cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Emory Williams /Miami

Emory Williams

QB · Miami · So · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

156 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 19 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Miami → East Carolina for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to East Carolina

2025Miami
2026East Carolina

QB · MIAMI · ACC

Emory Williams

  • 2
  • #8
  • 6-5 | 220 lb
  • Milton, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

52

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 90th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#193

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
In Their Words 46 windows · 2025 fan posts
emory×903.6miami×27.1cfb×25.4source×25.1recruiting×22.3draft×19.9

“Miami Quarterback Emory Williams transfers to ECU \[Source\]( Made with the /r/CFB \[Recruiting and Draft Post Generator\](”

reddit/CFB · fan post, verbatim

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2025
4702023
1872024
1562025

-67%

Sharp dropoff (-67%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#627 national
CFB
College
Miami
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +3000

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class2
Jersey8
Measurements6-5 | 220 lb
HometownMilton, FL
Primary teamMiami

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 627 recruit
Composite rating 0.8789 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin Milton Milton, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8789 No. 627 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination East Carolina 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 20, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Miami -> East Carolina 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#193Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#113Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8789

#627 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Emory Williams

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 9 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 9 mentions · belief +0 · "Duke Blue Devils shake up college football by suing quarterback Darian Mensah, s"Own fansNational: 7 mentions · belief +0 · "\[Source\](https://x.com/htc247/status/2014086655544533495?s=46&t=5gxwo0z5o8\_tW"National
  • Own fans · n=9
  • National · n=7

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Emory Williams

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
156Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
39Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
507Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 156): needs 316/game over remaining 9.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 156): needs 427.1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.8/game over remaining 9.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 9.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.9/game over remaining 9.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Emory Williams's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Miami, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #193 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 156 0 TD | 0 INT | #242/382 (37th pct)
Completion rate 68.4% 13/19 completions | #79/383 (80th pct)
Yards/attempt 8.2 Explosiveness through the air | #80/382 (79th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

EfficientPocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
13 36th
ATT
19 37th
CMP%
68.4% 80th
Y/A
8.2 79th

Passing Production

YDS
156 37th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
4 24th
YDS
19 39th
YPC
4.8 75th
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 2W 45-3vs Bethune-Cookman8/1277006.414.8Season-high 77 yds
Wk 3W 49-12vs South Florida2/2310015.599.8
Wk 9W 42-7vs Stanford1/216008.094.8
Wk 12W 41-7vs NC State2/3320010.784.1
Total13/191560010.173.4
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Miami7-6HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
2024Miami10-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Miami13-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Miami131968.4%1568.200137.4----
2024Miami162661.5%1877.211127.0----
2023Miami447162.0%4706.631128.7----
Career3 loaded seasons7311662.9%8137.042129.7----
SeasonTeam
2025Miami4194.80--
2024Miami----------
2023Miami7-17-2.40--
Career3 loaded seasons1120.20--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 19 0 rush TD | #250/408 (39th pct)
Usage 9.8% 17.8% pass share | 2.0% rush share | #277/428 (36th pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 156 #242/382 37th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 13 #245/383 36th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 68.4% #79/383 80th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 8.2 #80/382 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 19 #250/408 39th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 9.8% #277/428 36th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 19 #257/407 37th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 10 #298/391 24th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.8 #103/407 75th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 4 #312/408 24th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 20.5% #238/428 45th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 17.8% #267/428 38th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 15.4% #262/428 39th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.0% #273/428 36th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 6.9% #300/428 30th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 6.7% #291/428 32nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 2.0% #366/428 15th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/258 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home4g39.00.010.20.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins4g39.00.010.20.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-72g54.00.010.90.0
Weeks 8+2g24.00.09.30.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

52Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: fumbles lost (91st). Concern: pass tds (0th).

Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Fumbles lost#1 / 174 · 91st pct
0fumb
Completion %#20 / 183 · 90th pct
68.4%pass
Yards / att#32 / 183 · 83rd pct
8.2pass
Rush yards#136 / 183 · 26th pct
19rush
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
156pass
Pass TDs#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Emory WilliamsMiamiCade KlubnikClemson· 55% simJalen KitnaUAB· 55% simJoe FagnanoUConn· 51% sim
Interceptions
99
Williams
56
Klubnik
10
Kitna
97
Fagnano
Fumbles lost
91
Williams
66
Klubnik
91
Kitna
91
Fagnano
Completion %
90
Williams
73
Klubnik
79
Kitna
92
Fagnano
Yards / att
83
Williams
63
Klubnik
57
Kitna
87
Fagnano
Rush yards
26
Williams
42
Klubnik
8
Kitna
52
Fagnano
Rush TDs
9
Williams
59
Klubnik
9
Kitna
49
Fagnano
Pass yards
0
Williams
78
Klubnik
64
Kitna
90
Fagnano
Pass TDs
0
Williams
64
Klubnik
55
Kitna
93
Fagnano

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mario Cristobal

Pass share

47.2%

496 pass / 554 run

Plays / game

65.6

16 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.1%

245 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2024
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2025
Mario Cristobal
Miami

Played his entire career under Mario Cristobal.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMilton, FL
Height6'5"
Weight220 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Miami QB2 #193 #113 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Miami QB2 #504 #448 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Miami ACC QB 2 No. 8 | 6-5 | 220 lb | Milton, FL
2024 Miami ACC QB 2 No. 8 | 6-5 | 220 lb | Milton, FL
2023 Miami ACC QB 2 No. 8 | 6-5 | 220 lb | Milton, FL