Toledo

6-2

Week 10 · game day · updated Wednesday, Nov 4

Toledo is 6-2 in Mike Jacobs' first season and plays at Sacramento State on Wednesday, Nov 4.

Toledo has scored 39 or more in five of its six wins.

  • L 20-30 at Michigan State
  • W 63-10 vs Central Connecticut
  • W 49-48 vs Temple
  • W 41-16 vs San Diego State
  • W 39-24 at Ball State
  • L 8-23 vs Buffalo
  • W 34-14 at Eastern Michigan
  • W 45-38 vs Western Michigan
  • Next: at Sacramento State, Wednesday, Nov 4

Scores ours first. The two losses came by 10 and 15.

The last two weeks

Toledo won 45-38 vs Western Michigan, having led 31-14 at half.

The whole Western Michigan game

Before Sacramento State

The playoff simulation gives Toledo a 64% chance at Sacramento State on Wednesday, Nov 4.

In the playoff simulation, the Sacramento State game has the MAC race on it for Toledo.

Sacramento State game on Now

What the Sacramento State game is worth

Toledo's game threads have not carried enough talk for a fan mood read this season.

Fan mood, week by week

Mood over time

Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling

More in this tab

Fan chatterThe loudest night of the season and what a usual night looks like.

Fan chatter this season

Loud

The loudest night was the 20-30 loss to Michigan State.

FirstSecondThirdFourthMichigan State fansToledo fansusual
The argumentThe one thing this fanbase can't agree on, with receipts.

Inside the fanbase: all 5 corners

Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
HHustle Belt
CCampus paper
BBluesky
YYouTube
6 outlets & communities talking

One voice

+0.22Whole-fanbase sentiment · warm

Every cohort from the die-hards to the analytics crowd lands within 0.02 of each other — a rare consensus. The most upvoted post:

GGoogle NewsBeat · article

Toledo Rockets vs. Sacramento State Hornets Free Pick & CFB Betting Prediction, 11/4/26 - Sports Cappers Picks

news.google.com →

How Toledo fans actually talk

Rr/CFBFan talk

roofclaims.com Boca Raton Bowl Champs!!!!!!! The season dreams are made of!!!!!!!!

open ↗

One of the crowd’s most upvoted takes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.

Every fan group, end to end

negative
0
positive
Analytics crowd+0.21 to Die-hards+0.24

Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.

What this fanbase keeps coming back to

recent results
31%
fan energy
21%
where the program is headed
17%
the schedule
10%
the rankings
6%

Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.

week 5. The sources and the divergence rank are measured. Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model estimate, never a quote attributed to a person.
The obsessionThe rival this fanbase can't stop bringing up.
Rent Free · r/CFB fan posts, 2026 season
Toledo lives rent-free in
  1. Michigan State8%
  2. San Diego State5%
share of each rival fanbase’s football posts that bring up Toledo
Voice profileHow this fanbase sounds vs. every other fanbase.
Measured
Optimism
52nd
Joy
67th
Anger
14th
Doom
40th
Sarcasm
36th
Vs the 127 highest-volume fanbases - 2026 season
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site