ARMY Army 2-1 21 TEM Temple 1-3 17 Final Army beat Temple 21-17. Share this game
We had Army favored. It won.
Top comment in the game thread
Disasterclass of clock management
Q4 0:51 · r/CFB game thread · Fri, Sep 25 How it swung Watch the plays Drives What it cost Box score Weather Before kickoff How it swung The turning point: Hellums 3-yd TD run, Army goes ahead 21-17 (Q4, 1:41). Army went from 28% to 65% to win. Fans right then: “Disasterclass of clock management” r/CFB game thread
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Army a 67% chance, and the closing betting line (Army was a 4-point favorite) put it at 63%.
Down to 28% in the fourth quarter, Army came back to win.
Up to 72% in the fourth quarter, then Temple lost it.
78-yard TD pass Temple · Q1 2:17Final Army 21-17 Temple Army won Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. At the airport: gusts to 40 mph Final Temple 17-21 Army Temple lost Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. At the airport: gusts to 40 mph 50% 25% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 57% at half Army Temple Won 21-17 1 2 −26 +37 Scores Army Temple Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 2 comments a minute Army fans: 2 comments a minute Army fans: 2 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute 40 mph gust, the peak Gusts 50% 25% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 57% at half Army Temple Won 21-17 1 2 Scores Army Temple Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 2 comments a minute Army fans: 2 comments a minute Army fans: 2 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute 40 mph gust, the peak Gusts 50% 10% 25% 75% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 43% at half Temple Army Lost 17-21 1 2 +26 −37 Scores Temple Army Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 2 comments a minute Army fans: 2 comments a minute Army fans: 2 comments a minute 40 mph gust, the peak Gusts 50% 10% 25% 75% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 43% at half Temple Army Lost 17-21 1 2 Scores Temple Army Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Temple fans: 1 comments a minute Temple fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 0 comments a minute Army fans: 1 comments a minute Army fans: 2 comments a minute Army fans: 2 comments a minute Army fans: 2 comments a minute 40 mph gust, the peak Gusts
See it from Temple’s side The two plays that swung it
1 Q1 2:17 Sheppard 78-yd TD pass to Brown, ties it 7-7 Army 78% → 52% (−26) 2 Q4 1:41 Hellums 3-yd TD run, Army goes ahead 21-17airport gusts to 31 mph Army 28% → 65% (+37) The two plays that swung it
1 Q1 2:17 Sheppard 78-yd TD pass to Brown, ties it 7-7 Temple 22% → 48% (+26) 2 Q4 1:41 Hellums 3-yd TD run, Army goes ahead 21-17airport gusts to 31 mph Temple 72% → 35% (−37) What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
Q1 2:50 Temple scores 78-yard touchdown pass to Brown, tying game 7-7 This camera quality is terrible. I feel like I am watching an early 2000s game. r/CFB game thread Q3 3:43 Temple ties Army 14-14 with a quick 67-yard touchdown pass Cool to score, but that Temple D is gonna die r/CFB game thread Q4 0:51 Fans criticize Temple's clock management and short middle passes on the final drive Quoted at the top of the page. Throwing 2 yard routes in the middle of the field is insanity r/CFB game thread Army’s chance to win after every play. How to read this chart Starts from the pregame line (Army -4), at 50% for Army (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Temple or Army flair (34 and 82); both sides share one scale, regulation only. The blue strip under the chart is the weather at the airport. A 40 mph gust is stronger than the peak gust in 99% of games since 2018. Measured at Philadelphia International airport, 3.7 miles away. Full conditions below. Watch the plays The bar and the arrow show Army’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
Play all in order Q1, 3:06 Hellums 15-yd TD run Army goes ahead 7-0 Q1, 3:06 · Army 7, Temple 0 ▲17% Army’s chance to win, 61% to 78% ▲17% Army’s chance to win, 61% to 78% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q1, 2:17 Sheppard 78-yd TD pass to Brown ties it 7-7 Q1, 2:17 · Army 7, Temple 7 ▼26% Army’s chance to win, 78% to 52% ▼26% Army’s chance to win, 78% to 52% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 4:59 Hellums 12-yd TD run Army goes ahead 14-7 Q3, 4:59 · Army 14, Temple 7 ▲17% Army’s chance to win, 60% to 77% ▲17% Army’s chance to win, 60% to 77% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 3:43 Sheppard 67-yd TD pass to Chase ties it 14-14 Q3, 3:43 · Army 14, Temple 14 ▼19% Army’s chance to win, 76% to 57% ▼19% Army’s chance to win, 76% to 57% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q4, 1:41 Hellums 3-yd TD run Army goes ahead 21-17 Q4, 1:41 · Army 21, Temple 17 ▲37% Army’s chance to win, 28% to 65% ▲37% Army’s chance to win, 28% to 65% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football
Every drive Army scored on 3 of its 9 drives; Temple on 3 of its 8.
