Army routs Florida Atlantic 56-24

Team pages: Florida Atlantic · Army

Florida Atlantic4-224
Army4-256Final
Sat, Oct 17 · Michie Stadium, West Point, N.Y. · Crowd 28,537CBS Sports Network

Army routed Florida Atlantic 56-24.

We had Army favored. It won.

Next: Florida Atlantic vs Rice, Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET · Florida Atlantic favored by 7.5

Next: Army at Tulsa, Fri Oct 23 · 8:30 PM ET · Army underdog by 1.5

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Army a 73% chance, and the closing betting line (Army was a 2.5-point favorite) put it at 58%.

FinalArmy 56-24 Florida AtlanticArmy wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q496% at halfArmyWon56-2412+14+12Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q496% at halfArmyWon56-2412Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q44% at halfArmyLowest 0%Lost24-5612−14−13Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q44% at halfArmyLowest 0%Lost24-5612Scores

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q1 14:38Howard 30-yd TD run, Army goes ahead 7-0Army 65% → 79% (+14)
  2. 2Q2 1:18Hellums 2-yd TD run, Army leads 28-14Army 84% → 96% (+12)

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q1 14:38Howard 30-yd TD run, Army goes ahead 7-0Florida Atlantic 35% → 21% (−14)
  2. 2Q2 1:18Hellums 2-yd TD run, Army leads 28-14Florida Atlantic 17% → 4% (−13)
Army’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Army -2.5), at 65% for Army (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Army scored on 8 of its 9 drives; Florida Atlantic on 4 of its 9.

Army’s drives are teal, Florida Atlantic’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Florida Atlantic: Interception, from 76 yards out to 76InterceptionArmy: Touchdown, from 30 yards out to 0TouchdownFlorida Atlantic: Touchdown, from 47 yards out to 0TouchdownArmy: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownFlorida Atlantic: Touchdown, from 72 yards out to 0TouchdownArmy: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Florida Atlantic: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 32Missed FGArmy: Touchdown, from 68 yards out to 0TouchdownArmy: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownFlorida Atlantic: Missed field goal, from 62 yards out to 37Missed FGQ3Army: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownFlorida Atlantic: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 23Field goalArmy: Touchdown, from 51 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Florida Atlantic: Touchdown, from 67 yards out to 0TouchdownArmy: Punt, from 33 yards out to 41PuntFlorida Atlantic: Fumble, from 91 yards out to 20FumbleArmy: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownFlorida Atlantic: End of game, from 75 yards out to 50End of game

From Florida Atlantic’s side

Florida Atlantic’s best moment: Veltkamp 34-yd TD pass to Valsin, ties it 14-14 (Q1 5:33). It lifted Florida Atlantic’s win chance by 11 points.

What it cost

Florida Atlantic’s chance to make the playoff fell from 1% to 0%.

Make the playoff

Florida Atlantic · lost1% → ▼0%
Army · won0% → 0%

Win the conference

Florida Atlantic · lost8% → ▼4%8%▼ 4%
Army · won1% → ▲3%

Before the game (October 16, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Florida Atlantic plays vs Rice on Sat Oct 24 with a 0% chance to make the playoff. Army plays at Tulsa on Fri Oct 23 with a 3% chance to win the conference.

Box score

Army 56, Florida Atlantic 24

Army covered −2.5 by 29.5. The total, 80, went over 55.5.

Florida AtlanticArmyTotal yardsFlorida Atlantic 432Army 481432481Passing yardsFlorida Atlantic 324Army 23242Rushing yardsFlorida Atlantic 108Army 479108479First downsFlorida Atlantic 28Army 222822TurnoversFlorida Atlantic 3Army 030Time of possessionFlorida Atlantic 27:12Army 32:4827:1232:48
Team totalsFlorida AtlanticArmy
Total yards432481
Passing34 of 49, 324 yds1 of 2, 2 yds
Rushing28 for 108 yds60 for 479 yds
First downs2822
Third down10 of 147 of 12
Fourth down2 of 24 of 4
Turnovers30
Penalties8 for 53 yds2 for 20 yds
Time of possession27:1232:48

Florida Atlantic leaders

  • Passing Caden Veltkamp 33 of 48, 318 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Ethan Ervin 10 for 46 yds; Leonard Farrow 6 for 41 yds
  • Receiving Easton Messer 14 for 102 yds, 1 TD; Kelby Valsin 7 for 89 yds, 1 TD

Army leaders

  • Passing Cale Hellums 1 of 2, 2 yds
  • Rushing Cale Hellums 25 for 195 yds, 5 TD; Jake Rendina 7 for 86 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Samari Howard 1 for 2 yds

48° at the start

48° at kickoff · rain amounts not reported at this airport

The usual here around this date is 59°, with about 7 in 10 games between 47° and 66°.

October game-day temperatures at Michie Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Army favoredFlorida Atlantic favored100%Win chanceArmyRaininches per 10 min0.1 inRain amounts not reported hereWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airport
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Army favoredFlorida Atlantic favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inRain amounts not reported hereWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airport

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:48 left12:05 p.m.
Florida Atlantic 0, Army 0 · Army 65% to win
48°
Veltkamp intercepted by Walton at the FAU30
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Newburgh/stewart airport, 11 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Florida Atlantic · 4-1

Rated 108th in our preseason ratings, 108th now.

Three straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 66-10 vs Texas Southern #228 of 668

won by 56 as a 47.5-point favorite

Florida Atlantic won 66-10 vs Texas Southern. Never in doubt.

