1st-best Iowa State tenure of 19 by the numbers.
Recruiter or developer?
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Offense vs. talent
+13.4 pts
#55 of 208 · a typical amount
Defense vs. talent
+3.3 pts
#87 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Followed Paul Rhoads (2009–2015).
Roster construction · portal era
Barely touches the portal — recruits and develops his own.
Portal arrivals
24
3.0★ avg rating
Portal departures
78
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-54
#168 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in
Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.
A typical class-year mix of incoming transfers.
Avg. size (raw)
6′3″, 249 lbs
across 19 of 24 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+8.9 lbs
#25 of 255 · more than most
Avg. class year
Jr
#72 of 255 · a typical amount
Top states: TX (4), IL (4), MO (2), MN (2), FL (2)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
52.7
position-weighted
Talent lost
55.8
position-weighted
Net
-3.1
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Conrad Hawley (QB) from Kansas
Biggest loss: JJ Kohl (QB) to App State
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Tom Manning → Nathan Scheelhaase · 2023
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 44.4% → 43.1% (-1.3 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 64% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Nathan Scheelhaase → Taylor Mouser · 2024
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 43.1% → 37.6% (-5.5 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 90% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
217 lbs
6′2″ avg · #253 of 767 · a typical amount
Running back
212 lbs
6′0″ avg · #221 of 791 · a typical amount
Wide receiver
203 lbs
6′2″ avg · #48 of 791 · more than most
Tight end
255 lbs
6′6″ avg · #68 of 731 · more than most
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
314 lbs
6′5″ avg · #199 of 779 · a typical amount
D-line
282 lbs
6′3″ avg · #433 of 753 · a typical amount
Edge
268 lbs
6′4″ avg · #17 of 188 · more than most
Linebacker
232 lbs
6′2″ avg · #212 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
200 lbs
6′1″ avg · #24 of 771 · more than most
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows K from high school
75%
#49 of 56 stints
Grows Tight end from high school
100%
#164 of 188 stints
Postseason detail2017: Beat Memphis 21–20 CFP2018: Lost to Washington State 26–28 Valero Alamo Bowl2019: Lost to Notre Dame 9–33 Camping World Bowl2020: Beat Oregon 34–17 PlayStation Fiesta Bowl2021: Lost to Clemson 13–20 Cheez-It Bowl2023: Lost to Memphis 26–36 AutoZone Liberty Bowl2024: Beat Miami 42–41 Pop-Tarts Bowl
16 NFL Draft picks: David Montgomery (2019), Hakeem Butler (2019), Kene Nwangwu (2021), Breece Hall (2022), Eyioma Uwazurike (2022), Charlie Kolar (2022), Brock Purdy (2022), Will McDonald IV (2023) + 8 more
6 player-seasons honored (All-America / national award): Breece Hall (2020), JaQuan Bailey (2020), Mike Rose (2020), Breece Hall (2021), Will McDonald IV (2021), Xavier Hutchinson (2022)