CFB Zeitgeist Score
73
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 99th percentile.
Carson Beck
Disrespect as Fuelas of 2026-06-22
Carson Beck arrives at Miami with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
3,813PASS YDS30PASS TD43RUSH YDS
PASSING VALUE · WEPA
+0.44
via your WEPA model · 2025 · 450 plays
Miami fans read the coverage as disrespect and treat it as fuel.
high confidence4 sources
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Arizona2026 NFL rookie season
#65Rd 3 · Pick 1
Arizona2026 NFL rookie season
QB · MIAMI · ACC
Carson Beck
- 4
- #11
- 6-4 | 220 lb
- Jacksonville, FL
Heisman Heat
#16
1.4% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
1.4%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 5 · ApexR15 · POTY finalist
Position-of-the-Year finalist. Among the nation's elite at the position.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
In Their Words
218 windows · 2025 fan posts
carson×173.8miami×15.1fletcher×106.7hurricanes×213.3noted×85.3keelan×71.1interception×61.0mark×26.7
“Miami WR Keelan Marion blames self for Carson Beck interception: 'All on me'”
reddit/CFB · fan post, verbatim
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
5 seasons on the ladder
2021
Georgia · QB
—
2022
Georgia · QB
R08 · Watch-list name
Recognized
2023
Georgia · QB
R08 · Watch-list name
Recognized
★
2024
Georgia · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2025
Miami · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 3, Pick 1 · #65 overall · Arizona
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025+2066%
Up 2066% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
R3 · #65
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4-star | 0.9095 | No. 254 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia -> Miami | 4-star | 0.9600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 3813 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (3813).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Georgia
Composite
0.9095
#254 national
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 3, Pick 1
#65 overall · Arizona
Today’s Hot-Take
0.7% completion % — #3 in a 72-QB cohort, 97th percentile in the modern era.
Anti-Take
EFFICIENCYEfficiency rewards selectivity. Volume-adjusted rank in the same cohort almost always looks looser — call it elite, not unique.
The Room on Carson Beck
Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window
Belief Meter
60
Quietly Bullish
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=125
- Rivals · n=2
- National · n=34
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Carson Beck
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
WEPA per dropback
+0.440
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks
National rank #10 of 58
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks 84th
Why it matters
#10 of 58 P4 + Notre Dame QBs by weighted EPA per dropback (min 250 dropbacks) — +0.440 EPA/play.
Vs cohort
This player +0.440 (84th)
HIGH · n=450 cohort 58
- Also strong
- Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)#14 / 57
- Total weighted-EPA passing#7 / 58
- Completion %#3 / 72
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 16g
3,813Pass yards
30Pass TDs
12INT
Per game
238.3Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Final
3,813Pass yards
30Pass TDs
12INT
✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,813.
✓ Hit 25 passing TDs · finished with 30.
✓ Hit 30 passing TDs · finished with 30.
Why the pedigree actually matters here
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Carson Beck was a real recruiting acquisition, not an out-of-nowhere name, and that matters when a Heisman case starts to form. The card shows a 4-star profile with a No. 254 recruit national ranking lane, which helps explain why voters and media were ready to notice fast once the production showed up.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Highly efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
338 100th
ATT
468 98th
CMP%
72.2% 87th
Y/A
8.1 78th
Passing Production
YDS
3,813 99th
TD
30 99th
INT
12 3rd
Rushing
CAR
62 76th
YDS
43 53rd
YPC
0.7 22nd
TD
2 73rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 16 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 27-24vs Notre Dame | 20/31 | 205 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 | 84.9 | |
| Wk 2 | W 45-3vs Bethune-Cookman | 22/24 | 267 | 2 | 0 | 11.1 | 95.2 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 3 | W 49-12vs South Florida | 23/28 | 340 | 3 | 2 | 12.1 | 91.4 | Season-high 340 yds |
| Wk 4 | W 26-7vs Florida | 17/30 | 160 | 0 | 1 | 5.3 | 51.4 | |
| Wk 6 | W 28-22@ Florida State | 20/27 | 241 | 4 | 0 | 8.9 | 89.1 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 8 | L 21-24vs Louisville | 25/35 | 271 | 0 | 4 | 7.7 | 67.7 | 4 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 9 | W 42-7vs Stanford | 21/28 | 189 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 | 69.0 | |
| Wk 10 | L 20-26@ SMU | 26/38 | 274 | 2 | 2 | 7.2 | 79.7 | |
| Wk 11 | W 38-10vs Syracuse | 18/24 | 247 | 1 | 0 | 10.3 | 62.8 | |
| Wk 12 | W 41-7vs NC State | 21/27 | 291 | 3 | 0 | 10.8 | 75.7 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 13 | W 34-17@ Virginia Tech | 27/32 | 320 | 4 | 0 | 10.0 | 95.3 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 14 | W 38-7@ Pittsburgh | 23/29 | 267 | 3 | 1 | 9.2 | 81.8 | 3 TD passes |
| Bowl | W 10-3@ Texas A&M | 14/20 | 103 | 1 | 0 | 5.2 | 60.4 | |
| Bowl | W 24-14@ Ohio State | 19/26 | 138 | 1 | 0 | 5.3 | 95.2 | |
| Bowl | W 31-27@ Ole Miss | 23/37 | 268 | 2 | 1 | 7.2 | 78.3 | |
| Bowl | L 21-27@ Indiana | 19/32 | 232 | 1 | 1 | 7.3 | 86.2 | |
| Total | 338/468 | 3813 | 30 | 12 | 8.2 | 79.0 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Georgia12-1HC: Kirby Smart · Run-heavy
2022Georgia15-0HC: Kirby Smart · Balanced
2023Georgia13-1HC: Kirby Smart · Balanced
2024Georgia11-3HC: Kirby Smart · Pass-leaning