Army’s drives are teal, Temple’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
own goal goal line Q1 Temple: Turned over on downs, from 78 yards out to 23 Downs Army: Touchdown, from 77 yards out to 0 Touchdown Temple: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0 Touchdown Army: Punt, from 75 yards out to 68 Punt Q2 Temple: Missed field goal, from 71 yards out to 24 Missed FG Army: Punt, from 76 yards out to 64 Punt Temple: Punt, from 97 yards out to 88 Punt Army: Punt, from 48 yards out to 42 Punt Temple: Punt, from 92 yards out to 62 Punt Army: End of half, from 74 yards out to 76 End of half Q3 Army: Touchdown, from 82 yards out to 0 Touchdown Temple: Touchdown, from 79 yards out to 0 Touchdown Army: Punt, from 75 yards out to 40 Punt Q4 Temple: Field goal, from 99 yards out to 11 Field goal Army: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown Temple: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 24 Downs Army: End of game, from 76 yards out to 78 End of game From Temple’s side Temple’s best moment: Sheppard 78-yd TD pass to Brown, ties it 7-7 (Q1 2:17). It lifted Temple’s win chance by 26 points.
How Temple fans took it: “I'm absolutely stunned that short passes in the middle of the field behind the line to gain with no timeouts didn't work. It just seemed like such a perfect…” r/CFB game thread
“That seemed like a let them score defense” A fan of another team How fans reacted Steady
Fans peaked right at the end.
Jump to the loudest stretch
The jump was steady; the crowd was steady.
First Second Third Fourth Army fans Temple fans usual Too close to call on 87% of plays.
What it cost Temple’s chance to win the conference fell from 4% to 1%.
Win the conference
Army · won 0% → ▲ 1%
Temple · lost 4% → ▼ 1%
Before the game (September 24, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Box score Army 21, Temple 17
The game landed on the closing spread. The total, 38, stayed under 48.5.
Army Temple Total yards Army 315 Temple 459 315 459 Passing yards Army 36 Temple 242 36 242 Rushing yards Army 279 Temple 217 279 217 First downs Army 22 Temple 17 22 17 Turnovers Army 0 Temple 0 0 0 Time of possession Army 38:01 Temple 21:59 38:01 21:59 Team totals Army Temple Total yards 315 459 Passing 3 of 6, 36 yds 11 of 20, 242 yds Rushing 57 for 279 yds 32 for 217 yds First downs 22 17 Third down 6 of 12 3 of 9 Fourth down 2 of 2 0 of 2 Turnovers 0 0 Penalties 4 for 40 yds 6 for 37 yds Time of possession 38:01 21:59
Army leaders Passing Cale Hellums 3 of 6, 36 ydsRushing Cale Hellums 22 for 104 yds, 3 TD; Samari Howard 8 for 69 ydsReceiving Godspower Nwawuihe 1 for 20 yds; Zach Mundell 1 for 8 ydsTemple leaders Passing Ajani Sheppard 11 of 20, 242 yds, 2 TDRushing Samuel Brown V 10 for 96 yds; Keveun Mason 11 for 57 ydsReceiving Samuel Brown V 1 for 78 yds, 1 TD; Colin Chase 2 for 76 yds, 1 TDWind all game, gusting to 40 mph at the airport 74° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 18 mph from the north, mostly along the field, gusts to 40
A 40 mph gust is stronger than the peak gust in 99% of games since 2018.
