cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Landon Ellis /James Madison

Landon Ellis

WR · James Madison · Jr · #13

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

624 REC YDS · 36 REC · 5 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred James Madison → UCLA for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to UCLA

2025James Madison
2026UCLA

WR · JAMES MADISON · SUN BELT

Landon Ellis

  • 3
  • #13
  • 6-2 | 213 lb
  • Orange, VA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

74

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 75th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
James Madison
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey13
Measurements6-2 | 213 lb
HometownOrange, VA
Primary teamJames Madison

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UCLA 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 7, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 James Madison -> UCLA 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2025 Richmond -> James Madison Immediate

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (624).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Landon Ellis

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Landon Ellis

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

17.3

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #36 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 93rd

Why it matters

#36 of 531 All FBS WRs at 17.3 yards per reception (36 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 17.3 (93th)

HIGH · n=36 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#131 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#98 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 7 vs Louisiana — 120 ypr

Result W 24-14

The week the volume broke through — put up 120 yds vs Louisiana.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
624Rec yards
36Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
52Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
676Rec yards
39Receptions
5Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 624): needs 76/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 624): needs 376/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 36): needs 24/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 36): needs 44/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Landon Ellis already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 5.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 36 5 rec TD | #218/1110 (80th pct)
Receiving yards 624 17.3 per catch | #138/1107 (88th pct)
Scrimmage yards 624 Total offensive yardage | #138/1107 (88th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
36 80th
YDS
624 88th
YPR
17.3 88th
TD
5 91st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-10vs Weber State22010.0114
Wk 2L 14-28@ Louisville35518.3026
Wk 4W 31-13@ Liberty34013.3121
Wk 5W 35-10vs Georgia Southern24020.0021
Wk 6W 14-7@ Georgia State3289.3013
Wk 7W 24-14vs Louisiana612020.0362Season-high 120 yds
Wk 8W 63-27vs Old Dominion69716.2036
Wk 10W 52-20@ Texas State23718.5026
Wk 11W 35-23@ Marshall34916.3020
Wk 12W 58-10vs App State24623.0030
Wk 15W 31-14vs Troy199.009
BowlL 34-51@ Oregon38327.7050
Total3662416.8562
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025James Madison12-2HC: Bob Chesney · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025James Madison3662417.35--
Career1 loaded season3662417.35--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.7% 13.9% pass-game share | #282/1137 (75th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 5 Across offense and returns | #96/1111 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 36 #218/1110 80th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 624 #138/1107 88th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #96/1111 91st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 17.3 #134/1106 88th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 13.9% #282/1137 75th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 62 #154/1105 86th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.3% #345/1137 70th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 8.1% #386/1137 66th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.7% #398/1137 65th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.3% #466/1137 59th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.6% #440/1137 61st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.5% #478/1137 58th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g3.255.316.40.7
Road6g2.848.717.20.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins10g3.048.615.60.5
Losses2g3.069.023.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.155.116.90.7
Weeks 8+5g2.847.616.60.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

74Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (92nd).

Yards / catch#44 / 558 · 92nd pct
17.3rece
Rec TDs#96 / 558 · 78th pct
5rece
Rec yards#138 / 558 · 75th pct
624rece
Long catch#138 / 558 · 74th pct
62rece
Receptions#218 / 558 · 60th pct
36rece
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Landon EllisJames MadisonHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 84% simAnthony SmithEast Carolina· 82% simChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 81% sim
Yards / catch
92
Ellis
78
III
87
Smith
80
Jr.
Rec TDs
78
Ellis
68
III
92
Smith
68
Jr.
Rec yards
75
Ellis
94
III
98
Smith
96
Jr.
Long catch
74
Ellis
65
III
86
Smith
96
Jr.
Receptions
60
Ellis
90
III
93
Smith
93
Jr.
Fumbles lost
36
Ellis
36
III
36
Smith
36
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Elijah Sarratt’s 2024 season.

Elijah Sarratt

81%match

Indiana · 2024

All-Big TenNFL Rd 4
#2

C.J. Daniels

Liberty · 2021

76%
#3

Tyrone Howell

UL Monroe · 2022

All-Sun Belt
76%
#4

Bub Means

Louisiana Tech · 2021

NFL Rd 5
69%
#5

Jacoby Jones

Ohio · 2022

74%

Matches Elijah on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Class year

Differs from Elijah on

Reception volume (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Kevin Austin’s path through Notre Dame.

Kevin Austin

95%match

Notre Dame · 2021

#2

Jackson Parham

Elon · 2022

95%
#3

Javon McKinley

Notre Dame · 2020

94%
#4

Kahtero Summers

Rhode Island · 2023

93%
#5

Stephen Gosnell

Virginia Tech · 2024

91%

Matches Kevin on

Height
Yards per reception
Weight

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Bub Means's junior season at Pittsburgh (2023).

Bub Means

83%match

Pittsburgh · 2023

NFL Rd 5
#2

Ja'Lynn Polk

Washington · 2022

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 5
80%
#3

Antoine Green

North Carolina · 2022

NFL Rd 7
77%
#4

Omarion Miller

Colorado · 2025

77%
#5

Brenden Rice

USC · 2022

NFL Rd 7
76%

Matches Bub on

Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Yards / reception

Differs from Bub on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bob Chesney

Pass share

39.7%

385 pass / 584 run

Plays / game

69.2

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

269 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Bob Chesney
James Madison

Played his entire career under Bob Chesney.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOrange, VA
Height6'2"
Weight213 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey13

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Sun Belt all_conference James Madison | Sun Belt WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 James Madison Sun Belt WR 3 No. 13 | 6-2 | 213 lb | Orange, VA