Stature and coaches, 1962–2026
The program’s standing over time, with every coach’s tenure beneath it — read down to see who was there for each rise and fall.
DynastyBlue BloodPower ProgramNational ProgramRegional Program
Run↔pass identity, by season
Every coach
Big movers show how many stature points they built or lost against what they inherited; steadier tenures show the tier they reached instead. A small blue arrow marks a real System Shift at that changeover — how hard the offense’s run/pass identity flipped.
2025
Robert Weiner Short tenure
2025 defense ranked in the 99th percentile nationally — elite
0-1
2015–2025
Jason Candle Steady ◆ COY
Jason Candle moved Toledo from National Program III to National Program II in 10 seasons.
2025 defense ranked in the 99th percentile nationally — elite
+3.5 pts over 10 seasons · bottom 17% of 10+-season tenures (202 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Dave Doeren’s NC State run (2013–now)
3rd-best Toledo tenure of 9 by the numbers.
Followed Matt Campbell (2011–2015) · succeeded by Mike Jacobs (2026–now).
System Shift, on arrival
System Shift, on departure
| Season | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||||||||||
| Record | 1-0 | 9-4 | 11-3 | 7-6 | 6-6 | 4-2 | 7-6 | 9-5 | 11-3 | 8-5 | 8-4 | |
| Postseason | W bowl | L bowl | L bowl | L bowl | — | — | L bowl | W bowl | L bowl | W bowl | — | |
| Recruiting rank | — | #88 | #78 | #67 | #73 | #69 | #67 | #91 | #101 | #66 | #73 | |
| Style — pass rate | ||||||||||||
| Pass rate | — | 45.2 | 43.1 | 42.5 | 39.6 | 47.4 | 45.2 | 43.1 | 41.8 | 51.0 | 45.9 | |
| Coordinators | ||||||||||||
| OC | — | Brian Wright | Brian Wright | Brian Wright | Brian Wright | Michael (Mike) Hallett / Robert Weiner | Michael (Mike) Hallett / Robert Weiner | Michael (Mike) Hallett / Robert Weiner | Michael (Mike) Hallett / Robert Weiner | Michael (Mike) Hallett / Robert Weiner | Michael (Mike) Hallett / Robert Weiner | |
| DC | — | Brian George | Brian George | Brian George | Brian George | Vince Kehres / Ross Watson / Craig Kuligowski | Vince Kehres / Ross Watson / Craig Kuligowski | Vince Kehres / Ross Watson / Craig Kuligowski | Vince Kehres / Ross Watson / Craig Kuligowski | Vince Kehres / Ross Watson | Vince Kehres / Ross Watson | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||||||||||
| Offense | — | 93 | 87 | 66 | 49 | 70 | 96 | 45 | 86 | 18 | 72 | |
| Defense | — | 52 | 44 | 23 | 7 | 78 | 90 | 80 | 76 | 85 | 99 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | ||||||||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | 37.5 | 38.9 | 37.5 | 33.0 | 38.0 | 43.4 | 40.4 | 33.3 | 42.5 | 43.8 | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | 45.0 | 29.2 | 43.0 | 31.7 | 47.1 | 32.9 | 38.7 | 44.0 | 48.1 | 33.0 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | 26.5 | 22.4 | 30.8 | 45.0 | 50.0 | 29.5 | 47.6 | 41.7 | 48.0 | 38.2 | |
Recruiter or developer?
Outperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Offense vs. talent
+22.6 pts
#32 of 208 · top quarter
Defense vs. talent
+17.2 pts
#39 of 208 · top quarter
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Roster construction · portal era
Barely touches the portal — recruits and develops his own.
Portal arrivals
42
3.0★ avg rating
Portal departures
57
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-15
#142 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in
Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
Avg. size (raw)
6′3″, 240 lbs
across 33 of 42 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+5.4 lbs
#95 of 255 · middle half
Avg. class year
Jr
#32 of 255 · top quarter
Top states: OH (9), FL (7), IN (3), MI (3), IL (3)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
52.6
position-weighted
Talent lost
56.5
position-weighted
Net
-3.9
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Tucker Gleason (QB) from Georgia Tech
Biggest loss: Dequan Finn (QB) to Baylor
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Brian Wright → Michael (Mike) Hallett (co) / Robert Weiner (co) · 2020The offense improved
2-season window either side.
