Next game: vs USC
Indiana’s best edge on USC is passing
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Indiana offense against USC defense
USC offense against Indiana defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vertical Passer · +0.47 EPA/play | 10 | 9 | 124 / 206 | 60.2 | 1860 #34 FBS | 9.0 | 19 #10 FBS | 2 | 164.5 | 78 | 70.6 | 9.7 | 4.6 | |
Yards by week → Vertical passerElite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable. In the Heisman race — our Heisman model ranks this player #5 right now. The rare part: he can push it deep — and he finds the end zone, too This week's matchup — QB Hoover pushes it downfield on every look. Maiava is the one who picks you apart underneath and protects the ball. Season receipt Yards / attempt9.6 94th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts TD rate9.2% 97th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like View Josh Hoover's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.60 EPA/play | 2 | 5 | 13 / 22 | 59.1 | 230 | 10.5 | 3 | 0 | 191.9 | — | 82.8 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speed Merchant · +0.16 EPA/play | 1 | 9 | 113 | 745 #21 FBS | 6.6 | 6 #55 FBS | 57 | 13.5 | 20.7 | |
Yards by week → Speed merchantCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. In the Heisman race — our Heisman model ranks this player #25 right now. This week's matchup — RB Richard hits the crease and outruns the angle. Miller is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Yards / carry7.0 94th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share4.2% bottom 12th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Turbo Richard's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.08 EPA/play | 29 | 9 | 134 | 715 #26 FBS | 5.3 | 4 | 70 | 13.6 | 15.2 | |
Yards by week → Balanced back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — 134 carries and 3 catches in 9 games, more touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Beebe does a little of everything without one standout trait. Miller is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Yards / carry5.7 64th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share2.2% bottom 6th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Lee Beebe's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.82 EPA/play | 80 | 9 | 50 | 875 #6 FBS | 17.5 | 9 #5 FBS | 79 | |
Yards by week → Deep threat· Boom-or-bustStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. Starter — 50 catches in 9 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS receiver who plays every week. The rare part: he takes the top off a defense — and the passing game runs through him, too This week's matchup — WR Becker beats you over the top. Williams is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception18.1 90th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume50 98th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like View Charlie Becker's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.63 EPA/play | 11 | 9 | 38 | 669 #25 FBS | 17.6 | 8 #9 FBS | 75 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. 38 catches in 9 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Marsh beats you over the top. Williams is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception17.9 89th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate21.1% 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint View Nick Marsh's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.44 EPA/play | 7 | 7 | 12 | 177 | 14.8 | 1 | 39 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Preston moves the chains on third down. Williams is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception10.7 bottom 22th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume12 bottom 13th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Shazz Preston's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.75 EPA/play | 4 | 7 | 11 | 131 | 11.9 | 4 #70 FBS | 42 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.11 EPA/play | 8 | 8 | 11 | 99 | 9 | 0 | 22 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 12 | 9 | 34 | 22 | 15.5 #1 FBS | 10 #1 FBS | 3 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Impact starter — 34 tackles in 9 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate45.6% 100th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tobi Osunsanmi's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 9 | 8 | 31 | 17 | 7.5 #73 FBS | 5 #38 FBS | 4 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Starter — 31 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate24.2% 79th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Stephen Daley's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 95 | 9 | 31 | 13 | 3.5 | 1 | 5 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. Starter — 31 tackles in 9 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight305 lb 76th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tyrique Tucker's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 97 | 9 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 5 #38 FBS | 4 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 20 tackles in 9 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate30.0% 91th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Mario Landino's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 90 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 1 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight305 lb 76th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Joe Hjelle's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 8 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 3.5 | 1 | 6 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Joshua Burnham's full player pageTFL rate25.0% 81th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles | |||||||
| 91 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 17 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4.5 | 0 | 2 | |
| 18 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 46 | 9 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 2.5 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. Starter — 65 tackles in 9 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 86th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume65 94th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Isaiah Jones's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 5 | 8 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 5.5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 58 tackles in 8 games. More tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 87th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume58 88th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Rolijah Hardy's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 21 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate8.0% 93th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate20.0% 96th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jacob Savage's full player page | |||||||||
| 34 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 6 | 8 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 51 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume51 94th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Preston Zachman's full player page | |||||||
| Rover | 1 | 9 | 46 | 3 | 3 #16 FBS | 1 | 0 |
Rover· Takeaway threatHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Starter — 46 tackles in 9 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 33 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.5% bottom 43th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Amare Ferrell's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 2 | 9 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 37 tackles in 9 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume37 68th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Byron Baldwin Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 22 | 8 | 25 | 6 #43 FBS | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate24.0% 98th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jamari Sharpe's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 4 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate11.8% 70th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View A.J. Harris's full player page | |||||||
