cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / C.J. Daniels /Miami

C.J. Daniels

WR · Miami · Sr · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

557 REC YDS · 50 REC · 7 REC TD

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Los Angeles — Rd 6, Pick 16, #197 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Los Angeles2026 NFL rookie season

#197Rd 6 · Pick 16
Los Angeles2026 NFL rookie season

WR · MIAMI · ACC

C.J. Daniels

  • 4
  • #7
  • 6-2 | 205 lb
  • Lilburn, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

65

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 92nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#598

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
6292021
38.02022
1,0672023
4802024
5572025

-11%

Down 11% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2450 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey7
Measurements6-2 | 205 lb
HometownLilburn, GA
Primary teamMiami

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2450 recruit
Composite rating 0.8115 HighSchool
Signed with Liberty 2020
Origin Parkview Lilburn, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8115 No. 2450 recruit | HighSchool | Liberty

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#598Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#561Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Liberty

Composite

0.8115

#2450 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on C.J. Daniels

Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window

Belief Meter

67

Quietly Bullish

Sample 21 mentions
Confidence MEDIUM

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 22 mentions · belief +17 · "Miami Hurricanes shock Ole Miss with Carson Beck's clutch game-winning drive—are"Own fansNational: 15 mentions · belief +57 · "November is epilepsy awareness month, a cause close to LSU receiver CJ Daniels’ "National
  • Own fans · n=22
  • National · n=15

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about C.J. Daniels

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

7

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #36 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 93rd

Why it matters

#36 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 7 TDs on 50 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 7 (93th)

HIGH · n=50 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#168 / 531
  • Yards per reception#349 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 6 at Florida State — 2 receiving_tds

Result W 28-22

The week the volume broke through — stacked 2 td at Florida State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
557Rec yards
50Receptions
7Rec TDs
Per game
46.4Rec yards
4Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
603.4Rec yards
54Receptions
8Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 557): needs 143/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 557): needs 443/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 50): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 50): needs 30/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 7): needs 1/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 7): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

C.J. Daniels's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Miami, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #598 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 50 7 rec TD | #118/1110 (89th pct)
Receiving yards 557 11.1 per catch | #174/1107 (84th pct)
Scrimmage yards 557 Total offensive yardage | #174/1107 (84th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
50 89th
YDS
557 84th
YPR
11.1 43rd
TD
7 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 27-24vs Notre Dame5469.2120
Wk 2W 45-3vs Bethune-Cookman57314.62402 TD catches
Wk 3W 49-12vs South Florida45614.0027
Wk 4W 26-7vs Florida4164.009
Wk 6W 28-22@ Florida State57815.6247Season-high 78 yds
Wk 8L 21-24vs Louisville77410.6030
Wk 9W 42-7vs Stanford382.715
Wk 14W 38-7@ Pittsburgh24020.0133
BowlW 10-3@ Texas A&M22914.5015
BowlW 24-14@ Ohio State5499.8013
BowlW 31-27@ Ole Miss4266.508
BowlL 21-27@ Indiana46215.5025
Total5055711.4747
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Liberty7-5HC: Hugh Freeze · Run-leaning
2022Liberty8-5HC: Hugh Freeze · Run-leaning
2023Liberty13-1HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2024LSU9-4HC: Brian Kelly · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2025Miami13-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Miami5055711.17--
2024LSU4248011.40--
2023Liberty551,06719.410--
2022Liberty33812.71--
2021Liberty3762917.07--
Career5 loaded seasons1872,77114.825--
SeasonTeam
2025Miami----------
2024LSU----------
2023Liberty------17--
2022Liberty----------
2021Liberty----------
Career5 loaded seasons------17--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.2% 17.2% pass-game share | #158/1137 (86th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 7 Across offense and returns | #37/1111 (97th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 50 #118/1110 89th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 557 #174/1107 84th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 7 #37/1111 97th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.1 #635/1106 43rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 17.2% #158/1137 86th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 47 #316/1105 71st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 12.5% #114/1137 90th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.8% #140/1137 88th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.6% #194/1137 83rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.2% #199/1137 83rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 6.8% #256/1137 78th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.6% #251/1137 78th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g4.745.59.20.7
Road6g3.747.313.70.5

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins10g3.942.111.10.7
Losses2g5.568.013.10.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-79g4.248.311.50.6
Weeks 8+3g4.040.711.10.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

65Solid starter
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec tds (91st). Concern: yards / catch (28th).

Rec TDs#37 / 558 · 92nd pct
7rece
Receptions#118 / 558 · 79th pct
50rece
Rec yards#174 / 558 · 69th pct
557rece
Long catch#277 / 558 · 50th pct
47rece
Yards / catch#396 / 558 · 28th pct
11.1rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
C.J. DanielsMiamiDonovan FaupelNew Mexico State· 90% simDevin MccuinUTSA· 90% simJordyn TysonArizona State· 88% sim
Rec TDs
92
Daniels
92
Faupel
95
Mccuin
95
Tyson
Receptions
79
Daniels
90
Faupel
93
Mccuin
90
Tyson
Rec yards
69
Daniels
79
Faupel
84
Mccuin
81
Tyson
Long catch
50
Daniels
65
Faupel
60
Mccuin
68
Tyson
Yards / catch
28
Daniels
24
Faupel
30
Mccuin
36
Tyson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Jump-Ball Target

Wins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to De'Zhaun Stribling’s 2022 season.

De'Zhaun Stribling

80%match

Washington State · 2022

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 1
#2

Elijah Spencer

Minnesota · 2024

80%
#3

Kawaan Baker

South Alabama · 2020

All-Sun BeltNFL Rd 7
74%
#4

Joseph Manjack

Houston · 2023

76%
#5

Josiah Freeman

Fresno State · 2025

76%

Matches De'Zhaun on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Recruiting rating

Differs from De'Zhaun on

TD rate (higher)
Class year (higher)

Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Joshua Derry’s path through Monmouth.

Joshua Derry

97%match

Monmouth · 2025

#2

Dillon Stoner

Oklahoma State · 2020

95%
#3

Tyler Hudson

Louisville · 2022

95%
#4

Josh Palmer

Tennessee · 2020

94%
#5

Blayne Taylor

Abilene Christian · 2024

94%

Matches Joshua on

Yards per reception

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mario Cristobal

Pass share

47.2%

496 pass / 554 run

Plays / game

65.6

16 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.1%

245 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Jess Simpson
Miami
2022
Mario Cristobal
Miami
era →
2023
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2024
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2025
Mario Cristobal
Miami

Coaching transition mid-career: Jess Simpson → Mario Cristobal. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLilburn, GA
Height6'2"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 LSU WR4 #598 #561 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Liberty WR4 #175 #199 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Liberty WR4 #1941 #2007 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents
2021 Liberty WR4 #393 #415 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Miami ACC WR 4 No. 7 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Lilburn, GA
2024 LSU SEC WR 4 No. 7 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Lilburn, GA
2023 Liberty Conference USA WR 4 No. 7 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Lilburn, GA
2022 Liberty FBS Independents WR 4 No. 7 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Lilburn, GA
2021 Liberty FBS Independents WR 4 No. 7 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Lilburn, GA