1st-down pass rate: 35.3% → 40.7% (+5.4 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 61% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: Brian George → Vince Kehres / Ross Watson (co) / Craig Kuligowski (co) · 2020The defense leveled up
2-season window either side.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
221 lbs
6′3″ avg · #153 of 767 · top quarter
Running back
205 lbs
5′11″ avg · #475 of 791 · middle half
Wide receiver
191 lbs
5′11″ avg · #498 of 791 · middle half
Tight end
247 lbs
6′5″ avg · #299 of 731 · middle half
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
300 lbs
6′4″ avg · #686 of 779 · bottom quarter
D-line
282 lbs
6′3″ avg · #433 of 753 · middle half
Linebacker
233 lbs
6′2″ avg · #200 of 772 · middle half
Cornerback
185 lbs
5′11″ avg · #611 of 771 · bottom quarter
Safety
197 lbs
6′1″ avg · #178 of 346 · middle half
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tight end from high school
82%
#154 of 188 stints
Grows Tackle from high school
76%
#171 of 223 stints
Postseason detail2015: Beat Temple 32-17 Marmot Boca Raton Bowl2016: Lost to App State 28-31 Raycom Media Camellia Bowl2017: Lost to App State 0-34 Dollar General Bowl2018: Lost to Florida International 32-35 Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl2021: Lost to Middle Tennessee 24-31 Bahamas Bowl2022: Beat Liberty 21-19 RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl2023: Lost to Wyoming 15-16 Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl2024: Beat Pittsburgh 48-46 GameAbove Sports Bowl
13 NFL Draft picks: Kareem Hunt (2017), Michael Roberts (2017), Treyvon Hester (2017), Logan Woodside (2018), Diontae Johnson (2019), Ka'dar Hollman (2019), Tycen Anderson (2022), Samuel Womack (2022) + 5 more
Coach of the Year: MAC Coach of the Year (2023)
2 player-seasons honored (All-America / national award): Quinyon Mitchell (2023), Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren (2025)
AI Narratives — “Toledo's Four-Game Win Streak” and 11 more on the team page.
+3.5
81-44
2011–2015
Matt Campbell Steady
Matt Campbell moved Toledo from Regional Program II to National Program III in 4 seasons.
2013 defense ranked in the 4th percentile nationally — historically bad
+8.8 pts over 4 seasons · top 6% of 3-5-season tenures (717 in sample)
Closest comparable run: G.J. Kinne’s Texas State run (2023–now)
5th-best Toledo tenure of 9 by the numbers.
Followed Tim Beckman (2009–2011) · succeeded by Jason Candle (2015–2025).
System Shift, on departure
System Shift, on arrival
| Season | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||||
| Record | 1-0 | 9-4 | 7-5 | 9-4 | 9-2 | |
| Postseason | W bowl | L bowl | — | W bowl | — | |
| Recruiting rank | — | #76 | #76 | #92 | #84 | |
| Style — pass rate | ||||||
| Pass rate | — | 45.9 | 42.8 | 40.9 | 45.5 | |
| Coordinators | ||||||
| OC | — | — | — | Jason Candle / Louis Ayeni | Jason Candle | |
| DC | — | — | — | Jon Heacock | Jon Heacock | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||||
| Offense | — | 58 | 49 | 79 | 81 | |
| Defense | — | 13 | 4 | 73 | 88 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | ||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | 43.8 | 40.8 | 34.6 | 35.0 | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | 35.3 | 32.3 | 29.7 | 34.2 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | 22.2 | 32.4 | 33.3 | 30.6 | |
Recruiter or developer?
Outperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Offense vs. talent
+34.5 pts
#10 of 208 · top quarter
Defense vs. talent
+41.0 pts
#2 of 208 · top quarter
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tight end from high school
100%
#164 of 188 stints
Grows Edge from high school
100%
#191 of 208 stints
Postseason detail2011: Beat Air Force 42-41 Military Bowl - Presented By Northrop Grumman2012: Lost to Utah State 15-41 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl2014: Beat Arkansas State 63-44 Godaddy Bowl
+8.8
35-15
2009–2011
Tim Beckman Steady
Tim Beckman held the Rockets at Regional Program II for 3 seasons.