| 10 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 15 | 7 | 11/16 | 68.8 | 21/22 | 54 | 49 |
| 35 | 4 | 2/4 | 50 | 12/13 | 18 | 60 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 19 | 9 | 32 | 1267 | 39.6 | 59 | 11 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speed Merchant · +0.16 EPA/play | 1 | 9 | 5 | 130 | 26 | 0 | 41 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.11 EPA/play | 8 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 11 | 0 | 36 |
Biggest plays from Indiana’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Indiana’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 7:13 · Indiana down 4, takes the leadJosh Hoover finds Nick Marsh for a 44-yard touchdownIndiana at Nebraska, week 6Q4, 7:13 · Indiana 20, Nebraska 17▲33%Indiana’s chance to win, 41% to 74%▲33%Indiana’s chance to win, 41% to 74%J.Hoover pass complete short left to N.Marsh caught at NEB31, for 44 yards to the NEB00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this playBig Ten Football- Q4, 11:51 · Indiana down 11Josh Hoover finds Nick Marsh for a 75-yard touchdownIndiana at Nebraska, week 6Q4, 11:51 · Indiana 13, Nebraska 177575-yard touchdown pass7575-yard touchdown pass75-yard touchdown passJ.Hoover pass complete short middle to N.Marsh caught at IND39, for 75 yards to the NEB00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this playBig Ten Football
- Q4, 10:30 · Indiana down 12Josh Hoover finds Nick Marsh for a 19-yard touchdownOhio State at Indiana, week 7Q4, 10:30 · Indiana 15, Ohio State 19▲22%Indiana’s chance to win, 9% to 31%▲22%Indiana’s chance to win, 9% to 31%J.Hoover pass complete short left to N.Marsh caught at OSU00, for 19 yards to the OSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN T.Richard pass attempt Successful▶Watch from this playBig Ten Football
Q4, 12:01 · Nebraska up 4Anthony Colandrea runs 39 yards for a touchdownIndiana at Nebraska, week 6Q4, 12:01 · Nebraska 17, Indiana 6▲20%Nebraska’s chance to win, 70% to 90%▲20%Nebraska’s chance to win, 70% to 90%A.Colandrea rush right for 39 yards gain to the IND00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this playBig Ten Football
Q2, 0:07 · Ohio State down 4, takes the leadJulian Sayin finds Bo Jackson for a 2-yard touchdownOhio State at Indiana, week 7Q2, 0:07 · Ohio State 10, Indiana 7Ohio State took the lead in the second quarterOhio State took the lead in the second quarterJ.Sayin pass complete short left to B.Jackson caught at IND00, for 2 yards to the IND00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this playBig Ten Football
Q3, 3:48 · Indiana up 6Zeke Berry intercepts Josh Hoover and returns it 37 yardsIndiana at Michigan, week 8Q3, 3:48 · Indiana 6, Michigan 03Indiana’s turnover led to a field goal3Indiana’s turnover led to a field goalIndiana’s turnover led to a field goalJ.Hoover pass intercepted by Z.Berry at U-M50 Z.Berry return 37 yards to the IU 13 (L.Beebe Jr.)▶Watch from this playBig Ten Football
How scary each game got
Indiana lost to Ohio State after being 80% to win; the closest win was at Nebraska, down to 6%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Indiana during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Indiana
through 9 games
2026 stat leaders · IndianaCharlie Becker leads Indiana with 875 receiving yards through 9 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+17 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Indiana fields an elite run-heavy, explosive, big-play offense behind an elite defense, though it gives up the big play.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Indiana reads strongest in success rate allowed (top 2%) and passing EPA (top 3%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where Indiana sits at the 8th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Indiana is worth +4.2 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 52nd percentile of 133 programs
61% at home, 48% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (30-19 home, 20-22 away). Interval ±4.9.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Indiana has beaten the number by −0.9 more at home than away over 98 games. That is inside the ±5.8 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) seats 52,656 and has averaged 93% full (49,231, 33 games reported). Visitors cover a median 308 miles to get here since 2018 — 39th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 28% of the 2026 roster (28 of 99 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 56 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Deep threatCharlie Becker is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.
- Money downElijah Sarratt is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- Deep threatElijah Sarratt is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Garbage timeKaelon Black does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score.
- Deep threatRiley Nowakowski is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Garbage timeRoman Hemby does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score.
- Short yardageRoman Hemby converts 3rd/4th-and-short at a below-average rate.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Lee Beebe and Turbo Richard split the carries (131/242 vs 111/242) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Lee Beebe gets the clock-killing work; Turbo Richard produces in bigger chunks.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Charlie Becker (WR) and Brock Schott (TE) split the targets (71/76 vs 5/76) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Brock Schott produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Indiana actually scores
85th percentile quality, 18th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Indiana’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 95th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 92nd — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Indiana hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
55th percentile success on standard downs, 44th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Indiana by half
1st-half offense ranks 78th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 75th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Indiana’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.28; 90th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.10. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.65 raw vs. 0.05 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Indiana’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Indiana’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.0% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 190-play sample) — mid-pack, 37 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Indiana’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.6% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 220-play sample) — mid-pack, 28 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
20% recovery rate on the fumbles they've forced — below the ~48% league baseline.
2 of 10 forced fumbles recovered; 7 of 11 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
24% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — running hot vs. the ~18% league average.
7 interceptions of 29 disrupted passes (22 deflected, 7 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
38 penalties committed, 51 drawn on opponents — netting a 78-yard field-position edge.
313 penalty yards committed vs. 391 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Indiana
Most similar programs · IndianaReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Historical echo
Indiana’s breakout has happened before — and 1 of the 4 closest programs couldn’t hold it.
Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Weather
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN), Bloomington, IN
Usual during the game around Nov 14: 50°, between 37° and 60° in about 7 in 10 games (28 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 55°, and 8 in 10 ran between 34° and 72° (50 road games).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.