Florida hosts Ole Miss. No market line yet; the model calls it close to even.
What’s at stake
Make the CFP field
Ole Miss projected #9 seed
Win the conference
Win it all
CFP odds as of September 3, 2026
The series
The series is tied 13-13-1
27 meetings since 1926 · Ole Miss won the last meeting
- 2025Ole Miss 34–24
- 2024Florida 24–17
- 2020Florida 51–35
- 2015Florida 38–10
- 2008Ole Miss 31–30
Face-off
What each fanbase carries into this one.
Ole Miss
The chip · vs the blue bloodsFor decades the fanbase heard that Oxford was a tailgate with a football team attached — a beautiful place that didn't win enough to deserve the Grove. They point now at a 13-2 Playoff team and dare anyone to say it again.
Florida
The chip · vs the national mediaThe same analysts who buried the Sumrall hire as 'another Group-of-Five retread from Louisiana, Napier 2.0' will be the first to call it a steal if it works. Gainesville is keeping the receipts.
What this game touches
The long fall from the Spurrier–Meyer summit. Three titles and three Heismans by 2008, then fifteen years of coaching misfires (Muschamp, McElwain, the Mullen collapse, Napier) — bottoming out at 4-8 in 2025 with Napier fired mid-October.
Best players
Florida
- Jadan Baugh (RB) · 2025: 1,170 rushing yards — Heisman odds: 96th (+25000)
- Myles Graham (LB) · 2025: 76 tackles
- Bryce Thornton (DB) · 2025: 56 tackles
Ole Miss
- Kewan Lacy (RB) · 2025: 1,567 rushing yards — Heisman odds: 42nd (+10000)
- Trinidad Chambliss (QB) · 2025: 3,937 passing yards — Heisman odds: 5th (+1200)
- Suntarine Perkins (LB) · 2025: 81 tackles
The line, and the room
Florida fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (10th percentile) — the mood matches the numbers.
Conditions
Florida is 76% at home, 43% on the road since 2018 (38-12 home, 15-20 away).