Every game's peak, with this game marked typical game 16 mph This game: 40 mph 0 60 mph Every game's peak, with this game marked typical game 16 mph This game: 40 mph 0 60 mph Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.
September game-day temperatures at Lincoln Financial Field
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Temple favored Army favored 0% Win chance Temple Rain inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind mph, average and gusts 20 mph 40 mph 40 mph gust Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Temple favored Army favored Rain · inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind · miles per hour 20 40 40 mph gust Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Second quarter, 4:46 left5:09 p.m.
Army 7, Temple 7 · Temple 42% to win
no rain · wind 18 mph from the north, mostly along the field, gusts to 40 · 73°
Mason 1-yd run
Previous play Next play
Jump to Strongest gust: 40 mph · second Biggest swing: 37 points of win chance · fourth Where this weather comes from Measured at Philadelphia International airport, 3.7 miles away, and Philadelphia Ne airport, 15 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.
Before kickoff Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Matchups Biggest mismatch: Army’s EPA/play against Temple, 83 points Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Army’s EPA/play against Temple’s defense
83 points weaker stronger 50th Army offense, 97th percentile · Temple defense, 14th
Army’s rushing EPA against Temple’s defense
74 points weaker stronger 50th Army offense, 100th percentile · Temple defense, 26th
Army’s explosive plays against Temple’s defense
59 points weaker stronger 50th Army offense, 5th percentile · Temple defense, 64th
Season profile, all the rows Season profile Army Temple
EPA/play, offense
Army · 97 Temple · 65 EPA/play, defense
Army · 17 Temple · 14 Success rate, offense
Army · 98 Temple · 48 Success rate, defense
Army · 25 Temple · 11 Explosive-play rate, offense
Army · 5 Temple · 61 Explosive-play rate, defense
Army · 12 Temple · 64 Rush EPA, offense
Army · 100 Temple · 78 Rush EPA, defense
Army · 11 Temple · 26 Pass EPA, offense
Army · 12 Temple · 48 Pass EPA, defense
Army · 26 Temple · 16 The series Army leads the series 8-7
15 meetings since 1943 · Army has won the last 4
Temple won Army won 1943: Army by 51 1987: Army by 10 1993: Army by 35 1994: Temple by 3 2007: Army by 16 2008: Temple by 28 2009: Temple by 14 2010: Temple by 7 2011: Temple by 28 2012: Temple by 31 2013: Temple by 19 2016: Army by 15 2017: Army by 3 2024: Army by 28 2025: Army by 1 1943 2025 2025 Army 14-13 Temple lost 13-14 at Army. Chance to win started at 17%, low 5%, high 42%. 2024 Army 42-14 Temple lost 14-42 vs Army. Chance to win started at 26%, low under 1%, high 27%. 2017 Army 31-28 2016 Army 28-13 2013 Temple 33-14 Each line is Temple’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.
Line, fans and home field The betting line, and the fans Temple fans are in a better mood than Army fans (51st vs 26th among FBS fanbases), even with Army favored.
50-50 Model 33% · Line 37% Temple fans · 51st Army fans · 26th Army Temple Army favored by 4 · Total 48.5
How games like this usually go Army by 4, and it went to form 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Half of games 8 in 10 games This game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 377 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.
The market The spread moved 1 point toward Army.
opened +3 now +4 The total fell 1 point.
opened 49.5 now 48.5 Spread: +3 → +4 · Total: 49.5 → 48.5
The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds
Home field Temple is worth +3.0 points (±4.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 29th percentile.
41% at home, 24% on the road against FBS opponents (19-27 home, 11-34 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why ); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.1 at home vs. away over 98 games — inside the ±6.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 121 miles to get here.
Last meeting in our History pages Our History pages cover 2 of their meetings since 2016.