Navy at Florida Atlantic
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Navy · 11-2
Picked #73 in the preseason · now #86.
Three straight wins, capped by a 11-point win over Memphis as a 4-point underdog.
W 35–13 @ CincinnatiTop 25 #71 of 668
won by 22 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 17–16 vs Army #85 of 668
won by 1 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 28–17 @ MemphisTop 25 #58 of 668
won by 11 as a 4-point underdog
W 41–38 vs South FloridaTop 25 #15 of 668
won by 3 as a 8.5-point underdog
L 10–49 @ Notre DameTop 25 #2 of 668
lost by 39 as a 30.5-point underdog
L 17–31 @ North TexasTop 25 #50 of 668
lost by 14 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 42–32 vs Florida Atlantic #113 of 668
won by 10 as a 14.5-point favorite
W 32–31 @ Temple #79 of 668
won by 1 as a 10.5-point favorite
W 34–31 vs Air Force #94 of 668
won by 3 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 21–13 vs Rice #95 of 668
won by 8 as a 14.5-point favorite
W 42–23 @ Tulsa #115 of 668
won by 19 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 38–24 vs UAB #115 of 668
won by 14 as a 22.5-point favorite
W 52–7 vs VMI #179 of 668
won by 45 as a 42-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
Florida Atlantic · 4-8
Picked #108 in the preseason · now #81 — better than expected.
Three straight losses.
L 3–42 vs East Carolina #38 of 668
lost by 39 as a 7-point underdog
L 45–48 vs UConn #71 of 668
lost by 3 as a 5.5-point underdog
L 24–35 @ TulaneTop 25 #62 of 668
lost by 11 as a 17.5-point underdog
W 40–21 vs Tulsa #149 of 668
won by 19 as a 4.5-point favorite
L 32–42 @ NavyTop 25 #46 of 668
lost by 10 as a 14.5-point underdog
L 13–48 @ South FloridaTop 25 #14 of 668
lost by 35 as a 20.5-point underdog
W 53–33 vs UAB #161 of 668
won by 20 as a 5.5-point favorite
W 27–21 @ Rice #110 of 668
won by 6 as a 4.5-point underdog
L 26–55 vs MemphisTop 25 #51 of 668
lost by 29 as a 13.5-point underdog
L 28–38 @ Florida International #110 of 668
lost by 10 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 56–14 vs Florida A&M #150 of 668
won by 42 as a 21.5-point favorite
L 7–39 @ Maryland #117 of 668
lost by 32 as a 12.5-point underdog
What’s at stake
Navy
- Brian Newberry is behind Ken Niumatalolo’s year-4 pace (1-1 vs. 2-0) — a win tonight widens the gap, a loss narrows it.
Florida Atlantic
- Florida Atlantic is the American Athletic program whose Lane Kiffin 2017 11-3 + Conference USA championship + Howard Schnellenberger founding define what Boca-Raton-FBS-newcomer-football looks like.
The series
Navy leads the series 3-1
4 meetings since 2012 · Florida Atlantic won the last meeting
- 2026Florida Atlantic 38–30
- 2025Navy 42–32
- 2017Navy 42–19
- 2012Navy 24–17
Best players
Navy
- Braxton Woodson (QB) · 296 rushing yards
- MarcAnthony Parker (LB) · 18 tackles
- Coleman Cauley (LB) · 13 tackles
Florida Atlantic
- Easton Messer (WR) · 252 receiving yards
- Kelby Valsin (WR) · 207 receiving yards
- Caden Veltkamp (QB) · 662 passing yards
The line, and the room
Florida Atlantic fans are feeling better about their season (85th percentile) than Navy fans are (74th) — even with Navy favored here.
Home +4.5 · O/U 59.5
Conditions
75°F · 5 mph wind · Heavy Rain
Florida Atlantic is worth +4.2 points (±4.5) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 53rd percentile.
55% at home, 28% on the road against FBS opponents (23–19 home, 13–34 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.5 at home vs. away over 75 games — inside the ±8.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 896 miles to get here.
Navy 30 – Florida Atlantic 38
Missed — picked Navy, Florida Atlantic won.
Recent games
Florida Atlantic
- Wk 1Lat Florida21-66
Navy
- Wk 1Wvs Towson42-15
Trajectory
Conference standings
- Florida Atlantic#11-0
- Navy#140-1
The pregame pick missed: Florida Atlantic beat Navy 38-30.