W 45-17 @ UL Monroe #188 of 668

won by 28 as an 11.5-point favorite

Florida Atlantic won 45-17 at UL Monroe. Chance to win started at 73%, low 67%, high better than 99%.

W 16-10 vs Florida International #122 of 668

won by 6 as a 5.5-point favorite

Florida Atlantic won 16-10 vs Florida International. Chance to win started at 73%, low 65%, high better than 99%.

W 38-30 vs Navy #76 of 668

won by 8 as a 4.5-point underdog

Florida Atlantic won 38-30 vs Navy. Chance to win started at 46%, low 34%, high better than 99%.

L 21-66 @ FloridaTop 25 #23 of 668

lost by 45 as a 26.5-point underdog

Florida Atlantic lost 21-66 at Florida. Chance to win started at 3%, low under 1%, high 5%.

Last three games

Army · 3-2

Rated 39th in our preseason ratings, 50th now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 20-17 vs Tulane #91 of 668

won by 3 as a 5.5-point favorite

Army won 20-17 vs Tulane. Chance to win started at 72%, low 31%, high better than 99%.

L 29-31 @ Louisiana Tech #85 of 668

lost by 2 as a 1.5-point underdog

Army lost 29-31 at Louisiana Tech. Chance to win started at 39%, low under 1%, high 51%.

W 21-17 @ Temple #89 of 668

won by 4 as a 4-point favorite

Army won 21-17 at Temple. Chance to win started at 50%, low 28%, high 88%.

L 24-28 vs South Florida #66 of 668

lost by 4 as a 3-point favorite

Army lost 24-28 vs South Florida. Chance to win started at 63%, low 1%, high 97%.

W 59-3 vs Bryant #198 of 668

won by 56 as a 37.5-point favorite

Army won 59-3 vs Bryant. Chance to win started at 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

Week by week

Army

Wk 1: W 59-3 vs Bryant▲56BryantWk 2: L 24-28 vs South Florida▼4S. Flori…Wk 4: W 21-17 at Temple▲4TempleWk 5: L 29-31 at Louisiana Tech▼2L. TechWk 6: W 20-17 vs Tulane▲3Tulane
  • Wk 1Wvs Bryant59-3
  • Wk 2Lvs South Florida24-28
  • Wk 4Wat Temple21-17
  • Wk 5Lat Louisiana Tech29-31
  • Wk 6Wvs Tulane20-17

Florida Atlantic

Wk 1: L 21-66 at Florida▼45FloridaWk 2: W 38-30 vs Navy▲8NavyWk 3: W 16-10 vs Florida International▲6F. Inter…Wk 4: W 45-17 at UL Monroe▲28UL MonroeWk 5: W 66-10 vs Texas Southern▲56T. South…
  • Wk 1Lat Florida21-66
  • Wk 2Wvs Navy38-30
  • Wk 3Wvs Florida International16-10
  • Wk 4Wat UL Monroe45-17
  • Wk 5Wvs Texas Southern66-10

Power rating by week

Army is rated 5.3 points ahead as of week 6. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

60-6Wk 0Wk 3Wk 6ArmyFlorida Atlantic

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Army’s rushing EPA against Florida Atlantic, 95 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Army’s EPA/play against Florida Atlantic’s defense

    92 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Army offense, 97th percentile · Florida Atlantic defense, 5th

  2. Army’s rushing EPA against Florida Atlantic’s defense

    95 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Army offense, 100th percentile · Florida Atlantic defense, 5th

  3. Florida Atlantic’s explosive plays against Army’s defense

    33 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Florida Atlantic offense, 45th percentile · Army defense, 12th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Florida AtlanticArmy
EPA/play, offense
Florida Atlantic · 71Army · 97
EPA/play, defense
Florida Atlantic · 5Army · 17
Success rate, offense
Florida Atlantic · 68Army · 98
Success rate, defense
Florida Atlantic · 27Army · 25
Explosive-play rate, offense
Florida Atlantic · 45Army · 5
Explosive-play rate, defense
Florida Atlantic · 4Army · 12
Rush EPA, offense
Florida Atlantic · 65Army · 100
Rush EPA, defense
Florida Atlantic · 5Army · 11
Pass EPA, offense
Florida Atlantic · 67Army · 12
Pass EPA, defense
Florida Atlantic · 61Army · 26

The series

Army leads the series 1-0

1 meeting since 2024 · Army won the last meeting

  • 2024Army 24-7Army won 24-7 at Florida Atlantic. Chance to win started at 47%, low 44%, high better than 99%.

Each line is Army’s chance to win through that meeting.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Florida Atlantic fans are in a better mood than Army fans (85th vs 28th among FBS fanbases), even with Army favored.

  • Model · 73%
  • Line · 58%
  • Army fans · 28th
  • Florida Atlantic fans · 85th

Army favored by 2.5 · Total 55.5

How games like this usually go

Army by 2.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 252 games since 2025 with a favorite of under 3.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 0.5 points toward Florida Atlantic.

opened −3now −2.5

The total fell 4 points.

opened 59.5now 55.5

Spread: −3 → −2.5 · Total: 59.5 → 55.5

The books’ cut: 4.1%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Army is worth +4.5 points (±4.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 58th percentile.

69% at home, 46% on the road against FBS opponents (27-12 home, 17-20 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -4.0 at home vs. away over 88 games — inside the ±6.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 1,095 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Full American Athletic standings