2025Miami13-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 3,813 | #4/382 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 30 | #6/407 | 99th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 338 | #2/383 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 72.2% | #52/383 | 87th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.1 | #86/382 | 78th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 43 | #194/408 | 53rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.44 | #14/200 | 94th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 450 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 47.8% | #96/428 | 78th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 468 | #9/407 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 12 | #395/407 | 3rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 62 | #98/408 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 11 | #281/391 | 28th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #113/408 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 0.7 | #317/407 | 22nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 91.5% | #47/428 | 89th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 72.7% | #27/428 | 94th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 69.2% | #41/428 | 91st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 50.1% | #79/428 | 82nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 39.1% | #112/428 | 74th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 38.5% | #115/428 | 73rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 8.3% | #188/428 | 56th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.13 | #119/140 | 16th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 45 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/258 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 16 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home8g | 246 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 0.9 |
| Road8g | 230 | 2.2 | 7.5 | 0.6 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins13g | 234 | 2.1 | 8.4 | 0.4 |
| Losses3g | 259 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 2.3 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-79g | 217 | 1.8 | 7.7 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 266 | 2.0 | 8.9 | 1.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
73Solid starter
Elite: completion % (98th). Strength: pass yards (98th). Concern: interceptions (4th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds58%of completions
70 comp5.6 yds avg4 TD
Middle
10–19 yds24%of completions
29 comp13.5 yds avg
Deep
20+ yds18%of completions
21 comp32.3 yds avg6 TD
Overall 71.4% completion on 168 attempts · 21 deep completions averaging 32.3 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Elite: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.44High (p75–p90) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.13Below (<p25) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Carson BeckMiamiJacob ClarkMissouri State· 85% simDrew MestemakerNorth Texas· 83% simJulian SayinOhio State· 83% sim
Completion %
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Fumbles lost
Yards / att
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Interceptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Joey Aguilar’s 2025 season.
Joey Aguilar
67%match
#2
Carson Beck
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 1
67%
#3
Jack Coan
66%
#4
Clayton Tune
NFL Rd 5
65%
#5
Tyler Van Dyke
64%
Matches Joey on
Weight
Yards / attempt
Height
Differs from Joey on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Completion % (higher)
Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jack Coan’s path through Notre Dame.
Jack Coan
75%match
#2
Eli Peters
74%
#3
Dustin Crum
All-MAC
73%
#4
Clay Millen
73%
#5
Bailey Zappe
All-Conference USANFL Rd 4
73%
Matches Jack on
Yards per attempt
Completion %
Height
Differs from Jack on
Recruiting rating (higher)
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Tyler Shough's graduate season at Louisville (2024).
Tyler Shough
50%match
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 8
#2
Luke Altmyer
All-Big Ten
47%
#3
Behren Morton
NFL Rd 7
46%
#4
Joe Fagnano
42%
#5
Kurtis Rourke
All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
40%
Matches Tyler on
Weight
Height
Differs from Tyler on
Completion % (higher)
INT rate (higher)
EPA / dropback (adj) (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mario Cristobal
Pass share
47.2%
496 pass / 554 run
Plays / game
65.6
16 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.1%
245 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Jess Simpson
Miami
2022era →
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2023
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2024
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2025
Mario Cristobal
Miami
Coaching transition mid-career: Jess Simpson → Mario Cristobal. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownJacksonville, FL
Height6'4"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey11
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMiami
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🥈
ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM
All-Conf 1st team (2025)
All-ACC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
3 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-ACC | all_conference | Miami | ACC | QB |
| 2025 | All-ACC | all_conference | ACC | -- |
| 2024 | All-SEC | all_conference | Georgia | SEC | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Georgia | QB4 | #16 | #16 | 1.4% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | SEC |
| 2023 | Georgia | QB4 | #5 | #4 | 7.5% | 39.2% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | SEC |
| 2022 | Georgia | QB4 | #21 | #15 | 2.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
| 2021 | Georgia | QB4 | #206 | #98 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Miami | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 11 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Jacksonville, FL |
| 2024 | Georgia | SEC | QB | 4 | No. 11 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Jacksonville, FL |
| 2023 | Georgia | SEC | QB | 4 | No. 11 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Jacksonville, FL |
| 2022 | Georgia | SEC | QB | 4 | No. 11 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Jacksonville, FL |
| 2021 | Georgia | SEC | QB | 4 | No. 11 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Jacksonville, FL |