cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Quindarius Dunnigan /Michigan State

Quindarius Dunnigan

DL · Michigan State · Sr · #99

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

25 TACKLES · 2.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Michigan State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Michigan State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Michigan State

Returning around him

  • 69% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 2 Michigan State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -18 net (28 in / 46 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Michigan State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #38 · 2026 recruiting class #57

DL · MICHIGAN STATE · BIG TEN

Quindarius Dunnigan

  • 4
  • #99
  • 6-4 | 257 lb
  • Chattanooga, TN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

65

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 85th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12160

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2020

Middle Tennessee · DL

2022

Middle Tennessee · DL

2023

Middle Tennessee · DL

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Michigan State · DL

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★
#3135 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2020–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey99
Measurements6-4 | 257 lb
HometownChattanooga, TN
Primary teamMichigan State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 2-star No. 3135 recruit
Composite rating 0.7844 HighSchool
Signed with Middle Tennessee 2019
Origin McCallie School Chattanooga, TN, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 2-star | 0.7844 No. 3135 recruit | HighSchool | Middle Tennessee

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12160Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12261Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★☆☆☆

to Middle Tennessee

Composite

0.7844

#3135 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Quindarius Dunnigan

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Quindarius Dunnigan

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
25Tackles
5Tackles for loss
2.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
32Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
3.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 25): needs 18.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 25): needs 25/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2.5): needs 1.2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2.5): needs 2.5/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Quindarius Dunnigan is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Michigan State's defense, with 2.5 sacks, 5.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12160 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 25 14 solo | #1667/4942 (66th pct)
TFL 5.0 Backfield disruption | #553/4972 (89th pct)
Sacks 2.5 Pass-rush finish | #393/4972 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
25 66th
SOLO
14 67th
TFL
5.0 89th
SACK
2.5 92nd
QBH
9 99th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 23-6vs Western Michigan200.50.00
Wk 3W 41-24vs Youngstown State310.00.00
Wk 4L 31-45@ USC110.00.00
Wk 6L 27-38@ Nebraska000.00.00
Wk 7L 13-38vs UCLA300.50.50
Wk 8L 13-38@ Indiana221.00.00
Wk 9L 20-31vs Michigan210.00.00
Wk 12L 10-28vs Penn State420.00.00
Wk 13L 17-20@ Iowa552.01.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 14W 38-28vs Maryland321.01.00
Total25145.02.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2020Middle Tennessee3-6HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2022Middle Tennessee8-5HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2023Middle Tennessee4-8HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2025Michigan State4-8HC: Jonathan Smith · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan State25145.02.5------
2023Middle Tennessee34199.02.08----
2022Middle Tennessee25155.52.51----
2020Middle Tennessee610.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons904919.57.09----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 9 Quarterback hurries | #27/1878 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 25 #1667/4942 66th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.0 #553/4972 89th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.5 #393/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 9 #27/1878 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 14 #1520/4584 67th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.80.30.20.0
Road4g2.00.80.20.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g2.70.50.30.0
Losses7g2.40.50.20.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g1.80.20.10.0
Weeks 8+5g3.20.80.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

65Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (98th). Strength: sacks (85th). Concern: passes defended (17th).

QB hurries#27 / 2975 · 99th pct
9defe
Sacks#389 / 2975 · 85th pct
2.5defe
Tackles for loss#553 / 2975 · 80th pct
5.0defe
Solo tackles#1520 / 2975 · 47th pct
14defe
Tackles#1667 / 2975 · 43rd pct
25defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Quindarius DunniganMichigan StateMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 69% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 68% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 66% sim
QB hurries
99
Dunnigan
88
Parker
95
Wesloski
82
Davey
Sacks
85
Dunnigan
80
Parker
74
Wesloski
63
Davey
Tackles for loss
80
Dunnigan
87
Parker
95
Wesloski
91
Davey
Solo tackles
47
Dunnigan
96
Parker
99
Wesloski
99
Davey
Tackles
43
Dunnigan
98
Parker
99
Wesloski
99
Davey
Passes defended
18
Dunnigan
18
Parker
18
Wesloski
18
Davey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Uriah Leiataua’s 2021 season.

Uriah Leiataua

89%match

BYU · 2021

#2

Jonathan Jones

UTSA · 2024

88%
#3

Quindarius Dunnigan

Middle Tennessee · 2022

88%
#4

Javontae Jean-Baptiste

Notre Dame · 2023

NFL Rd 7
88%
#5

Joseph Zelinsky

Pittsburgh · 2025

88%

Matches Uriah on

Height
Weight
Sack rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Demon Clowney's graduate season at Charlotte (2024).

Demon Clowney

91%match

Charlotte · 2024

All-AAC
#2

Van Fillinger

Utah · 2024

88%
#3

JJ Weaver

Kentucky · 2024

84%
#4

Cooper McDonald

TCU · 2024

82%
#5

Dayon Hayes

Colorado · 2024

82%

Matches Demon on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jonathan Smith

Pass share

49.7%

378 pass / 382 run

Plays / game

63.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.2%

303 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2020–2025

2 coaches
2020
Mel Tucker
Michigan State
2022
Mel Tucker
Michigan State
2023
Mel Tucker
Michigan State
2025
Jonathan Smith
Michigan State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mel Tucker → Jonathan Smith. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownChattanooga, TN
Height6'4"
Weight257 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey99

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-Conference USA

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-Conference USA all_conference Middle Tennessee | Conference USA DE

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Michigan State DL4 #12160 #12261 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Middle Tennessee DL4 #9574 #10202 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Middle Tennessee DL4 #9442 #9915 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 Middle Tennessee DL4 #12493 #12391 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2020 Middle Tennessee DL4 #1616 #1623 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Michigan State Big Ten DL 4 No. 99 | 6-4 | 257 lb | Chattanooga, TN
2024 Michigan State Big Ten DL 4 No. 99 | 6-4 | 257 lb | Chattanooga, TN
2023 Middle Tennessee Conference USA DL 4 No. 99 | 6-4 | 257 lb | Chattanooga, TN
2022 Middle Tennessee Conference USA DL 4 No. 99 | 6-4 | 257 lb | Chattanooga, TN
2021 Middle Tennessee Conference USA DL 4 No. 99 | 6-4 | 257 lb | Chattanooga, TN
2020 Middle Tennessee Conference USA DL 4 No. 99 | 6-4 | 257 lb | Chattanooga, TN