cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Caden Veltkamp /Florida Atlantic

Caden Veltkamp

QB · Florida Atlantic · Jr · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

3,652 PASS YDS · 24 PASS TD · 45 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Florida Atlantic for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Florida Atlantic for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Florida Atlantic

Returning around him

  • 21% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (22 in / 30 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Florida Atlantic · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #82 · 2026 recruiting class #85

QB · FLORIDA ATLANTIC · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Caden Veltkamp

  • 3
  • #10
  • 6-6 | 236 lb
  • Bowling Green, KY

CFB Zeitgeist Score

60

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 84th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1236

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2025
25.02022
3872023
3,6522025

+14508%

Up 14508% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#838 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey10
Measurements6-6 | 236 lb
HometownBowling Green, KY
Primary teamFlorida Atlantic

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 838 recruit
Composite rating 0.8670 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin South Warren Bowling Green, KY, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8670 No. 838 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Florida Atlantic 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 23, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Western Kentucky -> Florida Atlantic 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate
2024 Western Kentucky -> -- 3-star | Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1236Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1189Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 3652 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (3652).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8670

#838 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Caden Veltkamp

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 3 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "Caden Veltkamp Mic'd Up &nbsp;&nbsp; Florida Atlantic University Athletics"Own fansNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "11 QBs return for 2026 w/50+ career passing TDs Noah Fifita, 73 Josh Hoover, 71 "National
  • Own fans · n=3
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Caden Veltkamp

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
3,652Pass yards
24Pass TDs
17INT
Per game
304.3Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
3,956Pass yards
26Pass TDs
18INT

✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,652.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 3,652): needs 348/game over remaining 1.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 1/game over remaining 1.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 11/game over remaining 1.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Caden Veltkamp already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #1236 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 61.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 3,652 24 TD | 17 INT | #8/382 (98th pct)
Completion rate 67.1% 345/514 completions | #93/383 (76th pct)
Yards/attempt 7.1 Explosiveness through the air | #165/382 (57th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficient

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
345 100th
ATT
514 100th
CMP%
67.1% 76th
Y/A
7.1 57th

Passing Production

YDS
3,652 98th
TD
24 94th
INT
17 0th

Rushing

CAR
81 81st
YDS
45 54th
YPC
0.6 22nd
TD
4 82nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1L 7-39@ Maryland30/49228144.716.44 INTs — rough day
Wk 2W 56-14vs Florida A&M27/39309507.985.05 TD passes
Wk 3L 28-38@ Florida International33/50343236.944.83 INTs — rough day
Wk 5L 26-55vs Memphis31/50318006.444.2
Wk 6W 27-21@ Rice23/33290318.886.13 TD passes
Wk 7W 53-33vs UAB20/30297319.958.13 TD passes
Wk 8L 13-48@ South Florida35/50244114.958.1
Wk 9L 32-42@ Navy25/41299217.347.4
Wk 11W 40-21vs Tulsa21/29272309.475.03 TD passes
Wk 12L 24-35@ Tulane39/57375236.640.63 INTs — rough day
Wk 13L 45-48vs UConn42/55494219.090.0Season-high 494 yds
Wk 14L 3-42vs East Carolina19/31183025.98.2
Total345/514365224177.354.5
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Western Kentucky9-5HC: Tyson Helton · Pass-leaning
2023Western Kentucky8-5HC: Tyson Helton · Pass-leaning
2025Florida Atlantic4-8HC: Zach Kittley · Pass-heavy, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Florida Atlantic34551467.1%3,6527.12417135.6----
2023Western Kentucky415475.9%3877.251163.0----
2022Western Kentucky44100.0%256.200152.5----
Career3 loaded seasons39057268.2%4,0647.12918138.3----
SeasonTeam
2025Florida Atlantic81450.64--
2023Western Kentucky23763.30--
2022Western Kentucky----------
Career3 loaded seasons1041211.24--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 45 4 rush TD | #189/408 (54th pct)
Usage 61.4% 89.6% pass share | 15.5% rush share | #13/428 (97th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.29 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #87/200 (57th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 3,652 #8/382 98th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 24 #24/407 94th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 345 #1/383 100th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 67.1% #93/383 76th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.1 #165/382 57th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 45 #189/408 54th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.29 #87/200 57th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 477 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 61.4% #13/428 97th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 514 #1/407 100th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 17 #407/407 0th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 81 #79/408 81st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 18 #192/391 51st pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #74/408 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 0.6 #319/407 22nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 89.6% #67/428 85th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 69.7% #47/428 89th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 66.9% #53/428 88th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 59.5% #23/428 95th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 58.5% #3/428 100th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 57.0% #6/428 99th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 15.5% #98/428 77th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.29 #43/140 70th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 57 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #163/258 37th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home6g3122.28.10.7
Road6g2961.86.52.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins4g2923.59.00.5
Losses8g3101.26.51.9

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-76g2982.37.41.5
Weeks 8+6g3111.77.21.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

60Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: pass yards (95th). Strength: pass tds (85th). Concern: interceptions (0th).

