cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Joshua Moore /Miami

Joshua Moore

WR · Miami · Fr · #3

The Hope Economyas of 2026-06-22

Joshua Moore carries five-star expectation into Miami's season — promise, not yet proof.

210REC YDS17REC2REC TD

4★ · NATIONAL RECRUIT

No.125

recruiting national rank

Miami fans frame him as a player to bet on — the case is potential, not production.

high confidence3 sources

Minority viewA vocal minority sees it the other way.

Read the story so far

Joshua Moore arrived as a 4-star prospect, the No.125 recruit nationally. He lines up at WR for Miami.

On the field, the headline is 210 rec yds, with 17 rec.

Miami fans frame him as a player to bet on — the case is potential, not production.

The number to watch: No.125 — 4★ · national recruit.

Why nowHe is squarely in the 2026 hype cycle — projection season.
  • season totals
  • recruiting national rank
  • compiled from tagged fan discourse

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Miami for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Miami for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Miami

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 9 Miami players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (13 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Miami · Last season: 13-3 (AP #10) · Talent rank #15 · 2026 recruiting class #13

WR · MIAMI · ACC

Joshua Moore

  • 1
  • #3
  • 6-4
  • Miami, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

31

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 42nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
In Their Words 70 windows · 2025 fan posts
roll×667.5miami's×1335.1joe×133.5barkate×102.7named×60.7cooper×29.7line×29.0offensive×23.4

“Miami's Offensive Line Named to Joe Moore Honor Roll Miami's Offensive Line Named to Joe Moore Honor Roll”

board/CanesInsight · fan post, verbatim

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#125 national
CFB
College
Miami
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#3 in market ▲ from #5 · 4 books

+90010.0% implied▲ tightened from +1200

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class1
Jersey3
Measurements6-4
HometownMiami, FL
Primary teamMiami

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 125 recruit
Composite rating 0.9435 HighSchool
Signed with Miami 2025
Origin West Broward Pembroke Pines, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2025 4-star | 0.9435 No. 125 recruit | HighSchool | Miami

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Miami

Composite

0.9435

#125 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Joshua Moore

Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window

Belief Meter

75

Quietly Bullish

Sample 30 mentions
Confidence MEDIUM

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 33 mentions · belief +17 · "Miami's Offensive Line Named to Joe Moore Honor Roll"Own fansRivals: 1 mentions · belief -100 · "This is the same rag that Dante had declared for the NFL but when you read furt"RivalsNational: 3 mentions · belief +75 · "It's the locked on podcast network your team every day Get your daily college sp"National
  • Own fans · n=33
  • Rivals · n=1
  • National · n=3

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Joshua Moore

Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
210Rec yards
17Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
21Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
273Rec yards
22Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 210): needs 163.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 210): needs 263.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 17): needs 14.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 17): needs 21/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Joshua Moore's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Miami, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 2.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 125 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 17 2 rec TD | #454/1110 (59th pct)
Receiving yards 210 12.4 per catch | #451/1107 (59th pct)
Scrimmage yards 210 Total offensive yardage | #451/1107 (59th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
17 59th
YDS
210 59th
YPR
12.4 55th
TD
2 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 27-24vs Notre Dame284.008
Wk 2W 45-3vs Bethune-Cookman177.007
Wk 3W 49-12vs South Florida36120.3239Season-high 61 yds
Wk 9W 42-7vs Stanford4389.5016
Wk 11W 38-10vs Syracuse11212.0012
Wk 12W 41-7vs NC State25628.0032
Wk 13W 34-17@ Virginia Tech11212.0012
BowlW 10-3@ Texas A&M144.004
BowlW 31-27@ Ole Miss11111.0011
BowlL 21-27@ Indiana111.001
Total1721010.9239
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Miami13-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Miami1721012.42--
Career1 loaded season1721012.42--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.5% 5.3% pass-game share | #835/1137 (27th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 17 #454/1110 59th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 210 #451/1107 59th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.4 #504/1106 55th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 5.3% #835/1137 27th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 39 #472/1105 57th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 4.4% #768/1137 33rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.0% #805/1137 29th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.5% #818/1137 28th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 2.5% #868/1137 24th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 1.9% #890/1137 22nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 1.8% #945/1137 17th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.230.313.50.3
Road4g1.07.07.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins9g1.823.212.00.2
Losses1g1.01.01.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g1.515.37.90.3
Weeks 8+4g2.029.515.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

31Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (17th).

Yards / catch#309 / 558 · 44th pct
12.4rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Long catch#393 / 558 · 29th pct
39rece
Rec yards#450 / 558 · 19th pct
210rece
Receptions#454 / 558 · 18th pct
17rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Joshua MooreMiamiMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 56% simAaron TurnerRice· 55% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 53% sim
Yards / catch
44
Moore
9
III
1
Turner
40
Walker
Rec TDs
42
Moore
24
III
68
Turner
42
Walker
Long catch
29
Moore
16
III
65
Turner
39
Walker
Rec yards
19
Moore
70
III
48
Turner
89
Walker
Receptions
18
Moore
92
III
92
Turner
95
Walker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ian Strong’s 2023 season.

Ian Strong

76%match

Rutgers · 2023

#2

Javon Antonio

Colorado · 2023

76%
#3

Dacari Collins

NC State · 2023

75%
#4

Isaiah Horton

Miami · 2023

75%
#5

Quincy Brown

TCU · 2021

70%

Matches Ian on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Class year

Differs from Ian on

Recruiting rating (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a freshman, his production profile tracks closest to Cade Keith's freshman season at New Mexico (2025).

Cade Keith

82%match

New Mexico · 2025

#2

Jack Pedersen

UCLA · 2024

74%
#3

Eddie Freauff

Oregon State · 2025

74%
#4

Jamari Johnson

Louisville · 2024

73%
#5

Colston Loveland

Michigan · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 1 · Pk 10
72%

Matches Cade on

Total EPA (college ability)
Reception volume
Height

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mario Cristobal

Pass share

47.2%

496 pass / 554 run

Plays / game

65.6

16 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.1%

245 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Mario Cristobal
Miami

Played his entire career under Mario Cristobal.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMiami, FL
Height6'4"
Class1
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Miami ACC WR 1 No. 3 | 6-4 | Miami, FL