cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jacurri Brown /UCF

Jacurri Brown

QB · UCF · Jr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

97 PASS YDS · 1 PASS TD · 142 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred UCF → Rice for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Rice

2025UCF
2026Rice

QB · UCF · BIG 12

Jacurri Brown

  • 3
  • #11
  • 6-4 | 220 lb
  • Valdosta, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

48

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 100th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#406

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2025
2302022
1812023
3872024
97.02025

-58%

Sharp dropoff (-58%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#241 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#20 in market ▼ from #17 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +2500

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey11
Measurements6-4 | 220 lb
HometownValdosta, GA
Primary teamUCF

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 241 recruit
Composite rating 0.9134 HighSchool
Signed with Miami 2021
Origin Parkview Lilburn, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9134 No. 241 recruit | HighSchool | Miami

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Rice 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 UCF -> Rice 4-star | Immediate
2024 Miami -> UCF 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#406Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#451Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Miami

Composite

0.9134

#241 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jacurri Brown

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "Jacurri Brown, Offense Shine in 2026 Rice Football Spring Game &nbsp;&nbsp; atth"Own fansNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "UCF gets it back immediately on an 82-yard pass from Jacurri Brown to DJ Black. "National
  • Own fans · n=3
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jacurri Brown

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 3g
97Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Per game
32.3Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
420.3Pass yards
4Pass TDs
4INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 97): needs 290.3/game over remaining 10.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 97): needs 390.3/game over remaining 10.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.4/game over remaining 10.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.9/game over remaining 10.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.4/game over remaining 10.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jacurri Brown's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UCF, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #406 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 11.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 241 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 97 1 TD | 1 INT | #274/382 (29th pct)
Completion rate 60.0% 3/5 completions | #208/383 (46th pct)
Yards/attempt 19.4 Explosiveness through the air | #3/382 (99th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Vertical threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Vertical threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
3 16th
ATT
5 20th
CMP%
60.0% 46th
Y/A
19.4 99th

Passing Production

YDS
97 29th
TD
1 44th
INT
1 63rd

Rushing

CAR
16 48th
YDS
142 73rd
YPC
8.9 94th
TD
2 73rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 3 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 2W 68-7vs North Carolina A&T2/315005.0100.0
Wk 4W 34-9vs North Carolina
Wk 5L 20-34@ Kansas State1/2821141.04.4Season-high 82 yds
Total3/5971123.052.2
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Miami5-7HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
2023Miami7-6HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
2024UCF4-8HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-heavy
2025UCF5-7HC: Scott Frost · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UCF3560.0%9719.411249.0----
2024UCF346651.5%3875.91493.6----
2023Miami203164.5%1815.811117.8----
2022Miami274757.4%2304.933106.9----
Career4 loaded seasons8414956.4%8956.069108.0----
SeasonTeam
2025UCF161428.92--
2024UCF534017.64--
2023Miami15573.82--
2022Miami542234.10--
Career4 loaded seasons1388236.08--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 142 2 rush TD | #110/408 (73rd pct)
Usage 11.2% 4.7% pass share | 17.0% rush share | #264/428 (39th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.19 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #152/200 (24th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 97 #274/382 29th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 1 #228/407 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 3 #321/383 16th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 60.0% #208/383 46th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 19.4 #3/382 99th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 142 #110/408 73rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.19 #152/200 24th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 64 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 11.2% #264/428 39th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 5 #326/407 20th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 1 #153/407 63rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 60 #21/391 95th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 16 #215/408 48th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 8.9 #25/407 94th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #113/408 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 17.0% #83/428 81st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 13.5% #275/428 36th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 11.7% #244/428 43rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.5% #269/428 37th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 10.2% #260/428 39th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.3% #325/428 24th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 4.7% #348/428 19th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.52 #1/140 100th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 45 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 3 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home2g7.50.05.00.0
Road1g82.01.041.01.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins2g7.50.05.00.0
Losses1g82.01.041.01.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-73g32.30.323.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

48Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / att (100th). Strength: interceptions (97th). Concern: pass yards (0th).

Yards / att#1 / 183 · 100th pct
19.4pass
Interceptions#4 / 183 · 97th pct
1pass
Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct
1fumb
Rush yards#86 / 183 · 54th pct
142rush
Rush TDs#101 / 183 · 39th pct
2rush
Completion %#120 / 183 · 34th pct
60.0%pass
Pass TDs#180 / 183 · 1st pct
1pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
97pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jacurri BrownUCFCade KlubnikClemson· 57% simAvery JohnsonKansas State· 56% simRocco BechtIowa State· 54% sim
Yards / att
100
Brown
63
Klubnik
46
Johnson
68
Becht
Interceptions
97
Brown
56
Klubnik
56
Johnson
22
Becht
Fumbles lost
66
Brown
66
Klubnik
66
Johnson
66
Becht
Rush yards
54
Brown
42
Klubnik
80
Johnson
46
Becht
Rush TDs
39
Brown
59
Klubnik
81
Johnson
81
Becht
Completion %
34
Brown
73
Klubnik
33
Johnson
38
Becht
Pass TDs
1
Brown
64
Klubnik
72
Johnson
64
Becht
Pass yards
0
Brown
78
Klubnik
61
Johnson
69
Becht

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Frost

Pass share

51.7%

403 pass / 377 run

Plays / game

65.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

324 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2023
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2024
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2025
Scott Frost
UCF
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Gus Malzahn → Scott Frost. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownValdosta, GA
Height6'4"
Weight220 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UCF QB3 #406 #451 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Miami QB3 #383 #352 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Miami QB3 #966 #1155 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UCF Big 12 QB 3 No. 11 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Valdosta, GA
2024 UCF Big 12 QB 3 No. 11 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Valdosta, GA
2023 Miami ACC QB 3 No. 11 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Valdosta, GA
2022 Miami ACC QB 3 No. 11 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Valdosta, GA