Pass yards#8 / 183 · 96th pct
3652pass
Pass TDs#24 / 183 · 85th pct
24pass
Completion %#29 / 183 · 84th pct
67.1%pass
Rush TDs#67 / 183 · 59th pct
4rush
Yards / att#92 / 183 · 49th pct
7.1pass
Fumbles lost#87 / 174 · 38th pct
2fumb
Rush yards#125 / 183 · 32nd pct
45rush
Interceptions#183 / 183 · 0th pct
17pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

173/271 (63.8%) · 13 TD · 11 INT

Short

0–9 yds
61%of completions
106 comp5.2 yds avg2 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
24%of completions
41 comp13.3 yds avg2 TD

Deep

20+ yds
15%of completions
26 comp31.6 yds avg9 TD

Overall 63.8% completion on 271 attempts · 26 deep completions averaging 31.6 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.290
43th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.29Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.29Mid (p50–p75) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Caden VeltkampFlorida AtlanticKevin JenningsSMU· 87% simMicah AlejadoHawai'i· 85% simJosh HooverTCU· 84% sim
Pass yards
96
Veltkamp
95
Jennings
84
Alejado
92
Hoover
Pass TDs
85
Veltkamp
91
Jennings
85
Alejado
95
Hoover
Completion %
84
Veltkamp
78
Jennings
80
Alejado
77
Hoover
Rush TDs
59
Veltkamp
59
Jennings
26
Alejado
39
Hoover
Yards / att
49
Veltkamp
78
Jennings
52
Alejado
87
Hoover
Fumbles lost
38
Veltkamp
18
Jennings
38
Alejado
38
Hoover
Rush yards
32
Veltkamp
34
Jennings
45
Alejado
22
Hoover
Interceptions
0
Veltkamp
2
Jennings
22
Alejado
2
Hoover

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Game Manager

Consistent underneath passer who protects the lead. Rarely loses games; rarely wins them alone.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Donovan Smith’s 2023 season.

Donovan Smith

66%match

Houston · 2023

#2

Tanner McKee

Stanford · 2021

NFL Rd 6
63%
#3

Jalen Kitna

UAB · 2025

62%
#4

Jack Plummer

Louisville · 2023

All-ACC
61%
#5

Fernando Mendoza

California · 2024

All-ACCNFL Rd 1 · Pk 1
59%

Matches Donovan on

TD rate
Height

Differs from Donovan on

Rush usage (lower)
Rush yards / carry (lower)
Total pass EPA (college ability) (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Emory Williams’s path through Miami.

Emory Williams

84%match

Miami · 2025

#2

Donovan Smith

Houston · 2024

80%
#3

Zac Thomas

App State · 2020

All-Sun Belt
80%
#4

Tanner McKee

Stanford · 2022

NFL Rd 6
76%
#5

Cutter Boley

Kentucky · 2025

74%

Matches Emory on

Completion %
Yards per attempt
Recruiting rating

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jack Plummer's senior season at Louisville (2023).

Jack Plummer

47%match

Louisville · 2023

All-ACC
#2

Kurtis Rourke

Ohio · 2023

All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
44%
#3

Tayven Jackson

UCF · 2025

43%
#4

TJ Finley

Texas State · 2023

43%
#5

Sawyer Robertson

Baylor · 2025

42%

Matches Jack on

Total pass EPA (college ability)
Height

Differs from Jack on

Class year (lower)
Weight (higher)
Yards / attempt (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Zach Kittley

Pass share

62.3%

580 pass / 351 run

Plays / game

77.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.2%

423 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-heavy, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Willie Taggart
Florida Atlantic
2023
Tom Herman
Florida Atlantic
era →
2025
Zach Kittley
Florida Atlantic
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Willie Taggart, Tom Herman, and Zach Kittley. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBowling Green, KY
Height6'6"
Weight236 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Conference USA

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Conference USA all_conference Western Kentucky | Conference USA QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Western Kentucky QB3 #1236 #1189 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Western Kentucky QB3 #579 #624 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Western Kentucky QB3 #1066 #938 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Florida Atlantic American Athletic QB 3 No. 10 | 6-6 | 236 lb | Bowling Green, KY
2024 Western Kentucky Conference USA QB 3 No. 10 | 6-6 | 236 lb | Bowling Green, KY
2023 Western Kentucky Conference USA QB 3 No. 10 | 6-6 | 236 lb | Bowling Green, KY
2022 Western Kentucky Conference USA QB 3 No. 10 | 6-6 | 236 lb | Bowling Green, KY