Regular season ·
Charlotte beat North Texas
Records are after this game.
Charlotte had a 3 percent chance to win in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 39-38, October 26, 2019.
How the game turned
Q4 0:18 Charlotte 39, North Texas 38
Charlotte 46% to win
Reynolds 34-yd TD pass to Tucker, two-point try fails, Charlotte goes ahead 39-38
Big moments
- 1Q1 4:48 · Charlotte 0, North Texas 7Charlotte's win chance fell from 33% to 22%.Fine 64-yd TD pass to Darden, North Texas goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 1:03 · Charlotte 0, North Texas 14Charlotte's win chance fell from 25% to 13%.Fine 40-yd TD pass to Shorter, North Texas leads 14-0
- 3Q3 0:31 · Charlotte 21, North Texas 35Charlotte's win chance fell from 16% to 5%.Fine 34-yd TD pass to Lawrence, North Texas leads 35-21
- 4Q4 0:18 · Charlotte 39, North Texas 38Charlotte's win chance rose from 17% to 46%.Reynolds 34-yd TD pass to Tucker, two-point try fails, Charlotte goes ahead 39-38
Charlotte's lowest chance to win was 3 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:18 left in the 4th quarter, Charlotte's chance to win went from 17 percent to 46 percent when Charlotte scored a touchdown.
The score went from Charlotte 33, North Texas 38 to Charlotte 39, North Texas 38.
The play: Reynolds 34-yd TD pass to Tucker, two-point try fails, Charlotte goes ahead 39-38.
What happened next
Charlotte's next game: W 34-20 vs Middle Tennessee, Nov 2
7 days laterNorth Texas's next game: W 52-26 vs UTEP, Nov 2
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 26, 2019: Charlotte 49, North Texas 21, Oct 10, 2020
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.