No outlier style signal this stint
−1.7 pts over 3 seasons · top 42% of 3-5-season tenures (717 in sample)
Closest comparable run: John Jenkins’s Houston run (1990–1992)
9th-best Toledo tenure of 9 by the numbers.
Followed Tom Amstutz (2001–2008) · succeeded by Matt Campbell (2011–2015).
System Shift, on departure
System Shift, on arrival
| Season | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||
| Record | 5-7 | 8-5 | 8-4 | |
| Postseason | — | L bowl | — | |
| Recruiting rank | #86 | #87 | #74 | |
| Style — pass rate | ||||
| Pass rate | 52.1 | 42.4 | 43.7 | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||
| Offense | 79 | 31 | 71 | |
| Defense | 54 | 73 | 43 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | ||||
| 1st-down pass% | 41.4 | 32.6 | 36.9 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 36.9 | 28.0 | 30.3 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 34.4 | 34.1 | 30.3 | |
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Edge from high school
100%
#191 of 208 stints
Grows Running back from high school
100%
#196 of 208 stints
Postseason detail2010: Lost to Florida International 32-34 Little Caesars Bowl
−1.7
21-16
2001–2008
Tom Amstutz Steady
Tom Amstutz moved the Rockets from Regional Program I to National Program III in 8 seasons.
No outlier style signal this stint
+2.9 pts over 8 seasons · top 48% of 6-9-season tenures (368 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Shane Beamer’s South Carolina run (2021–now)
4th-best Toledo tenure of 9 by the numbers.
Followed Gary Pinkel (1991–2000) · succeeded by Tim Beckman (2009–2011).
System Shift, on departure
| Season | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||||||
| Record | 10-2 | 9-5 | 8-4 | 9-4 | 9-3 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 3-9 | |
| Postseason | W bowl | L bowl | — | L bowl | W bowl | — | — | — | |
| Recruiting rank | — | — | — | #75 | #101 | #78 | #86 | #79 | |
| Style — pass rate | |||||||||
| Pass rate | — | — | — | 46.0 | 43.5 | 45.1 | 44.9 | 50.4 | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||||||
| Offense | — | — | — | 13 | 87 | 16 | 73 | 31 | |
| Defense | — | — | — | 25 | 61 | 58 | 38 | 38 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | — | — | 45.6 | 36.9 | 38.7 | 34.9 | 47.9 | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | — | — | 25.0 | 44.0 | 23.8 | 29.1 | 54.7 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | — | — | — | 40.0 | 60.5 | 40.7 | 35.0 | |
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tight end from high school
100%
#164 of 188 stints
Grows Edge from high school
100%
#191 of 208 stints
Postseason detail2001: Beat Cincinnati 23-16 Bowl2002: Lost to Boston College 25-51 Bowl2004: Lost to UConn 10-39 Bowl2005: Beat UTEP 45-13 Bowl
6 NFL Draft picks: Chester Taylor (2002), Carl Ford (2003), Nick Kaczur (2005), Bruce Gradkowski (2006), John Greco (2008), Jalen Parmele (2008)
+2.9
58-41
1991–2000
Gary Pinkel Steady
Gary Pinkel moved the Rockets from Regional Program II to Regional Program I in 10 seasons.
+4.5 pts over 10 seasons · bottom 20% of 10+-season tenures (202 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Troy Calhoun’s Air Force run (2007–now)
6th-best Toledo tenure of 9 by the numbers.
Followed Nick Saban (1990) · succeeded by Tom Amstutz (2001–2008).
| Season | 1991 | 1992 | 1993 | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||||||||
| Record | 5-5-1 | 8-3 | 4-7 | 6-4-1 | 11-0-1 | 7-4 | 9-3 | 7-5 | 6-5 | 10-1 | |
| Postseason | — | — | — | — | W bowl | — | L bowl | L bowl | — | — | |
| Recruiting rank | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Style — pass rate | |||||||||||
| Pass rate | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||||||||
| Offense | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Defense | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Postseason detail1995: Beat Nevada 40-37 Bowl1997: Lost to Marshall 14-34 Bowl1998: Lost to Marshall 17-23 Bowl
3 NFL Draft picks: Darren Anderson (1992), Dan Williams (1993), Clarence Love (1998)
+4.5
73-37-3
1982–1989
Dan Simrell Steady
Dan Simrell slid Toledo from Regional Program I to Regional Program III in 8 seasons.
