CFB Zeitgeist Score
45
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 60th percentile.
Tayven Jackson
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Tayven Jackson arrives at UCF with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
2,151PASS YDS10PASS TD85RUSH YDS
PASSING VALUE · WEPA
+0.27
via your WEPA model · 2025 · 302 plays
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to North Texas
2025UCF
2026North Texas
QB · UCF · BIG 12
Tayven Jackson
- 3
- #2
- 6-4 | 212 lb
- Greenwood, IN
Heisman Heat
#37
1.1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
1.1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
In Their Words
130 windows · 2025 fan posts
tayven×205.0caught×79.7knights×239.2pass×29.2jackson×31.9put×23.9orlando×21.1north×17.5
“Scott Frost: UCF QB Tayven Jackson to start vs. NC A&T submitted by /u/Hockeystyle [link] [comments]”
reddit/UCFKnights · fan post, verbatim
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025+5714%
Up 5714% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-star | 0.9221 | No. 198 recruit | HighSchool | Tennessee |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | UCF -> North Texas | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
| 2025 | Indiana -> UCF | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
| 2023 | Tennessee -> Indiana | 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (2151).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Tennessee
Composite
0.9221
#198 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Tayven Jackson
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
62
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=7
- Rivals · n=2
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Tayven Jackson
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
WEPA per dropback
+0.270
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks
National rank #44 of 58
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks 25th
Why it matters
#44 of 58 P4 + Notre Dame QBs by weighted EPA per dropback (min 250 dropbacks) — +0.270 EPA/play.
Vs cohort
This player +0.270 (25th)
MODERATE · n=302 cohort 58
- Also strong
- Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)#45 / 57
- Completion %#38 / 72
- Total weighted-EPA passing#48 / 58
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 11g
2,151Pass yards
10Pass TDs
8INT
Per game
195.5Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,542Pass yards
12Pass TDs
9INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 2,151): needs 424.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 2,151): needs 924.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 7.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 10/game over remaining 2.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 12.5/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Tayven Jackson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UCF, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
200 83rd
ATT
315 82nd
CMP%
63.5% 61st
Y/A
6.8 48th
Passing Production
YDS
2,151 79th
TD
10 74th
INT
8 17th
Rushing
CAR
54 72nd
YDS
85 64th
YPC
1.6 34th
TD
3 77th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 17-10vs Jacksonville State | 17/24 | 282 | 2 | 0 | 11.8 | 58.2 | Season-high 282 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 68-7vs North Carolina A&T | 12/21 | 189 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 | 61.5 | |
| Wk 4 | W 34-9vs North Carolina | 25/32 | 223 | 1 | 0 | 7.0 | 87.8 | |
| Wk 5 | L 20-34@ Kansas State | 12/24 | 115 | 0 | 1 | 4.8 | 17.2 | |
| Wk 6 | L 20-27vs Kansas | 14/23 | 97 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 | 30.8 | |
| Wk 8 | W 45-13vs West Virginia | 23/34 | 277 | 2 | 1 | 8.1 | 89.8 | |
| Wk 10 | L 3-30@ Baylor | 18/33 | 151 | 0 | 2 | 4.6 | 9.7 | |
| Wk 11 | L 27-30vs Houston | 15/29 | 136 | 0 | 1 | 4.7 | 20.8 | |
| Wk 12 | L 9-48@ Texas Tech | 27/33 | 178 | 1 | 1 | 5.4 | 51.9 | |
| Wk 13 | W 17-14vs Oklahoma State | 16/25 | 271 | 2 | 2 | 10.8 | 63.7 | |
| Wk 14 | L 21-41@ BYU | 21/37 | 232 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 | 79.0 | |
| Total | 200/315 | 2151 | 10 | 8 | 7.0 | 51.9 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Tennessee11-2HC: Josh Heupel · Run-leaning
2023Indiana3-9HC: Tom Allen · Run-leaning
2024Indiana11-2HC: Curt Cignetti · Run-leaning
2025UCF5-7HC: Scott Frost · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,151 | #82/382 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 10 | #105/407 | 74th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 200 | #68/383 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 63.5% | #152/383 | 61st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.8 | #199/382 | 48th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 85 | #148/408 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.27 | #99/200 | 51st pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 302 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 50.8% | #76/428 | 82nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 315 | #75/407 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 8 | #339/407 | 17th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 54 | #114/408 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 25 | #138/391 | 65th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #94/408 | 77th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.6 | #269/407 | 34th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 88.6% | #75/428 | 83rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 64.0% | #78/428 | 82nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 59.7% | #112/428 | 74th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 46.7% | #104/428 | 76th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 46.4% | #56/428 | 87th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 46.3% | #59/428 | 86th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 11.2% | #144/428 | 67th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.24 | #73/140 | 49th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 38 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 211 | 1.0 | 7.9 | 0.6 |
| Road4g | 169 | 0.8 | 5.3 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 248 | 1.4 | 9.3 | 0.6 |
| Losses6g | 152 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 0.8 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 181 | 0.6 | 7.4 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 208 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 1.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
45Mid-pack
Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds54%of completions
53 comp5.5 yds avg
Middle
10–19 yds29%of completions
29 comp13.6 yds avg1 TD
Deep
20+ yds17%of completions
17 comp31.6 yds avg4 TD
Overall 64.3% completion on 154 attempts · 17 deep completions averaging 31.6 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.27Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.24Low (p25–p50) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Tayven JacksonUCFRyan BrownePurdue· 82% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 81% simPreston StoneNorthwestern· 80% sim
Completion %
Pass yards
Rush TDs
Pass TDs
Rush yards
Yards / att
Fumbles lost
Interceptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ryan Browne’s 2025 season.
Ryan Browne
77%match
#2
Hudson Card
76%
#3
Kedon Slovis
72%
#4
Ben Gulbranson
72%
#5
Matthew Caldwell
69%
Matches Ryan on
INT rate
Completion %
Differs from Ryan on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Class year (higher)
Rush yards / carry (lower)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Andrew Marty’s path through Northwestern.
Andrew Marty
87%match
#2
Desmond Trotter
87%
#3
Zac Thomas
All-Sun Belt
86%
#4
Kedon Slovis
83%
#5
Hayden Wolff
83%
Matches Andrew on
Yards per attempt
Completion %
Height
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Taisun Phommachanh's senior season at Massachusetts (2023).
Taisun Phommachanh
66%match
#2
Hudson Card
62%
#3
Maverick McIvor
58%
#4
Ben Bryant
57%
#5
Rocky Lombardi
54%
Matches Taisun on
Rush yards / carry
Yards / attempt
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Differs from Taisun on
Class year (lower)
Completion % (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Scott Frost
Pass share
51.7%
403 pass / 377 run
Plays / game
65.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.5%
324 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2023
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2024
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2025era →
Scott Frost
UCF
Coaching transition mid-career: Gus Malzahn → Scott Frost. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownGreenwood, IN
Height6'4"
Weight212 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUCF
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.