The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Marcus Freeman

Marcus Freeman inherited a Power Program I Notre Dame and won with it.

43–12
2021–now · 1 stint
← all coaches

In his own words

I've got a lot of respect for him
FOX Sports · · the day before Notre Dame's 2026 opener
He comes in here and he prepares in a way I haven’t seen many people prepare
On34 days before the opener

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerNOTRE DAMEBlue Bloodpermanent top tierPower Programperennial contenderNotre Dame, 2021: 0-1, Power Program I2021Notre Dame, 2022: 9-4, Power Program I2022Notre Dame, 2023: 10-3, Power Program I2023Notre Dame, 2024: 14-2, Power Program I2024Notre Dame, 2025: 10-2, Power Program I2025Notre Dame, 2026: in progress, Power Program I2026+2.7One point per coached season, in career order; dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Reached Power Program in his 1st career season — faster than 57% of the 395 FBS coaches who have ever reached Power Program (rank #1 of 395 by seasons-to-arrival).

Notre Dame, 6 seasons (active)
+2.7
Power Program I → Power Program I.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%50%Notre Dame2021–2026▼ 0.7pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)
How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints
Notre Dame11.0pt#108 of 258 · a typical amount

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

6–2 against his rivals. Winless in 3 tries against Ryan Day.

Rivalry record
6–2
75.0% · 2 rivals
One-score games
6–7
46.2% · margin ≤8
vs. Blue Blood or better
2–4
33.3%
Rivalry ledger
Stanford3–175%
USC3–175%
The toughest matchup
vs. Ryan Day0–3
3 meetings, 2022–2024
’22 L · blew a 3-pt lead’23 L · blew a 4-pt lead’24 L · blew a 7-pt lead
0% win rate across a real, 3-meeting series — short of the bar this site uses before badging a series “Nemesis.” Shown here as the toughest matchup on record, not an algorithmic crown.
Performance by opponent class
Blue Blood
2–4 33.3%
Power Program
12–4 75.0%
National Program
14–2 87.5%
Regional Program
13–1 92.9%

What fans are saying

Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim

scheme identityOne fan's take

One fan believes Notre Dame's defense stops triple-option offenses well

The way ND’s defense always seem to dominate these triple options so well since Freeman has been coach

Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Sep 12, 2026 · via CFB

Coaching career

2021–now
Notre Dameinheritor
Power Program I → Power Program I
Marcus Freeman inherited a Power Program I Notre Dame and won with it.

11th-best Notre Dame tenure of 15 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Outperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.

Offense vs. talent
+18.9 pts
#43 of 208 · more than most
Defense vs. talent
+25.2 pts
#18 of 208 · more than most
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Season202120222023202420252026Trend
Record & result
Record11–19–410–314–210–20–0
PostseasonL bowlW bowlW bowlTitle game L
Recruiting rank#9#7#12#9#12#5
Style — pass rate
Pass rate49.938.943.444.143.549.2
Coordinators
OCTommy ReesTommy ReesGerad ParkerMike DenbrockMike DenbrockMike Denbrock
DCMarcus FreemanAl GoldenAl GoldenAl GoldenChris AshAaron Henry / Chris Ash
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense746294999574
Defense9567100949579
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%48.937.638.939.741.155.3
Red-zone pass%35.035.537.229.928.333.3
4th-down go%opp. territory29.322.033.333.366.7
Roster construction · portal era

Barely touches the portal — recruits and develops his own.

Portal arrivals
39
3.5★ avg rating
Portal departures
92
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-53
#155 of 187 FBS stints
Notable portal arrivals with a modeled NIL value
Quincy Porter On3 modeled · $1,000,000
On3’s modeled estimate (social reach / exposure), not money actually paid — shown per player, never totaled.
Who they bring in

Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.

Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.

Avg. size (raw)
6′1″, 219 lbs
across 31 of 39 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+4.9 lbs
#95 of 255 · a typical amount
Avg. class year
Sr
#29 of 255 · more than most
Top states: NJ (4), VA (4), NC (3), TN (3), FL (3)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
63.9
position-weighted
Talent lost
62.8
position-weighted
Net
+1.0
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Sam Hartman (QB) from Wake Forest
Biggest loss: Kenny Minchey (QB) to Kentucky
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Tommy Rees → Gerad Parker · 2023
62nd pct94th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 37.6% → 38.9% (+1.3 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 34% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Gerad Parker → Mike Denbrock · 2024
94th pct99th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 38.9% → 39.7% (+0.9 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 37% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: Al Golden → Chris Ash · 2025
94th pct95th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
DC: Chris Ash → co-Aaron Henry / Chris Ash · 2026
95th pct79th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
212 lbs
6′2″ avg · #402 of 767 · a typical amount
Running back
213 lbs
6′0″ avg · #171 of 791 · more than most
Wide receiver
201 lbs
6′1″ avg · #73 of 791 · more than most
Tight end
255 lbs
6′5″ avg · #73 of 731 · more than most
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
310 lbs
6′6″ avg · #316 of 779 · a typical amount
D-line
279 lbs
6′4″ avg · #481 of 753 · a typical amount
Linebacker
230 lbs
6′2″ avg · #306 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
187 lbs
6′0″ avg · #528 of 771 · a typical amount
Safety
198 lbs
6′1″ avg · #156 of 346 · a typical amount
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys ATH via the portal
17%
#30 of 146 stints
Grows Tight end from high school
91%
#163 of 188 stints
Grows Quarterback from high school
73%
#164 of 206 stints
Postseason detail2021: Lost to Oklahoma State 35–37 PlayStation Fiesta Bowl2022: Beat South Carolina 45–38 TaxSlayer Gator Bowl2023: Beat Oregon State 40–8 Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl2024: Beat Indiana 27–17 College Football Playoff First Round Game Presented by Allstate2024: Beat Georgia 23–10 College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl - Rescheduled from Jan 12024: Beat Penn State 27–24 College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Capital One Orange Bowl2024: Lost to Ohio State 23–34 College Football Playoff National Championship Presented by AT&T

33 NFL Draft picks: Liam Eichenberg (2021), Aaron Banks (2021), Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (2021), Tommy Tremble (2021), Robert Hainsey (2021), Ian Book (2021), Daelin Hayes (2021), Adetokunbo Ogundeji (2021) + 25 more

14 player-seasons honored (All-America / national award): Kyle Hamilton (2021), Isaiah Foskey (2022), Michael Mayer (2022), Michael Vinson (2022), Joe Alt (2022), Xavier Watts (2023), Joe Alt (2023), Xavier Watts (2024) + 6 more

AI Narratives — “Notre Dame's 2025 season ends at 10-2” and 12 more on the team page.

43–12
How to read this. Bands and archetypes come from the Zeitgeist List’s season-by-season stature model, and only apply once a stint clears 3 coached seasons in our ledger — a newer stint shows its real record with no stature judgment yet.