cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Braxton Woodson /Navy

Braxton Woodson

QB · Navy · Jr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

110 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 414 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Navy for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Navy for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Navy

Returning around him

  • 97% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 2 Navy players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (0 in / 3 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Navy · Last season: 11-2 (AP #22) · 2026 recruiting class #131

QB · NAVY · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Braxton Woodson

  • 3
  • #5
  • 6-3 | 215 lb
  • Altamonte Springs, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

31

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#133

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2025
1632023
2432024
1102025

-33%

Sharp dropoff (-33%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1866 national
CFB
College
Navy
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey5
Measurements6-3 | 215 lb
HometownAltamonte Springs, FL
Primary teamNavy

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1866 recruit
Composite rating 0.8304 HighSchool
Signed with Navy 2023
Origin Lake Brantley Altamonte Springs, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8304 No. 1866 recruit | HighSchool | Navy

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#133Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#100Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Navy

Composite

0.8304

#1866 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Braxton Woodson

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Giuseppe Sessi and Braxton Woodson Named 2026 Navy Football Team Captains &nbsp;"Own fansNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "I created a roster that includes the best player from every CFB team (all time) "National
  • Own fans · n=2
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Braxton Woodson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
110Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
15.7Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
204.3Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 110): needs 481.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 110): needs 648.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 4.2/game over remaining 6.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 6.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 5.8/game over remaining 6.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Braxton Woodson's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Navy, he has 110 passing yards and 0 touchdown passes, but he also adds 414 rushing yards and 6 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #133 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 14.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 110 0 TD | 0 INT | #262/382 (32nd pct)
Completion rate 47.4% 9/19 completions | #345/383 (10th pct)
Yards/attempt 5.8 Explosiveness through the air | #279/382 (27th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Dual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
9 30th
ATT
19 37th
CMP%
47.4% 10th
Y/A
5.8 27th

Passing Production

YDS
110 32nd
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
44 66th
YDS
414 89th
YPC
9.4 96th
TD
6 88th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 52-7vs VMI3/726003.799.9
Wk 3W 42-23@ Tulsa
Wk 9W 42-32vs Florida Atlantic1/1230023.0100.0
Wk 11L 10-49@ Notre Dame3/822002.856.6
Wk 12W 41-38vs South Florida2/3390013.099.9Season-high 39 yds
Wk 16W 17-16vs Army
BowlW 35-13@ Cincinnati
Total9/191100010.689.1
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Navy5-7HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Navy10-3HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy
2025Navy11-2HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Navy91947.4%1105.80096.0----
2024Navy183650.0%2436.822113.9----
2023Navy174042.5%1634.11180.0----
Career3 loaded seasons449546.3%5165.43396.0----
SeasonTeam
2025Navy444149.46--
2024Navy491733.53--
2023Navy531733.31--
Career3 loaded seasons1467605.210--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 414 6 rush TD | #46/408 (89th pct)
Usage 14.3% 23.5% pass share | 12.1% rush share | #242/428 (44th pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 110 #262/382 32nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 9 #271/383 30th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 47.4% #345/383 10th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 5.8 #279/382 27th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 414 #46/408 89th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 14.3% #242/428 44th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 19 #257/407 37th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 74 #6/391 99th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 44 #139/408 66th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 9.4 #19/407 96th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 6 #48/408 88th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 23.5% #238/428 45th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 20.6% #237/428 45th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 17.9% #248/428 42nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 13.9% #242/428 44th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 12.6% #240/428 44th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 12.1% #135/428 69th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 12.1% #244/428 43rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.19 #96/140 32nd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 32 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/258 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home4g22.00.013.20.0
Road3g7.30.02.80.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins6g14.70.013.20.0
Losses1g22.00.02.80.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-73g8.70.03.70.0
Weeks 8+4g21.00.012.90.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

31Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: fumbles lost (91st). Concern: pass tds (0th).

Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Fumbles lost#1 / 174 · 91st pct
0fumb
Rush yards#42 / 183 · 78th pct
414rush
Rush TDs#43 / 183 · 74th pct
6rush
Yards / att#165 / 183 · 10th pct
5.8pass
Completion %#181 / 183 · 2nd pct
47.4%pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
110pass
Pass TDs#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.19Low (p25–p50) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Braxton WoodsonNavyAvery JohnsonKansas State· 59% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 55% simRyan BrownePurdue· 52% sim
Interceptions
99
Woodson
56
Johnson
44
Vattiato
14
Browne
Fumbles lost
91
Woodson
66
Johnson
66
Vattiato
18
Browne
Rush yards
78
Woodson
80
Johnson
27
Vattiato
61
Browne
Rush TDs
74
Woodson
81
Johnson
39
Vattiato
59
Browne
Yards / att
10
Woodson
46
Johnson
13
Vattiato
23
Browne
Completion %
2
Woodson
33
Johnson
41
Vattiato
29
Browne
Pass yards
0
Woodson
61
Johnson
57
Vattiato
56
Browne
Pass TDs
0
Woodson
72
Johnson
64
Vattiato
33
Browne

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brian Newberry

Pass share

22.5%

182 pass / 626 run

Plays / game

62.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.2%

138 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Brian Newberry
Navy
2024
Brian Newberry
Navy
2025
Brian Newberry
Navy

Played his entire career under Brian Newberry.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAltamonte Springs, FL
Height6'3"
Weight215 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Navy QB3 #133 #100 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Navy QB3 #1514 #1760 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Navy American Athletic QB 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Altamonte Springs, FL
2024 Navy American Athletic QB 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Altamonte Springs, FL
2023 Navy American Athletic QB 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Altamonte Springs, FL