±6.7 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) seats 52,656 and has averaged 92% full (48,497, 29 games reported). Visitors cover a median 308 miles to get here since 2018 — 39th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 29% of the 2026 roster (28 of 98 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 52 home games since 2018.

Home27–18Away17–22Edge+4.6 ±5.2Visitor trip308 mi

More in this tab

Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How Indiana’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Defense: Bryant Haines (2024–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2024: 41% → 2026: 32% · 12-pt range · #80 of 203 · a typical amount
Red-zone pass rate
2024: 38% → 2026: 25% · 13-pt range · #107 of 200 · a typical amount
4th-down go rate
2024: 46% → 2025: 31% · 15-pt range · #101 of 189 · a typical amount
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Indiana

CFB Zeitgeist

#9

+10.1

SP+

#6

+24.1

FPI

#6

+25.3

Elo

#1

2132

The national models put Indiana between 1st and 6th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is more skeptical, at 9th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Indiana

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

Historical echoPrograms whose arc bent the same way -- then what happened.

Historical echo

Indiana’s breakout has happened before — and 1 of the 4 closest programs couldn’t hold it.

Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.

Georgia 1938–1943
kept climbing
Florida State 2009–2014
fell back
Auburn 2000–2005
held the gain
Notre Dame 2008–2013
kept climbing

An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

65°F average kickoff temp; 11% of games had measurable precipitation; 8 mph average wind.

Based on 79 home games with weather data.

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