−4.7 pts over 8 seasons · bottom 24% of 6-9-season tenures (368 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Dirk Koetter’s Arizona State run (2001–2006)
7th-best Toledo tenure of 9 by the numbers.
Followed Chuck Stobart (1977–1981) · succeeded by Nick Saban (1990).
| Season | 1982 | 1983 | 1984 | 1985 | 1986 | 1987 | 1988 | 1989 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||||||
| Record | 6-5 | 9-2 | 8-3-1 | 4-7 | 7-4 | 3-7-1 | 6-5 | 6-5 | |
| Postseason | — | — | L bowl | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Recruiting rank | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Style — pass rate | |||||||||
| Pass rate | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||||||
| Offense | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Defense | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Postseason detail1984: Lost to UNLV 13-30 Bowl
1 NFL Draft pick: Brent Williams (1986)
−4.7
49-38-2
1977–1981
Chuck Stobart Steady
Chuck Stobart slid the Rockets from National Program III to Regional Program I in 5 seasons.
−6.2 pts over 5 seasons · bottom 29% of 3-5-season tenures (717 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Jeff Woodruff’s Eastern Michigan run (2000–2003)
8th-best Toledo tenure of 9 by the numbers.
Followed Jack Murphy (1971–1976) · succeeded by Dan Simrell (1982–1989).
| Season | 1977 | 1978 | 1979 | 1980 | 1981 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||||
| Record | 2-9 | 2-9 | 7-3-1 | 4-7 | 9-3 | |
| Postseason | — | — | — | — | W bowl | |
| Recruiting rank | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Style — pass rate | ||||||
| Pass rate | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||||
| Offense | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Defense | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | ||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | — | — | — | — | |
Postseason detail1981: Beat San José State 27-25 Bowl
1 NFL Draft pick: Jeff Jackson (1982)
−6.2
24-31-1
1971–1976
Jack Murphy Steady
Jack Murphy slid the Rockets from National Program II to National Program I in 6 seasons.
−8.0 pts over 6 seasons · bottom 10% of 6-9-season tenures (368 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Jim Caldwell’s Wake Forest run (1993–2000)
1st-best Toledo tenure of 9 by the numbers.
Followed Frank Lauterbur (1963–1970) · succeeded by Chuck Stobart (1977–1981).
| Season | 1971 | 1972 | 1973 | 1974 | 1975 | 1976 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||||
| Record | 12-0 | 6-5 | 3-8 | 6-5 | 5-6 | 3-8 | |
| Postseason | W bowl | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Recruiting rank | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Style — pass rate | |||||||
| Pass rate | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||||
| Offense | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Defense | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Postseason detail1971: Beat Richmond 28-3 Bowl
2 NFL Draft picks: John Saunders (1972), Gene Swick (1976)
−8.0
35-32
1963–1970
Frank Lauterbur Steady
Frank Lauterbur moved the Rockets from Regional Program I to National Program II in 8 seasons.
−6.3 pts over 8 seasons · bottom 15% of 6-9-season tenures (368 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Mike O'Cain’s NC State run (1993–1999)
2nd-best Toledo tenure of 9 by the numbers.
Followed Clive Rush (1962) · succeeded by Jack Murphy (1971–1976).
| Season | 1963 | 1964 | 1965 | 1966 | 1967 | 1968 | 1969 | 1970 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||||||
| Record | 2-7 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 2-7-1 | 9-1 | 5-4-1 | 11-0 | 12-0 | |
| Postseason | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W bowl | |
| Recruiting rank | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Style — pass rate | |||||||||
| Pass rate | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||||||
| Offense | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Defense | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Postseason detail1970: Beat William & Mary 40-12 Bowl
6 NFL Draft picks: Paul Elzey (1968), John Schneider (1968), Roland Moss (1969), Curtis Johnson (1970), James Manuel (1970), Tony Harris (1971)
−6.3
48-32-2
1962
Clive Rush Short tenure
3-6